2x seems possible if no government spending is replaced. However your 3x estimate is way too high, people living only on UBI would not be paying taxes (well federal and state) anyway, so you have double-counted them.

The hope (perhaps futile) is that they would remove other government programs (ie social security). Or make everybody get the same government programs (ie everybody gets SNAP and they can use it to buy food, everybody gets the same amount of housing assistance (which must be spent on mortgage/rent/property taxes/untilities/insurance). These would just be part of the UBI, with some restrictions on what you can spend that portion on.

I was able to get it to save all photos on Google Photos. But I seem to remember it was a pain, it took a long time before it threw away it's attempt to put all the photos into iCloud and stopped complaining in popups that I needed to buy more iCloud storage.

Free Google Photos is about 4x the size of what free iCloud is.

I'm pretty worried that all interdepartmental communication (those regulations, the forms for the regulations, invoices, contracts, lawsuits, etc) will transform into bloated gobbledygook that only AIs can read and write. They will have made their own language that we won't understand and will have to start trusting them to accurately translate between it and human language.

Automobiles employed a LOT of people, easily out numbering the ones that no longer picked up horse shit. That is a big difference from AI.

You are right, I didn't know or didn't remember those.

Peak seems to be 9x present day. If you use the error bars then it seems to be a range of 3x-15x.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

Right. You are applying legalese word precision assumptions to throwaway online comments. I don't think that's going to work well.

No, the one that answered:

"You know what he means, ahole. If this were truly a problem the jet fuel would be rationed and private aircraft would be at the bottom of the priority list"

The entire point of rationing would be to REMOVE the pure market forces that would deal out the limited commodity to those with the largest wallets and replace it with a scheme that benefits the most people, instead of the most money.

If you actually knew better, you'd have posted it, not just made a vague assertion.

Yes, and the only ships running on nuclear reactors are military ships. As I said: No civilian use-case.

This is one AC that deserves to be modded up. I already commented, so I can't.

You are aware of what happened Oct 7, 2023, right?

Actually, islamic fundamentalists qualify for that statement in absolutely every way. So at the absolute minimum you'll have to concede that there are two fascist sides.

For sufficiently gracious definitions of "working". Iran was quite busy building up conventional weapons including delivery systems that could be re-purposed for nukes as well as moving towards nuclear weapons. There is no civilian use for 60% enriched uranium. Moreover, the number "60%" is misleading. The work to enrich isn't linear. When you have 60%, you're not 60% of the way from raw to weapons-grade, you're 95% of the way.

To put into context just how insane any claim that they had 60% for any peaceful purposes is: Most nuclear reactors use uranium enriched to 3% to 5%. 60% isn't "a bit more than usual". It's a fuckton more than any non-weapons use can reasonably explain.

Iran didn't need a reason. We all know the reason they already had: Wiping out Israel.

And no strike or other interruption has ever made them learn that JIT isn't all flowers and happiness and moving your warehouse to the road has more consequences than cost savings.

No I think the proposers of this think the only effect is that people won't be able to print guns on a 3D printer. They are wrong (both about it stopping the printing of guns, and that this being the only effect), but I really don't think they are planning some different objective.