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Comment Re: Poor on $100k? Sure (Score 1) 503

>You're getting a lot better living for the $150k, you're definitely not in the same boat. That's like the people who say, "Oh, my BMW payments are so high, they're forcing me to cut back on my quality of life."

You forget our wonderful progressive tax system. A person with $150k in income and $100k in expenses will also be paying $32,000 in federal income taxes a year, plus state taxes, plus medicare, medicaid, etc. Will effectively be poor.

A person with $200k in income and $150 in expenses will pay $46,000 in taxes plus everything else, and will be running in the negatives every year.

>And even in the Bay Area, you can buy a nice house for $150k a year.

So a $600,000 house? There's exactly four 3 bedroom houses for sale at the $600k price point in San Francisco right now (on Zillow). The average is closer to a million for a single family home. There's a couple elsewhere on the penninsula and Marin, but pretty much everything with these specs is going to be Oakland, Richmond, Hayward, or Concord. I'd rather live in San Diego, thank you very much. (And I have indeed lived in both cities.)

Comment Re:The sharing of table scraps economy not viable? (Score 1) 313

Even the manufacturer (Energy Suspensions) admits they don't last as long as rubber ones. But that comes down to failure mode, polyurethane develops gaps where it was taking a pounding. Rubber just turns to mush, everywhere. So the rubber failure isn't so noticeable. I'm sure you saw old bushings and were amazed you were on those the day before.

Done it on a few cars, Civic, Mustang. The worst are A arms. Two bushings, in line. Even with a press, had to torch out the inserts, then press out the smaller collar through the bigger with a long drift, a huge VW axle socket and a bunch of shims. Then the other way.

My vice wouldn't touch those. Would have needed locomotive sockets to be the big catchers in the standard socket setup. Getting them loose was the bitch. Used my big fine thread, long bolt and socket/plate and shims, no joy. Just bent plate. These bushings are about 2 inches and you replace the metal collars holding the rubber.

Like I say, for $20 more than the rear set, I could have just gotten tubular steel populated assemblies. Really fixing the front involves removing the motor and installing a new K member...later, maybe.

For now the polyurethane, yellow konis and lower final gear have done the trick. The kid had spent all his money on the motor, then raced his licence away, then sold it (to me) when the cops were promising him they'd take it next time. They followed me, looked bummed out, needs paint.

Comment Re:This Is The Question (Score 1) 503

Isn't Moscone Center a 3 or 4 block walk from a BART subway station? Am I losing my mind?

I'll park and ride, it's the fastest way to get past the bay bridge. A few roaming crazies don't scare me.

Getting from Antioch to the south bay would really take for fucking ever, but many times of day cars would be just as bad or worse.

Comment Re:Don't buy what you can't afford. 3,500feet, $24 (Score 1) 503

It would be a nightmare, but it would be better than Elk Grove and driving over Livermore pass. People do it. Sleep on the trains.

Downtown proper is a strange place. $2300 rent and you have to guard an outdoor grill, or the food disappears. I don't get it.

Comment Re: Two people. Tee-hee. (Score 1) 106

Sceptical. They were pretty monitored, heart rate etc. Plus three military hard cases, not two. Even taking 10%, the odds are just very very long.

What about the times they were in the moon's radio shadow? Command module pilot, alone, far side of the moon, might have rubbed one out for uncle sam. Hell, kids, might have rubbed on out each orbit. Anybody know how long the radio blackout per orbit was?

IIRC a husband and wife flew together on the old Russian base. The have to have grabbed some 'quality time' in an empty supply module. Who honestly wouldn't? Anybody?

Comment Re:Sort of confused at what you are shooting for.. (Score 1) 196

The point I was making was that game devs of the time weren't even trying to build a intelligent, learning system that would adapt to player behavior or environmental changes, but they simply took the lazy/easy path of just peeking at player input and using asymmetrical information to appear to be smarter than they actually were.

In other words, when you slightly change the rules about how AI is supposed to work, the problems turned out so easy that the developer didn't need to bother with any formal AI approaches.

It's also worth noting that the developer solved the problem. Excessive problem description and feature creation is a notorious killer of many academic projects not just in the AI world. The business world occasionally falls prey to that as well, but as we see here, not always.

I am a little confused though, on how either of these points leads you to the conclusion that 'Academic Techniques' aren't adequate for real world problems. Some of the best and most exiting work in the 'real world' being done by big companies is built solidly on academic techniques. Go read about Google's machine translate work, for example. It is built on a neural net model, and is making some pretty amazing progress.

First, on your machine translation example, "amazing progress" compared to what? Both neural nets and machine translation have been around for decades. The "wow" factor of Google's efforts comes from the infrastructure that has been built up (being able to copy/paste something something to be translated over the internet effortlessly and throw orders of magnitude more CPU cycles at it) rather than the algorithm.

What I consider a more relevant case of doing something new with neural networks is Google's Deep Dream where one uses a neural network trained on finding certain images (say like images of buildings) to iteratively perturb images (like a mundane landscape photo) to bring out those patterns (ending up with a weird, psychedelic image with lots of buildings crammed into every part of the image).

Unfortunately, there's not a lot of academic precedent for that. The related research articles heavily emphasize classification and detection improvements not the wow of turning a boring image into piles of buildings or whatever. Going to the games genre, this would be an excellent way for a neural network to create on the fly themed maps and art for a game. Train a neural net to spot the desired sort of maps or artwork and then starting with a sufficiently simulating pile of mush, bring out the desired patterns iteratively in the mush.

Finally, if you hope that using my own opinions about the state of AI will somehow shore up your opinion of academic AI techniques, I will be the first to claim that I am a talented amateur at best. Build your arguments on my thoughs on the topic, and you are truly building a house on sand!

You made the claim that academics are at least a century out from building anything resembling human or higher level AI. That says right there that you don't think they have much to say about the subject now. This brings up my second point, Your beliefs are inconsistent. We don't need to care about any validation of my beliefs when the conflicts in your beliefs are more than ample to defeat your assertions.

The most obvious source of any AI development is completely missed here. It's not academics, CEOs, or secretive government agencies. It's computers. Once you've completely automated the creation of human or better level AI, then it's not going to need a century to get there. You might not even need a day.

Bootstrapping more sophisticated algorithms from existing one that have sufficient power to improve themselves is the great missing step here, I think. And modern AI research simply isn't going that way at present. I think at some point that will change, then we'll come up with more relevant concerns than how many more centuries we'll wait till humanity does this thing.

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