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Comment Re:What is thinking? (Score 1) 113

A goodish portion of medicine is applying an algorithm to a set of circumstance. A large potion of the critical thinking has already been done for you. You just need to isolate which algorithm applies when.

The very best doctors (from a very, very good doctor), are interlocutors, teasing out what isn't obvious from what the patient is presenting an piecing out a narrative of what makes sense.

The critical thinking is much after.

Comment Re:It doesn't matter whether or not it can think.. (Score 1) 113

You'd be surprised.

Beyond the nuts and bolts of how to do a thing, there is a fair bit of nuance and institutional knowledge that goes into any job, that isn't apparent from a set of directives.

Sometimes it takes the form of best practices. Sometimes it is knowing what wheel to grease to get something done.

Individually, they may not amount to much, but in totality they make the difference between something running smoothly and pulling your hair out.

And even in the face of this context matters, which is why LLMs make such obvious errors like putting glue on pizza and Carl generally doesn't.

Comment Sure, whatever (Score 1) 113

Show me how your insights have enabled you to create more advanced functionality, and then I'll be interested.

Much of the critique seems irrelevant to AI other than LLMs, such as self-driving cars which map visual input to actions.

Comment Re:The thumbnails make themselves (Score 1) 64

My wife and I bought a used 2024 Mini Cooper EV just last weekend, for roughly that amount. It seems well-built and is very fun to drive. However it is only useful for driving around town because its range is only 120 miles. Technologically this is clearly out of date. I couldn't help but think that if not for trade restrictions we could be paying the same for a new car with more advanced batteries and motors. In fact the Mini Cooper EV, the 2025 model with almost double the range, is not available in the US because of trade restrictions.

Comment Re:Forget about 25 (Score 1) 31

I never liked the framing of 'their brain hasn't finished maturing.' You could as well say that after 26 the brain begins its decline into risk aversion and senescence. Somebody has to go out and slay the beasts and fight the enemies and make the babies and young people in their physical prime did most of it.

Comment Did they prevent access to enough information? (Score 1) 14

I'm reminded of what the Benetton F1 team did when rules specifically prevented teams from using wheel speed and gear information to run traction control systems. Instead they used a combination of incoming air stream pressure (similar to how an aircraft's pitot-static system works) in combination with some preloaded per-event data and track position information to make another traction control system that did the same job.

Information about past leases and public data from competing landlords might still be enough to do the job.

Comment Re:Dumbass puts huge money late into obvious bubbl (Score 1) 100

An LLM may be an ingredient, but the current commercial approach of trying to just build an LLM so big that it magically becomes an AGI somehow (or I think the idea may be to make a stochastic parrot good enough to be hard to distinguish from an AGI) sure doesn't look anything like a path, especially when the returns are diminishing so hard.

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