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Comment Re:Knowing middle managers... (Score 5, Informative) 18

Knowing middle managers, the shit ones did enough arse-licking and point-scoring to hang on to their jobs, while the good ones were too busy being good managers.

Neither, really. They didn't eliminate jobs so much as make new rules that mostly eliminated the "Tech Lead / Manager" (TLM) role.

There used to be a lot of software engineers (people on the software engineer job ladder, as opposed to the engineering manager job ladder) who had 2-3 people reporting to them and were considered TLMs. These people divided their time between engineering work and management. Google made a new rule that every manager has to have at least 5 direct reports. This rule has flattened the hierarchy by mostly eliminating TLMs, who all had to decide whether to lose the "TL" part and be a pure manager or lose the "M" part and be a pure SWE. Well, "pure" is too strong. Some SWE managers still keep their hands in the code but they generally don't have time for significant projects.

Is this an improvement? Dunno. There are pros and cons. The TLM role has some significant benefits to a company. It enables the existence of small, close-knit teams where the team's manager is also the pre-eminent expert in the area. Being managed by the expert has a lot of advantages for the reports, especially when it comes time for the manager to defend the team's performance ratings or promotions, because the manager deeply understands their work. It has advantages for the company, too, because in a small team led by the project expert it's impossible for low-performing employees to hide their low performance or blame it on others.

On the other hand, TLMs can end up overwhelmed by the administrative overhead. This can cause them to be less effective as managers because they don't navigate the system on behalf of their employees as effectively. Some of them may not be very good at defending their reports' ratings and promotions because they don't have the skills to do that, even though they deeply understand the team's contributions. It can also definitely make them less effective as SWEs, and these people were generally top-performing ICs (individual contributors) before taking a manager role. Some might argue that any time they spend on management rather than engineering is a waste of their talents.

Pure engineering managers can be and often are better managers. Better at helping their reports develop important non-technical skills and knowledge and better at working the system for their reports. And some top-performing SWEs are such excellent managers that even as good as they are at building stuff, their positive impact as managers is larger yet.

From the upper management perspective, there's another advantage: Fewer managers to train and manage. Managing managers is harder in many ways than managing engineers, because the output of managers is harder to measure and evaluate. Also, managers are officers of the company which attaches greater legal and PR risk to their actions. Having fewer of them to manage is beneficial.

(Saving money isn't really a benefit, at least not the way Google does it. SWEs who also manage people don't get paid any more than SWEs who don't, holding all else constant.)

On balance, I don't think either approach is ideal, and the best strategy is probably a dynamic balance between them that mostly favors managers being managers (though with the rule that all managers must have been highly competent SWEs) and SWEs being SWEs, but with plenty of scope for exceptions where a project needs a small team of 3-4 people and there's a clear leader with deep technical ability and good people skills.

Anyway, Google has pushed the pendulum away from TLMs and as a result there are many fewer managers, and each manager tends to have a larger team.

(Disclaimer: I work for Google. I used to be a TLM but opted to switch back to an IC role years ago, before the rule change.)

Comment Re:Better yet, don't use buzzwords. (Score 0) 137

"Let's touch base offline to align our bandwidth on this workflow." isn't jargon, it's buzzwords. It just translates to "Let's meet after this and make sure you understand how I want that to work.".

It isn't just buzzwords, it's jargon with specific meaning... but your comment highlights the problem, because you didn't understand it.

One part you didn't understand was "bandwidth", which in the management context means "available work capacity". This means it's a discussion about resource staffing and constraints. Also, "align" means there's going to be some two-way negotiation, in this case to figure out whose employees are going to take on what part of the work based on their availability. (Well, probably. "Align" could have been used out of politeness, implying a fictional intention to negotiate when in reality the speaker does plan to dictate.) In addition, the use of "workflow" implies that the plan to be developed isn't just for one project, but for an ongoing effort.

Try translating all of that nuance to standard English, and you'll convert a ten-word sentence into a paragraph or two. Like all jargon, its purpose is to increase communication by compressing a lot of detailed information into a few words that have context-specific meaning that goes beyond their normal English definitions.

Of course, the downside of the jargon is that it prevents those who don't understand the contextual definitions from understanding, causing them to come away with interpretations like "Let's meet after this and make sure you understand how I want that to work."

In fairness to you, I have to point out that often the users of business jargon don't know what it means either, and are just using it to make themselves sound "businessy". That's less a jargon problem than evidence that the company isn't hiring the best people.

Comment Re: Eventually that will trickle up to everybody (Score 1) 160

There are several companies making really good progress on humanoid robots. Combined with good enough ai, those will be able to fix your toilet or lay mortar at a construction site. When they get good enough, they will be able to do practically any job a human can do.

AI-enhanced robotics will replace humans on a number of manual labor positions, but adoption will be a matter of scale. Because mobile robotics will always be expensive, they'll only be adopted where each can do the job of 10+ humans on a near 24 hour basis. Farming is a good example of where mobile robots will eventually be widely adapted. They'll pretty much pay for themselves on very large farms. But your plumbing contractor will never reasonably be able to afford them considering how much work each employee gets. You can only work on one toilet at a time, one house at a time. The scaling simply isn't there for small businesses with skilled workers. Same thing for small to medium scale construction contractors. You might see robots supplementing men on big city skyscraper projects, but not doing home renovations or pouring a new driveway at someone's house.

Comment Re:But Fox News told me that... (Score 1) 182

You don't because you have passed laws almost everywhere that prevent it.

Yeah, I know the guys videos on the walkable cities...definitely a big leftist from CA.

Some stuff is interesting, but he's a bit too preachy.

Yes, there are zoning laws in places...because we WANT them that way....I don't want to buy a nice house and then have apartment complexes built right near me or govt projects...which raise crime and lower home values....who wants that?

My point is....the US is large enough to where if you want a walkabout, urban city...we already have them, you can move there and be happy.

If you want to live a more suburban life,, have your home values protected....you can do that too.

and again...you can even live rural.

You seem to be arguing that there should be free for all EVERYWHERE and allow no separation of choices of types of living conditions or cities....which happens with no zoning.

Why do you hate choices like we currently have in the US?

Comment Re:But Fox News told me that... (Score 1) 182

You think it's not possible to manage a 15lb brisket on a bike?! Are you unaware of the existence of children? They often weigh a lot more than 15lb, and adults routinely put them on bikes. Are you also unaware of the existence of cargo bikes? They frequently carry loads *way* in excess of 15lb!

https://samfirke.com/2019/09/1...

(You also seem to be imagining some kind of weirdly strict puritanical world in which people don't get shopping delivered to their homes, don't jump in a cab for a journey home with heavy bags, etc

Not just a brisket...geez, that's just one of the most PITA parts of the grocery list I can think of....but on trips like that to Costco, I will often get a case of Coke Zero, maybe a case or two of beer (If I'm low on home brew). I likely will be buying other groceries, potentially a 40lb bag lump charcoal too, etc.

You can seriously fit shit like that on a bicycle AND...drive it on streets in the US??

Why would I want to spend MORE money for delivery...for delivery charges and tip....on top of my grocery bill? I'm actually trying to stretch my food dollars.

And hell, I'd rather pick my own food out....I don't trust some drone to pick out the best and freshest veggies, best looking meats, etc.....

If it works for you, great, but that type of lifestyle comes nowhere close to supporting the lifestyle I am used to and VERY much enjoy....

Comment Re:Eventually that will trickle up to everybody (Score 1) 160

Companies will find that because they replaced all the younger workers with AI, there aren't enough experienced ones. Unless AI dramatically improves, it's going to be a repeat of what happened with on-the-job training. Everyone needs a degree now because companies decided they didn't want to train them.

Everyone needs a degree now because we watered down high school and made it worthless, then we banned companies from using IQ tests to select workers, and so the college degree became a stand in for "He's probably smart enough to do this". But now we're watering down the Bachelor's Degree, too, because it's unfair if everyone doesn't have a college degree or some nonsense.

Comment Re:Eventually that will trickle up to everybody (Score 2, Insightful) 160

The goal here isnt to replace jobs, its to suppress wages.
 

That is flat out wrong. The goal was specifically to replace human beings in a wide swath of positions.

What makes AI unique is that, unlike say, the spreadsheet, it wasn't created to make workers more productive with some skill training. It was created to completely replace a major chunk of knowledge workers, maybe most of them. And it will. AI is a jobs extinction level event. Manual work will be unaffected... AI can't fix your toilet or lay mortar in a construction site, but it's going to be the asteroid that kills off most coding jobs, financial analyst jobs, and a huge chunk of administrative jobs. The software dev positions that remain will mostly be for maintaining AI. All that "learn to code" advice from just a few years ago? Unless you're going into a hyper-specialized software field, requiring years of education and training, you're pretty much going to be obsolete, soon. And I mean soon as in "this decade", not some ambiguous date down the road. So not only will fields like software completely change, but the education ecosystem that served them is going to undergo a serious culling as well. No more coding camps, boys.

Comment Re: I don't have any sympathy (Score 1) 129

He's had super-model wives

And cheated on all of them.

As if powerful men haven't done this since, oh, Eternity.

Forget that he's Donald Trump for a second. With his wealth alone, he has a status that 99.999 percent of men will never have. And such men have legions of young, hot women just waiting to take the place of the current model on his arm. It's human nature, and it'll never end. High status men will always attract flocks of willing young women that will do anything to be on their arm and in their bed.

Comment Re:But Fox News told me that... (Score 2) 182

The point is to build cities where people are not forced to be dependent on a car. It's well known how to do this.

The US is a VERY large country.....there are already cities very much like how YOU want....but, thankfully, there is enough land here to have it all. If you want to live urban, have at it...if you want to live suburban, you are more than welcome and hey, you can live rural too if you wish.

There is no need to try to fit everyone into YOUR vision of Utopia.

At least it isn't in the USA. You have fully choice here how you want to live....at least so far.

Comment Re:But Fox News told me that... (Score 0) 182

I don't own a car. And I pay about $600 a year for public transport (that's what the one-year ticket for all public transport in my region costs. And no, this is not the famous Deutschlandticket [wikipedia.org]). One problem hence is solved. I will not have to fill 1/8 of a gas tank, I don't have to pay maintenance and insurance on a car. Privately owned cars are a huge financial burden.

Apparently not where you live....which sounds like a very tiny place....

Not the case in the US....driving is the way of life here...it's not inconvenient .....and not that expensive really, just a part of life here.

Like anything there are positives and negatives, but so far I've enjoyed my life and lifestyle here and would not trade it for anything.

Comment Re:But Fox News told me that... (Score 1) 182

Personally, my goal is quality of life, and stability of the food supply. I don't understand why I can't walk to work, walk to buy fresh vegetables after work and walk home to cook a good meal - or walk to a good restaurant. I actually do some of that now, and I see so many of my co-Americans sitting in traffic for 1-2 hours each way, or 2-4 hours a day.. both ways..breathing in that CO2, getting irritated and wasting their time, and making the food supply unpredictable in the long term. There is a long term problem... but the short and long term solution seems one in the same.. don't worship suburbs, have jobs, decent grocery stores, entertainment, restaurants, and affordable housing all in walking distance.

Do remember that YOUR definition of quality of life is not necessarily the same for everyone else.

There are cities, densely populated that will give you pretty much what you want.

However, that pretty much necessitates a densely packed urban setting...that is something I do NOT want to live in.

I do not want to share walls neighbors like I did as a college student....

I want a place with my own yard and garage/patio where I can park a car and motorcycle...where I can keep my very large wood burning offset smoker for BBQ'ing...and my cord of wood I used to fuel it...I want to have room back there to set up and do crawfish boils with friends and have gatherings,etc.

I'll trade "walkability" for that....I like to buy in bulk anywhere, and don't want to have to walk somewhere every day to get food to cook. I see what's on sale each week at the various grocery stores in the area...and I hit those for what's on sale and build my weekly menus from that.

I also buy in bulk from Costco when that makes $$ sense....

No way I could get home with a Costco load walking, or on a bike, etc...that 15lb brisket alone would be a bitch to get home on public transport if I had to do that.

So, suburbia is a utopia for some and their lifestyle.....not for you and that is cool...thankfully the US is a large country and there is somewhere to please most everyone .

Just please don't try to force your happiness on others....

And so far...I've not seen even a hint of food shortage yet in my long lifetime.....

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