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Comment Re:They have to keep sending them up (Score 1) 124

Low latency AI edge computing. There's several military applications, such as directing drone swarms or even providing AI to individual drones.

Perhaps, but I suspect Starlink (etc) already fills most of that use-case, and for the rest, they'll want that compute to be physically located inside the drones themselves, because otherwise the drones will be susceptible to jamming or spoofing.

Comment Re:UBI was proposed in 1968 (Score 1) 219

Why would you think there won't be jobs AI "can't do"? Have you used AI lately? It can do little stuff nicely. But when you throw something complex at it, you have to hand-hold it and give it many follow-up prompts. This is no different than any other type of automation ever.

There will be jobs that AI can't do. How many? Enough to keep 5-10 billion humans employed? What makes you so sure there will be?

Clearly AI has progressed considerably over the last 5-10 years. It's anyone's guess how much further it will progress -- maybe it'll plateau right where it is now, or maybe it will keep becoming more powerful as better algorithms are discovered. I'm not qualified to predict that, and neither are you, but the AI people certainly seem bullish about it.

You actually think money actually "just appears"?

Sorry, I thought you would understand that I meant that the resources that money represents appear, once you've solved the automation problems that currently make mass-production difficult. That's why you can buy a pocket computer today for $300 that would have your cost you billions of dollars twenty years ago, if you could have obtained it at all.

I bet you'd have more interesting conversations if you made a good-faith effort to understand what the other person was saying, rather than just jumping straight to the part where you get to throw insults at them and tell them how dumb they are. Doesn't that get boring?

Comment Re:They have to keep sending them up (Score 4, Insightful) 124

Maybe they want us to believe that they will be a vertically integrated AI provider with data centers in space. I am highly doubtful about the latter; there certainly are business cases for having AI datacenters in space, but they are edge cases.

I have yet to hear of a remotely plausible business case for putting data centers into space. The only benefit is 24/7 solar power, but that benefit is more than offset by the cost of launching everything into orbit, plus the cost of keeping everything properly cooled, plus the cost of radiation-hardening everything, and finally the cost of maintaining hardware in space (or, more likely, the cost of periodically having to write off the entire investment and build and launch new replacement hardware).

Unless Musk is trying to corner the market for AI-generated kiddie-porn (or something similarly illegal that needs to be operated beyond the reach of Earthly authorities), his ground-based competitors will undercut his pricing by a factor of 100, and he therefore won't have a viable product to sell.

Comment Re:UBI was proposed in 1968 (Score 1) 219

But new categories of work will emerge, just as has happened in every past wave of automation.

Certainly new categories of work will emerge. The question is, will hiring and paying human beings be the most economically efficient way to fill those new positions, or will those jobs be done by AIs instead?

Previous waves of automation allowed people to move "up the food chain" and do jobs the machines still couldn't do, which was fine (at least, for the people capable of doing the new jobs), but if we get to the stage where there aren't many jobs left that the machines can't do, then we're out of luck -- it's unlikely that our tech-bro overlords are going to hire people simply on humanitarian grounds, if they can get an unquestioning machine to do the same work cheaper.

The third fantasy is that UBI is possible. It's just as possible as a perpetual motion machine, and for many of the same reasons. Money doesn't just appear without consequences and side effects.

I agree that UBI is unlikely, but only because the billionaires don't like sharing and therefore won't support it. The money does "just appear" when you have mass automation doing the work to make it appear, but it will go into Bezos' checking account, not to the general public.

Comment Re:giving all residents! (Score 2) 44

Did you post this also when Musk said THE EXACT SAME THING?????

Unemployed people can't buy stocks.

More seriously, both this and Musk sound like the government seizing company assets and distributing it evenly to everybody. This is basically UBI, and it is a huge tax no matter how it is collected. It may work however, needs to be investigated with some seriousness and by people without preconceived notions of what will happen.

Comment Re:Well duh (Score 1) 87

The theme parks are still packed, at least from what I've seen.

Yes, and that's the problem for Disney -- theme parks can only physically accept so many people per year, and they can't (easily) build more of them. So theme parks can't be more than a small amount of their total income; to really make the big money, the Mouse has to ship products that can and will be purchased by everyone. In practice, that means movies; ideally good movies, but at a minimum, popular movies.

Comment Re:Oh crap (Score 1) 62

Also, weren't you one of the geniuses here on /. telling us that Trump would keep us out of wars? How is that one going?

Oh, but these are *preventative* wars. He gets a peace prize for every country he invades!

Venezuela was using fentanyl as a WMD. Iran was about to nuke us. Cuba might attack us with drones if someone provides them. Greenland might start a snowball fight, and make us look bad if we lose.

Presumably we've got all our best people on this, since they're obviously not on the UFO videos.

Comment Re:Why is this surprising?? (Score 1) 120

But you still somehow perceive them as coming with an agenda that just doesn't exist.

No doubt Microsoft's agenda today is different from what it was 30 years ago, but it's still Microsoft's agenda. Microsoft can be relied upon to do what is good for Microsoft, and any dependency you form on their products can and will be used as leverage to extract money from you.

Comment Re:It's because it takes away from the state lotte (Score 1) 132

The difference has nothing to do with the knowledge.

In the stock market, the money put in is actually used to advance the value of the stock. It's an investment just like you paying somebody to make widgets (that manufacturer could screw up his work and lose all your money, but that possibility does not make it gambling). In polymarket the money you put in is not used in any way to advance the outcome you are betting on.

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