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Comment What interests me ... (Score 1) 83

is if our civilisation will survive the next few hundred years and, if it does not, what will be the causes of our decline:
* climate change (the effects will not be evenly felt)
* nuclear (or other) war
* rise of AI that takes control
* grey goo (molecular nanotechnology)
* strike from deep space asteroid

Feel free to reply with other possible causes.

Comment If OpenAI disappeared? (Score 1) 83

They've done great stuff, but I honestly don't feel dependent on them and simply don't see them as more than a one trick pony.

I'm 100% convinced that other than spending irresponsible amounts of money on building an infrastructure which is only competitive because they are willing to outspend their peers, they don't offer anything of value.

I currently am using glm-4.5 on a computer with 64000 cpu cores and 304 H200 GPUs. I share the machine with 10 other users. It's pretty fast. It gives me an idea of how AI will perform in 20 years.

But that's the point. OpenAI is interesting because they have computers that cost $1 billion. My little computer cost 1/20 of that. But, consider the NEC earth simulator cost $350 million in 2002. Performance-wise, it was about as fast as a $250 NVidia RTX 5050. It had 10TB RAM but the RAM performance could be matched by 8 2TB PCIe Gen 5 drives in RAID.

So, in 20 years, we should expect to see the biggest computer OpenAI has today for about $2000 in the size of a laptop.

OpenAI's edge isn't their IP. It's their spending.

Comment Re:If.. (Score 4, Interesting) 72

Comment Bullshit alarmism (Score 1) 52

Nonsense. Tor Indstoey's entire career is about being an alarmist. He studied at BI which is a school that explicitly shelters students from engineers and sells himself as an MIT attendee because he took two six week online courses with no entry requirements. He works in a group at Telenor who doesn't really do anything beyond look for ghosts and talk to the press. He's investigating Nio vehicles as if he could even identify the difference between the steering wheel and the computer in the car. Telenor employs way too many BI grads and its killing the company.

If you need to drive a bus into a tunnel to look for security threats, you already failed completely.

No government needs backdoors to shutdown these systems. You need a tourist and a funny hat.

Oslo's busses are electric and their charging stations are completely insecure, not even a fence. If I wanted to cripple Oslo's busses, I'd visit there driving an electrician's van one day with a gum to take the impression of the "lock" on the chargers. It's more of a security screw than a lock. I'd come back a day later and photograph the electronics. A few days later, I'd return with a circuit board capable of remotely shorting the contactor and also a component contains a corrosive that can be triggered to spray. I'd use a simple nbiot module with esim. Just label everything as Schneider Electric and it will be invisible.

Why sabotage the busses?

You can easily replace busses. The charging infrastructure is far more attractive and easier.

Comment Another problem with smart meters (Score 1) 52

The readings are downloaded frequently and have a granularity of less than a day. So if your electricity usage suddenly drops this can be noticed.

All it takes is a sysadmin type under financial pressure (divorce, gambling debts, medical bills, ...) who needs cash. S/he will be prey to crooks who can get them to do some SQL queries, or similar, to identify usage drops and pass them to the crooks - these addresses are prolly empty as the inhabitant may be away on holiday -- a great place to send a burglar.

They could largely fix this by putting a two week delay before meter readings are uploaded. They will not.

Comment Re: I'm so glad the government makes me safe. (Score 1) 116

The new law (according to the article) still allows the re-sale of tickets, but not for more than the original price.

Which is good as I occasionally organise group outings to a play or similar. People pay me the cost of their ticket. I do, sometimes, profit as some theatres will give (me) a free ticket if I buy more than 10 or so -- but that is not why I do it.

Comment Open Source? (Score 1) 93

Most people would do just fine with a pretty simple tax app.

I'm pretty sure I could vibe code a PWA in a few hours that would work for 80% of Americans.

How would I fund it?

$0.78 for a stamp.
$0.10 per page to print
$0.50 for an envelope
Total $1.38

Consider payment fees and such and we can settle on $3 to click submit and I'll print and mail your tax form for you. Or, you can do it yourself. Same, same.

Thank goodness I don't live in the states. My taxes are "log into government web page, see if it's worth my effort to make changes, click submit".

Comment Finnish minister with ties to Nokia... (Score 1) 21

So, here's the deal. First of all, this stinks of corruption. Henna Virkkunen will probably have a nice corner office at Nokia in 3-5 years because her work on this.

Next, using "safe vendors" leads to apathy. Nokia and Ericsson are worse than back doors. Their equipment is shit and their paywalled documentation looks like it was written during meetings held in pubs. Just hop on eBay, buy a used Nokia BBU, boot Open5GS and have fun. If you can't find at least 10 security holes in the first hour of looking, you're as drunk as their documentation authors. Don't worry about the age of the software, Nokia and Ericsson don't patch them. The only thing making Telcom software secure is that management is out of band, you need to hack that... But hacking is such a strong word. "Nokia security" is like putting a post it note on a bar of gold saying "don't touch, this is secure" then leaving it on an unattended bench in the park.

Huawei is far more secure. Every single thing they do is watched closely. They patch their security holes at breakneck speeds. Beijing would need at least 10 minutes to hack their stuff compared to the 30 seconds for Nokia or Ericsson.

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