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Submission + - China's Communist Party Tops 100 Million Members (wsj.com)

An anonymous reader writes: China’s Communist Party had 100.27 million members by the end of 2024, an increase of about 1 per cent from the previous year, according to official data released ahead of the party’s 104th anniversary. However, the rate of membership growth has continued to slow, with one insider attributing this to stricter screening by the Central Organisation Department (COD), the party’s top personnel office. The more stringent screening has resulted in a longer waiting list as applications to join the party continue to grow, since membership is still widely regarded as a prerequisite for a meaningful political career. By the end of 2024, there were 21.42 million applicants waiting in line, an increase of 440,000 applicants over 2023, according to the COD data. China’s ruling party continues to be the world’s No 2 political party by membership strength, after India’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party which claimed to have 140 million members.

Comment Re:Raise your hand if you're surprised (Score 1) 181

Between all the permafrost melting across Russia to methane to massive fossil fuel use, how can anybody be surprised? I have long viewed the worst possibilities as the most likely. The most likely predictions always seemed pretty damn optimistic. We fucked.

I'm surprised, and you should be too, if your view is evidence-based, because this is a new effect that was not predicted by any of the previous models, which already consider the melting permafrost, methane emissions and fossil fuel use.

Comment Re:Portable hardware (Score 3, Interesting) 33

I think it's a reasonable extrapolation.

Microsoft's historical strengths have been associated with enabling third parties.

Nokia, Surface, and xBox seemed to be them pining for a more Apple-like model where they just call all the shots up and down the stack.

Given that Nokia is dead, Surface is kind of de-emphasized, and xBox has started to see use as a brand for PC gaming, accessories, and partners... It's not a huge leap that the'll just delegate the brand to the OEMs on hardware execution as the software stack hasn't really benefitted from a locked down hardware BOM in quite some time. Microsoft played with in-house hardware and didn't seem to have particularly impressive results while sort of risking alienating their partners that have driven their strength.

Comment Re:"Does not compute" moment with smoke and sparks (Score 1) 130

Further there was a paper about how LLMs were able to beat intermediate chess playing humans.

Then I dug in and they would do things like allow an LLM several rounds to correct a mistaken move (e.g. the engine would just make up a new bishop or make a piece move in an invalid way). If they had just given the LLM one and only one shot at each move, who knows how many games would have failed.

Comment Hollow word... (Score 1) 48

AI is obnoxiously overused in marketing and invites skepticism immediately as it strikes people as lazy marketing trying to cache in on a blatantly hyped phrase. It starts to smell scammy when all the scammers are right in the bandwagon of using it.

Further, it doesn't talk about *what* the product does, but just says it uses AI to do it. People want to know what is good about a product, and wouldn't care if it's done by some credibly "AI" approach, or a traditional programming, or a breed of super intelligent hamsters operating the device remotely from some operation centers.

Comment Re: "new technology" or "cutting-edge technologies (Score 1) 48

The point is 'new' and 'cutting-edge' are uselessly vague, but have long been a staple of marketing speak that people have pretty much tuned it out. They wanted a 'control' for a marketing word and those are pretty much best they could come up.

I would say the marketing issues aren't even about LLMs or any specific problematic experience, but being wary of an overused buzzword. It might have some further negative impression owing to the threat that AI is going to come for their jobs. I'd say it's a tiny fraction of people that actually have given an LLM a spin and found it less useful than everyone seems to act like it is, either they haven't bothered or they used it so lightly that it seemed vaguely credible.

Submission + - China Conducted Test Flight of Kerosene-based Hypersonic Vehicle (scmp.com)

hackingbear writes: SCMP reported that, in a groundbreaking demonstration of technological prowess, China's Feitian 2 hypersonic vehicle successfully completed its test flight, showcasing advanced capabilities in seamless mode transitions and fuel efficiency, marking a significant leap forward in aerospace engineering. China's Northwestern Polytechnical University (NPU) said in a statement that the test represented the first successful acquisition of real-flight data for a rocket-based combined cycle (RBCC) engine using a kerosene-hydrogen peroxide propellant, proving key capabilities, including variable-geometry intake operation, thrust-varying acceleration and autonomous flight with variable angle of attack. The RBCC engine represents a revolutionary concept, integrating the benefits of traditional rocket engines and air-breathing ramjets within a single system. Its core objective is to maximize the use of atmospheric oxygen as the oxidizer during atmospheric flight, drastically reducing the oxidizer weight the vehicle must carry, thereby significantly boosting the payload capacity and fuel efficiency. Although it is less efficient at converting propellant to thrust than liquid hydrogen, the mixture of kerosene-hydrogen peroxide eliminates the need for complex cryogenic systems, allowing pre-fuelling and long-term standby readiness. The successful demonstration of RBCC engine capabilities and autonomous flight systems suggests that hypersonic vehicles could soon become a reality for both military and civilian applications. Moreover, the test evaluated the vehicle’s autonomous flight capabilities, enabling it to adjust its angles of attack based on mission parameters and environmental conditions. The ability to smoothly transition between flight modes and adapt to environmental conditions opens new possibilities for rapid global travel and advanced defense systems. Notably, NPU is subject to US sanctions and requires specific US Commerce Department approval to buy sensitive US-made research equipment and components, while Chinese authorities publicly accused the US National Security Agency’s (NSA) carrying out extensive cyberattacks against the university.

Comment Re:Psthetic (Score 1) 84

It isn't, but in Japan as in many other cultures the woman is considered to have joined her husband's family and her showing respect for his family is more important than him showing respect for her family.

Comment Re:This is the way. (Score 1) 127

Diminished maybe, but not all that much.

I think we can reasonably assume that if there's a huge blackout, it won't last forever. A lot of smart people will work hard on getting things up and running again. A few years ago in the USA it lasted for a bit longer, what was it, a week or two? Recently in Spain it lasted a few days. But all those power stations and power grid operators don't just shrug and go home. So getting through those days is probably all it takes for any reasonably realistic scenario.

And you can build things up piecewise. I've got my solar now. The next thing will be a battery. Once I have that, I can think about an electric car.

Comment Re:Duh (Score 1) 181

in a world where overpopulation strains every system and food scarcity becomes unavoidable

I suppose, but that's nothing like the world we live in. In our world, food is abundant at never-before-seen levels. Agricultural productivity has not only matched but significantly exceeded population growth. Unless climate change or some catastrophic event has large negative impacts on food production, directly or indirectly, it seems unlikely that the human race will ever again experience significant food scarcity.

Comment Re:in other words (Score 1) 181

Because... and bear with me here.... humans developed the LLMs.

I think it's more likely that approximation is necessary to complex, higher-level thinking, and that produces a certain form of error which is therefore inherent in all intelligences capable of it. This can be improved by adding subsystems that compute more precisely, just as humans do, using processes and equipment to augment their intellectual abilities, ranging from complex computation engines to pencil and paper (Einstein said "My pencil and me are smarter than me").

Comment Re:License Agreement Clauses (Score 1) 82

Does such an agreement continue to exist once the vendor stops supporting the product? Seems pretty one-sided to no longer provide any support yet still have the right to perform audits. I would hope that such an agreement would be invalidated if it was ever brought to court.

I think they'd argue that the audit is a condition of the license to use the software, which the customer already agreed to and which was not tied to an ongoing support contract. Depending on the details of the license agreement, this could pass legal muster.

It still seems like a stupid move on the part of Broadcom, alienating their customer base in the hope of extracting a few more fees. I wonder if they've decided that their virtualization business is soon going to be eaten up by OSS anyway, so they have to get what they can while they can.

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