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Comment Re: I'll pass on the clot shot, thanks. (Score 1) 223

Have you read Vaccine epidemiology A review? This will get you started.

Herd immunity threshold (H) is defined as the minimum proportion to be immunized in a population for elimination of infection.
H = 1 - 1/Ro = (Ro -1)/Ro As the immunization coverage increases, the incidence and prevalence rates may decrease not only due to the direct effect of immunization per se but also because of indirect effects, such as the development of herd immunity and herd effect

Comment Re:Yeah I do (Score 2) 87

I understand economy well enough to recognize a long chain of IFs in your reasoning. What you say is not impossible, but it is unlikely. For example, the value of US dollar that determines the cost of importing goods is not mainly determined by the bond market, but by the exchange rate. More so, the exchange mechanism has multiple feedback mechanisms. As USD goes down, exported goods become cheaper and this in turn stimulates US production. Also, countries that trade with US also devalue their own currency or risk losing market share in US, which is major market. Etc., etc.

Pretending that BBB is a guaranteed disaster is a political (subjective) and not a view based on economics (more objective).

As usual, you are reasoning from conclusion in your political views - you want X to be true and you construct a long chain of improbable events to justify your conclusion. In other words - OK doomer..

Comment Re: I'll pass on the clot shot, thanks. (Score 1) 223

Do you know anyone who has had polio?

So we are back to anecdotes? Your disorganized thinking is sad to watch.

There is eradicated in that it doesn't exist any more and then there is eradicated in the sense that only some statistically small number of people get it.

COVID was not eradicated and considering how infectious it is, could not be eradicated with mRNA treatments due to how they function. Hint:Any rational argument must show how any treatment or vaccination program could lower R (basic reproduction ratio) to 1.

Comment Re:Hmm (Score 1) 34

And unfortunately, thanks to the games like this we ended up with things like the "Verifying that you are a human" interstitial pages from cloud flare, which I am guessing use something like described for Anubis. I hate it and my CPU hates it (spiking to 100% for up to a minute to perform the calculation). You know who doesn't hate it? The bots. They simply act like any browser that has no JavaScript and ignore it.

Oh, and my Noscript (different device) breaks those pages every single time, meaning that I move on to a better source.

Comment Re:Actually, you might want to root for China (Score 1) 133

What is the worst a 'communist AI' could do

Your lack of imagination does not mean this is not a huge problem. The issue with Cmmunist ideology is that it is not logical, but it could somewhat work because people can ask in a rational ways within irrational system. AI, incapable of reason or logic, would just rigidly apply its parameters, which in case of Communism will result in mass casualties. This is because Communism is a poor model of reality.

Comment Re: I'll pass on the clot shot, thanks. (Score 1) 223

This is excellent question. The answer has two dimensions to it - time and source. Anything close to pandemic is not trustworthy, as all institutions succumbed to the panic and self-censorship. So anything 2018 and older, before there is any chance for science to be tainted by politics.

Comment Re:That says something about "Hackatons" (Score 1) 172

Indeed, I would not trust a single thing he wrote to be production ready. Are all possible exceptions handled gracefully? Are edge cases incorporated? How do I back up and restore the data of the application without loss? Can I load balance it across multiple data centers internationally located? Does it properly record all authentication, authorization, and action for later audit? Is every resource access properly secured? Will it integrate into our SSO systems? Does it support closed source data stores? Using the audio example, what does it do if I feed it a "song" that is just a combination of all possible frequencies (Nyquist limited) at maximum amplitude for 24 hours? Or one that sweeps through all possible values? What about one that has invalid values? Are all inputs sanitized? I could keep going, but "vibe" coding is *not* programming. It's what I would expect from a completely new developer who just learned what code is. /rant

Comment Re:What we need to be doing (Score 1) 172

You're still here after all these years?

Notably though if we actually run out of work to do we have a post-scarcity utopia, and that happens when people are so rich that there's basically not a single person who, given even more money, would even be able to think of something to spend it on. That's not going to happen any time soon, so we're basically dealing with a distribution problem, which requires distribution (e.g. minimum wage, set it to 1/3 national hourly GDP, the reason for this takes a while to explain) and redistribution (negative income tax, do it as a universal dividend) policies along with monetary policy to properly increase the money supply to not fall behind productivity growth.

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