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Comment Re:Sanity did prevail (Score 1) 55

The thing is, only about 10-15% of the population are independent thinkers and only about 20% can be convinced by rational argument (about 30% on questions not (!) important to them). The rest is like the person you described. No insight, no understanding and completely closed-off to facts. There is no known way to reach them. Sometimes a major catastrophe in their lives can do it, but even that is not assured to.

Comment Alternative view (Score 1) 160

I'm not disputing the article's claims, just pointing out that it doesn't appear to be universal.

What I'm seeing is a significant uptick in job opportunities and recruiter pings coming my way. I haven't seen this much interest in several years. I'm a senior SWE with a focus on security and a solid resume.

My guess is that lots of senior SWEs are seeing this. Deep experience pairs very well with AI, making each engineer able to do what a team of several could do previously. This could obviously come at the expense of positions for the rest of that "team of several", though. Plus there's the other concern that if AI doesn't progress to be able to replace the senior engineer, too, the industry is eating its seed corn; when the experienced folks retire there will be no one to replace them.

That's not all companies, though. My own current employer (Applied Intuition) is hiring like crazy, at all levels and especially entry level. What's more, we're not the only ones because we're actually struggling to hire new grads. They come interview and things seem good, but then a large percentage of them decline our offer. I have no idea what we're offering new grads, but Applied's compensation seems generally good (I'm satisfied with mine).

My guess is the problem is that Applied falls into an awkward place in the Silicon Valley space of companies: Already quite big ($15B valuation) and close to IPO so the pre-IPO equity isn't likely to make you independently wealthy unlike an earlier-stage startup, but still pre-IPO so the equity can't easily be spent. So, new grads looking for a potential huge payoff are disappointed, and those looking for lots of immediate cash are also disappointed.

Comment "work they couldn't explain if asked" (Score 1) 41

That will go well. They are delivering essentially unreviewed LLM output in what is now called "cognitive surrender".

Seriously, the amount of code that will have to be ripped out and thrown away because an LLM "wrote" it is going to be epic. It is pretty clear now that nobody that did this will come out ahead.

That does not mean LLMs are useless. They still work pretty well for "better search", but only with competent and mentally engaged human oversight.

Comment Re:Getting what you wish for (Score 4, Interesting) 55

It is even worse for Switzerland. Switzerland is a high-tech nation that does not have enough STEM personnel, because they do not educate enough. Hence they need a massive influx of engineers, MDs, etc. Many (not very smart) Swiss citizens complain, for example, that many MDs are not Swiss, completely overlooking that the alternative is not having enough. Dumb people that cannot think one step ahead is unfortunately also a fact of life in Switzerland....

Comment Sanity did prevail (Score 3, Insightful) 55

And it was both votes ("Staenderat" and individuals) that rejected it. It would have to win both to become law.

The whole thing is right-wing conservative assholes that cannot do actual solving of problems and hence try to compete with simplistic proposals. Fortunately, enough people saw how badly this idea was thought out and how massive negative the consequences would have been (loss of basically all treaties with the EU if the limit were to trigger).

Comment Re:Whatever can get faked easiest (Score 1) 65

Obviously the person you responded to is a MAGA-moron. These people are deep in denial and cannot be reached by reality anymore. Remember the idiots denying COVID existed while being in the last stage of dying from it? That is the insight level of these people.

I have no good solution. Clearly they would need to be isolated and limited to protect everybody (including themselves). But that cannot be done on the scale needed and comes with almost certainty such a mechanism would be abused on a large scale. The US probably needs a crash to 2nd world (or lower) for enough people to realize that facts matter and that cults are not a viable form of government.

Comment Re: No (Score 1) 60

Unprofitable and no real prospects to get profitable. "Move on" indeed.

The best reason for this demented hype I have heard so far is that apparently a lot of CEOs are deep in "AI psychosis" now. They try some simplistic thing (because CEOs cannot do actual work in most cases), find it works, find they "coded" something, fail to understand the severe limitations of what they made and then think they can fire actual engineers.

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