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Comment Re: Correct link: (Score 1) 248

Actually no. Survivorship bias is precisely the act of using self referential anecdotal evidence and extrapolating it beyond its appropriate scope.

He used a self-referential anecdote to conclude something about himself, and nobody else. That is perfectly valid use of an anecdote. Just because anecdotes are often used incorrectly does not mean that every use of an anecdote is incorrect. You just saw an anecdote in a conversation and dutifully recited the logical fallacy lines.

For it to not be survivorship bias the anecdote needs to explore data beyond ones self.

No, it does not. He is not seeking to make any conclusion beyond himself. Why would he need extra data? He is saying "I've never had an accident, therefore given that past performance is a reasonable indicator of future performance, I conclude that I am a good driver." That is a perfectly valid statement. If he tried to conclude anything beyond himself, you might have a case. But, as it stands, he is not, so you don't.

The only thing dumber than a person who makes logical fallacies, is someone calling others out on logical fallacies incorrectly. Stop it, you're embarrassing yourself.

Submission + - The Gravity of the Situation (earth.com)

jd writes: A number of sites are reporting an unconfirmed breakdown of Relativity at extreme distance: Researchers have stumbled upon a phenomenon that could rewrite our understanding of the universe’s gravitational forces. Known as the “cosmic glitch,” this discovery highlights anomalies in gravity’s behavior on an immense scale, challenging the established norms set by Albert Einstein’s theory of general relativity. However, when applied to the vast scales of galaxy clusters and beyond, this model begins to show cracks. Robin Wen is the project’s lead author and a recent graduate in Mathematical Physics from the University of Waterloo. “At these colossal distances, general relativity starts to deviate from what we observe. It’s as if gravity’s influence weakens by about one percent when dealing with distances spanning billions of light years,” explained Wen. Here's the research paper causing the excitement: https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1475-7516/2024/03/045

This is where it's being covered by the press: https://www.earth.com/news/cos... https://www.space.com/cosmic-g... https://phys.org/news/2024-05-... https://www.sciencedaily.com/r... https://uwaterloo.ca/math/news... https://www.newsweek.com/gravi... https://timesofindia.indiatime...

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