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Comment Re:Loophole (Score 1) 120

I'm not sure you'd need to pay much. Already I've seen power prices go negative in TX on ERCOT's site. I expect that is somewhat accounting only. I thought some power is priced ahead and committed at a given price and then there is the "open market" which covers surprises. So if wind/solar has a better than expected day, there are days they get nothing for it. So I'd expect those days they'd take a ten bucks a MWH and be ahead.

Right, and it will have extremely good days because of seasonal variation. If we size our systems to provide most of the winter load, there will be a lot of excess power in the summer, and while batteries will continue to get cheaper, I don't think they'll get cheap enough to timeshift from summer to winter. Long-distance power transmission also doesn't do much to address that problem, unless it's really long distance.

Comment Risky Business (Score 4, Interesting) 65

Reddit isn't wrong about bots but odds are what they really want is your identity. That earns money.

The trouble is people in Saudi Arabia will use old. to read about liberation topics or people in the US will read about drug topics, or whatever the mala prohibita are that will land you in prison for things that are perfectly legal in other jurisdictions.

Even people with accounts who read other subs logged in.

"Just create a new anonymous account" is what people will say who don't understand how identity correlation works. Sure there are ways that 0.0000001% of the population can manage securely, but that's not how this will go down.

The UK just arrested an American attorney who was critical of UK politics and they have multiple people in prison for clicking 'Like'. If you think they won't arrest somebody for reading the wrong sub, give it a few months.

Also, don't connect through Heathrow ever again.

Comment Re:Loophole (Score 1) 120

I think before when battery tech was much more expensive this would have been a possibility. With battery prices what they are now and falling, I expect the more likely scenario is that batteries get bought to store the excess. And given AI insatiable appetite for juice, I expect every watt that can get built will get consumed. I think I saw consumption today on the ERCOT grid is projected to be around 85GW peak. And it is not even hot yet. I remember just a few years ago 85GW would have been record consumption territory. Now it is meh. The good news is I think a little over 50 of that will be wind/solar today. Not positive, but I think fossil production may actually be down a bit this year relative to 5 years ago. Renewables in TX and batteries shoving up to 8GW into/out of the grid regularly. Who'd a thunk.

Maybe, but if there's a useful place to put excess production it can definitely be more cost-effective to do that... and carbon recapture is definitely something worth doing, and could probably be done intermittently. We just need a way to pay people to do it, pay them enough that it's worthwhile. Note that it doesn't have to be worthwhile now, we can new tech that makes it more efficient, but the pay on offer has to be high enough that people think there might be some path to profitability.

Comment Enormous Nothingburger (Score 1) 100

Jet fuel is set to skyrocket by August and I don't think jet travel will remain affordable for most of society. Looking at the proportion of the airplane that is Economy Plus, or Economy Plus-Plus, about 5%, I don't think there's enough demand for a tremendous amount of supersonic travel between any two cities besides perhaps NYC and LA, and NYC and Atlanta/Miami

Comment Re:Loophole (Score 1) 120

Nobody's pursuing such initiatives. Doing so would be even more expensive than net zero emissions policies.

We definitely need to start pursuing it, at least researching it. We'll never solve the climate change problem with emissions reduction alone, recapture and sequestration will be essential.

There are some strategies which are pretty cheap, such as planting forests. But the numbers don't add up on that; we'll need more. I think carbon recapture systems may pair fairly naturally with renewable energy generation, though. Renewable variability means that in many cases it makes sense to overprovision. For example, in order to get sufficient power generation from a solar plant on cloudy days, you may install 2X-3X as many panels as you'd need for a sunny day... but that means that on sunny days you have lots of excess production that might be hard to use (I experience that with my rooftop solar; last month I generated just over 1 MWh that I couldn't use and the grid wouldn't pay me for). Using that excess to power carbon recapture would be a good idea.

For that to work, though, we need to arrange some financial reason for people to build and operate carbon recapture systems. That's a big missing piece which only government can solve. The obvious solution (to the entire climate change problem, actually!) is refundable carbon taxes plus carbon tariffs.

Comment Re:Shocked (Score 1) 17

I'm amazed that any company relies on anything from Google...with them shutting things down and deciding not to provide services to huge chunks of the world. I guess it's time for me to review my use of all things Google, again...

If your concern is that a product you use might be discontinued, there are some simple rules that you can apply to decide whether a given Google product is safe from being discontinued:

(1) Is it used by 100M+ people? If it is, it's safe. If the number is 10M+ it's probably good, but there's a risk. If it's less than 10M, it probably won't last. Unless...
(2) Is it a paid service? Paid services rarely get shut down, and if they do Google bends over backwards to make t right.

If it's free and has a small (for Google) userbase? It's all but guaranteed to get shut down. Google is a business. They make a lot of products that are free to use, but only because they can bundle ads with them or otherwise profit from them, but free-to-use products require a large user base to generate much revenue.

Comment Re:alito barrett and thomas dissent (Score 1) 71

20 years ago, which was a few years after conservatives supported the Patriot Act which greatly increased govt surveillance of US citizens? Yeah, no real changes. The folks who want the police state now are the folks who have always wanted the police state (mostly through some idiotic idea that THE OTHER will be persecuted, but never themselves).

The Democrats also voted overwhelmingly in favor of the PATRIOT ACT.

Typical. Modded down for making a simple, incontrovertible statement of fact.

Comment Re: Color me surprised... (Score 1) 202

> I used to think that. Then I looked at the math. The amount of money possessed by the billionares and a trillionare pale in the face of the size (and needs) of the actual economy

The Derivatives Market recently surpassed 1 Quadrillion Dollars.

Notice how none of the politicians are talking about taxing that? It's all a show to stoke up conflict between the lower classes.

On the other hand, the same people do want to put AI in charge of totalizing Central Planning, because "this time Communism will work", because Magic LLM Dust.

We just need an AI Surveillance Police State to bring about the Great Utopia.

Every single time they say the same thing but with different nouns substituted as Madlibs. Then millions die.

Comment "forcing" (Score 2) 17

The way the article is written makes this seem sudden, but Wayback has a discontinuation article at least as far back as January.

https://web.archive.org/web/20...

Maybe third-party cookie blocking killed this. I can imagine automated personality profile builders being done in the background based on GIF's people choose to use.

Comment Re:Oh, right! (Score 2) 70

The 2000 settlement with Microsoft was right in time for Caldera to take the $280 million, buy SCO (Santa Cruz Operation) assets, rename itself "The SCO Group", which it then leveraged in the infamous 2003 SCO vs IBM lawsuit claiming Linux infringed the SCO-licensed (but Novell owned since 1993) AT&T copyrights. Caldera's (aka The SCO Group's) lawsuit collasped when it was revealed that SCO did not own the AT&T Unix copyrights, but that AT&T had sold them to Novell and Novell had merely licensed them to SCO.

Yep.

Even without the ownership issue it would almost certainly have failed because TSG (to distinguish them from SCO) discovered to their shock and amazement that Linux had not, in fact, kifed code from Unix. They clearly went into it assuming that a bunch of volunteer hackers couldn't possibly have built a fully-functional kernel, expecting they could easily prove lots of copyright infringement. Failing to find infringement they hoped they could bluster IBM into settling, but IBM was determined to fight it out and had much better lawyers (heh, we used to call them the Nazgul).

Many of us were disappointed when the ownership issue was revealed. We really wanted Linux to get its day in court. As it turned out that didn't matter; no one else was ever dumb enough to try. Today, of course, the biggest tech companies in the world -- which means the biggest companies in the world! -- almost all use Linux extensively. Even Microsoft would probably stand up to defend Linux these days.

Comment Re:alito barrett and thomas dissent (Score 0) 71

20 years ago, which was a few years after conservatives supported the Patriot Act which greatly increased govt surveillance of US citizens? Yeah, no real changes. The folks who want the police state now are the folks who have always wanted the police state (mostly through some idiotic idea that THE OTHER will be persecuted, but never themselves).

The Democrats also voted overwhelmingly in favor of the PATRIOT ACT.

Comment Re:You're not even talking about the same thing (Score 1) 109

And then you go to bring up an incident where some politician said some racist things to absolve the Democrat party of its history of founding the KKK, shooting Lincoln in support of slavery and writing the Jim Crow laws.

I take it you're in favor of reparations, then.

If not, you have an inconsistency in your worldview. You apparently believe that guilt is carried by groups across generations, even when none of the current group was alive -- and many didn't even have ancestors involved -- when the bad things were done. Thus, the modern Democrats are stained by the racism and pro-slavery views of the 19th and early 20th-century Democrats. Likewise, white Americans are therefore permanently stained by slavery.

Comment Re: I've had poor success with this strategy (Score 1) 90

Honestly, the code that Claude writes is better stylistically and better commented (sometimes to a fault) than 90% of the code I have seen from colleagues and direct reports over the past 30 years.

Indeed. And, yes, Claude massively over-comments. I have more Claude coding rules about commenting than any other single topic. Though I do wonder if my rules make as much sense in the AI era as when code was all maintained by humans. Most of my rules are about minimizing comments because comments are fragile and tend to get out of date... but Claude actually does do a pretty good job of maintaining the comments. I still try to minimize them, though.

It also is a better sounding board for spitballing ideas than 90% of my colleagues.

Heh. That's definitely true for me as well, now, not so much in the past. When I was at Google I had a higher caliber of colleagues. My colleagues at the new company are bright, but they're young and inexperienced. But, yeah, if I didn't have Claude to kick ideas around with me in my current position, my code would be much worse than it is.

Comment Re:Amazing if it works (Score 1) 111

And it's also worth remembering that we wage far less war than ever before, and engage in far less of the rest as well.

Wars are much more costly now that they were in the past.

Nope. Wars used to regularly cause widespread famines, as well as being far more directly bloody. Murdering all the children was for millennia an accepted practice. You should read the book.

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