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Comment Re:This is more than just a halt to pull requests. (Score 3, Insightful) 18

There is an answer to disingenuous pull requests. That is doing the work to review the code before it's implemented.

That's true, but when it takes Joe Random Hacker 10 seconds to generate a plausible-looking pull-request, which requires Joe Project Maintainer to spend 30 minutes reviewing the code-changes in that request, and Joe Project Maintainer isn't getting paid for his time spent doing the review, you've got all the ingredients for a distributed-denial-of-service attack on your project's maintainers. Perhaps AI code-reviewers can restore the balance, but I don't know how many project maintainers would trust their codebase's integrity to them (yet).

Comment Re:Oh look the grifters are back (Score 1) 89

Switching facilities are expensive, but you can design grids such that they are able to break into smaller grids, and that does get continually cheaper. Restarting and synchronizing grids can be difficult, but the more battery storage you've got, the easier that gets. So what we'll more likely wind up with is a grid with more compartmentalization, with a lot of people left in weird and unreliable sectors of the network with unreliable power because nobody will force the providers to actually provide them with power reliably.

Comment Re:Out of control demand for power (Score 2) 89

Solar uses space

There's a lot of space available because it doesn't need it all to itself. There's a lot of desert nobody is using, a lot of canals and reservoirs we could cover, a lot of nice safe flat commercial roofs, a lot of commercial glass, a lot of car parks. So since that's not a real problem, can we just legislate it and move on?

Wind is going to be seen as a loser in so many ways

Because so many lies are being told about it, yes.

Comment Re:Oh look the grifters are back (Score 1) 89

And SMRs will never be economical.

SMRs that utilize 1950's designs and require intense operational oversight and maintenance could never be economical. SMRs that use better, safer designs that can safely operate with no active operational oversight and little or no maintenance, which can function without intervention and without refueling for 20-30 years, then be inexpensively disposed-of and replaced, and which can be manufactured in large quantities to bring the unit cost down, promise to be very economical.

Will the new designs actually achieve all of those goals? On paper it looks good. Whether that theory will translate into practice is something that can only be discovered by trying.

Comment Re:A fabulous plan with no possible downsides (Score 5, Informative) 89

This sounds like a fabulous plan with no possible downsides, risks, or sharp edges.

The risks are a lot smaller than you think they are, because of new reactor design. Nearly all of the nuclear reactors in the world are still using a design that's 70 years old, that requires active cooling and doesn't fail safely. We have much better designs now, at least on paper, designs that simply can't melt down, whose failure mode is to simply stop. But no one builds these new designs on industrial scale because they're unproven, and there hasn't been much funding for doing all of the engineering and research needed to develop them into fully-functioning designs that can be.

I'm skeptical that small reactors are really the best way to actually deploy nuclear power on a large scale, because of security concerns, but starting small is the best way to validate and refine new designs. And modularity is clearly a good strategy for making deployments of varying sizes cost-effective. If you can develop a cost-effective module that can be manufactured in large numbers, you can build large plants by clustering them.

The new designs shouldn't actually need much operational oversight -- if something goes operationally wrong, they just stop functioning -- but they'll still have highly radioactive cores which, if extracted, could be pretty terrible weapons. Not to make nuclear bombs, but to greatly enhance the damage done by conventional explosives, by adding radiation hazards that linger for years. So, security will remain an important consideration, and the SMRs should only be deployed where security can be assured, which will in practice mean that most are deployed in large clusters.

This all assumes that the safety, effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of the new designs proves out, of course. The only way to find out whether that will be the case is to try.

Comment Re:What I'm reading (Score 2) 48

1) You said "AI hype is dying", not "AI companies aren't profitable" Undergoing an insane sustained ~10x/yr exponential growth trajectory over 3 1/2 years , and that rate even accelerating now, is in no way "dying"

2) It is absolutely not normal for companies undergoing rapid rates of growth, let alone such an insane rate, to be profitable. Scaleup generally means you lose money hand-over-fist, as scaleup is extremely expensive (no less so in this field!). And yet:

3) Anthropic may actually pull it off this quarter.

Their margins are like 40%. That's all users combined, not just paying users. Inference is cheap to serve; compare what the closed commercial operators like Anthropic charge vs. what the open source models (an actually competitive for-profit marketplace) charge, for models of equivalent size. The closed models rob you blind. But people pay it because their models are the best.

(BTW, the main thing that's driving it now isn't random people asking questions on the website or in an app in their phone. It's software developers).

Comment Re:What I'm reading (Score 1) 48

Here's the crazy thing: initially, SpaceX / X.AI didn't acquire the servers. Tesla had the contract for them, and then Tesla just gave those rights to X.AI. Tesla is a public company, while X.AI was Musk's private company, founded so that he wouldn't have to share any AI profits with Tesla.

Now, Musk's excuse was that Tesla's datacentre wasn't ready yet, and it cost Tesla nothing. But of course, there was a massive backlog on servers; the rights to early delivery of servers was incredible value. It let X.AI jump to the head of the line. Tesla could have sold those servers or the rights to them at a huge markup.

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