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Comment: Re:Wait.... what? (Score 1) 237

by shutdown -p now (#47809335) Attached to: Ukraine Asks Zuckerberg to Discipline Kremlin Facebook Bots

BTW, here's why I think the official results are closer to reality than this guy's estimates.

First of all, there are UN polls (which I trust more than any Russian or Ukrainian polls, given how politicized this matter has always been between the two countries). Before the election of Yanukovich as president, in 2009, these shown 70% in favor of joining Russia, and only 15% against it. These figures gradually decreased to 65% under Yanuk. After he was ousted and maidan took over in Kiev, I'd expect this number to shoot back to 70%, at the very least, and likely grow even further because of heavy Russian propaganda pitching maidan as "fascists" and "banderovtsy" (and most people in Crimea were getting their news mainly from Russian TV channels, not Ukrainian ones). With 16% undecided in the original polls, I can totally see support at 75% or so.

The other, more indirect indicator is language. This is more reliable than ethnicity, because Ukraine has a very blurry line between the two, with plenty of people self-identifying as Ukrainian on the basis of their family name or their parents' self-identification, but culturally and linguistically behaving as Russians in all other aspects. For example, in Crimea, less than 60% self-identified as Russians, but 77% listed Russian as their native language of communication (and 90% in Sevastopol) - whereas only 10% listed Ukrainian as such. It's even more skewed if you ask people which language they primarily use at home with family (since some would consider native language tied to ethnicity) - in this case you're looking at something like 95% in Crimea. Crimea also had extremely low levels of bilingualism, with only 30% of the population proficient in Ukrainian at all - a stark contrast with the rest of the country, where bilingualism is the norm, except for Western Ukraine where Ukrainian dominates with a similar proportion.

Now if you look at these language figures and consider them a proxy for political affiliation (an oversimplification, but not an unreasonable one), they also match pretty closely to what the official claim was: 80% turnout, 97% in favor of the union. What this looks like to me is that most everyone who was against the union did not vote at all, considering the referendum illegal (Crimean Tatars, in particular, had an open boycott); and most of those who wanted the union came and voted. The real numbers are probably closer to 70% for turnout and 90% in favor or thereabouts, but still a clear supermajority.

Comment: Re:Wait.... what? (Score 1) 237

by shutdown -p now (#47809145) Attached to: Ukraine Asks Zuckerberg to Discipline Kremlin Facebook Bots

I would consider it such, if it were based on some solid data (i.e. polls or such) - but this is just one guy's opinion, and I don't know where he stands politically in general. The Russian "human rights council" is basically an umbrella organization to keep pet opposition under control - and "pet" here means that they don't do anything that is actually dangerous to the regime, but they still occasionally flaunt their not-quite-agreeable status in harmless ways.

Regarding the division, I assume that the text - being written by a Russian official after the annexation - uses the political division that Russia has adopted. In it, Sevastopol is a "city of federal importance", which means that it is its own separate federal subject with its own government etc; and the rest of the peninsula is the Republic of Crimea. The only other places in Russia that have a similar arrangement are Moscow and St Petersburg, which are also distinct from their surrounding oblasts.

The referendum itself was also split along the same lines, because the arrangement was also similar in Ukraine - Sevastopol was a "city with special status" with its own administration, and distinct from the Autonomous Republic of Crimea. So the Sevastopol city administration held one referendum within its limits, and Crimean administration (in Simferopol) held it in the rest of the peninsula - and, technically speaking, those two had separate results. So when discussing them, it's common to address each part separately, especially as the results in Sevastopol were significantly skewed by letting Russian soldiers legally stationed in the city (on the naval base) to vote.

Comment: Re:Wait.... what? (Score 1) 237

by shutdown -p now (#47808715) Attached to: Ukraine Asks Zuckerberg to Discipline Kremlin Facebook Bots

It's not Putin's people, though. It's one guy from the "President's Council for Human Rights", from a field report on his trip - not official data.

The numbers you quote are also not what's written there. He says "In Sevastopol, the vast majority voted for union, with a turnout of 50-80%. In Crimea [i.e. the rest of peninsula - not Sevastopol], according to varying sources, about 50-60% voted for the union, with a turnout of 30-50%".

Which, yes, is still different from the official figures. And the official figures are likely higher than reality, but reality is still that there's a clear majority supporting the union in Crimea. Which is not news to anyone who studied the topic before, since Crimea (and especially Sevastopol) was always a hotbed of Russian separatism in Ukraine.

Basically, it's kinda like presidential elections in Russia. They're falsified to show 70%+ approval, but Putin would still win them with a considerable margin even if they weren't.

Comment: Re:Send in the drones! (Score 1) 831

by shutdown -p now (#47808625) Attached to: Russian Military Forces Have Now Invaded Ukraine

I can assure you that Soviet soldiers (and Soviet citizens in general, for whom it was fashionable at the time to want to volunteer to fight in Vietnam - kids would occasionally run away with such an idea in mind) knew full well that it was American soldiers fighting on the other side in Vietnam - it was prominent on "anti-Vietnam-war" posters etc that were in abundance everywhere. Here is one example - the text on the left says "Vietnam will win", the text on the right is "Aggressor out of Vietnam!'.

American involvement was a major staple of Soviet propaganda at the time. Indeed, it was a major staple of Soviet propaganda after WW2 in general - everything bad that happened in the world, happened because of American occupation thereof.

Comment: Re:unfair policy (Score 1) 251

by phantomfive (#47808177) Attached to: Study: Antarctic Sea-Level Rising Faster Than Global Rate
I don't know, the survey isn't very good, and doesn't ask that would help understand what they are thinking. Of course we can guess. As I mentioned previously, maybe they accidentally pressed the wrong button. Or possibly they think the measurement methods we have aren't accurate enough to measure the temperature to that degree of precision. Or perhaps they think the heat-island effect has been improperly accounted for, as urban environments grow and lands become irrigated, etc.

These are all speculations, I don't have any insight into what the 3% are thinking.

Comment: Re:I PC game, and have zero reason to upgrade (Score 2) 64

by hairyfeet (#47807951) Attached to: AMD Releases New Tonga GPU, Lowers 8-core CPU To $229

That is the dirty little secret both sides don't want to talk about and why guys like me have branched into home theater and networking setups as there really isn't any reason to upgrade if you aren't one of the 5% or so that push a system to the limit and even they are finding it harder to justify.

What neither chip maker wants to admit is that from 1993 to 2006 what we had was a BUBBLE, no different than the real estate or dotbomb bubbles. The MHz race meant that a 2 year old PC would be seriously struggling to run the latest software and a 3 year old PC probably wouldn't run half of the new programs. In one 4 year stretch I went from 300Mhz to 2200MHz, over 7 times the clockrate while having the memory and storage space just about double with each of the 4 systems between 300Mhz and 2200MHz. Since I too am a gamer during this period I was having to chunk my system almost yearly just because of how quickly the raw power was growing, it was insane.

Now compare to the system I have now....the system is nearly 5 years old, with a 4 year old hexacore and a GPU that has been out nearly 2 years....but why would I build a new one? Thanks to Turbocore my system has no problems playing the latest games, most of which only use a couple of cores, while the RAM is slower DDR2 I have 8 GB of it so games and videos are buttery smooth and with 3TB of HDD space and room for an SSD I'm certainly not hurting on the storage front. All I did was slap in a $100 HD7750 to replace my aging HD4850 (which frankly still played the newer games just fine, it was just a heat monster) and everything plays great, with more bling than I can pay attention to in the heat of battle.

And of course the gamers are the minority...what about the majority? Luckily I have just about the most perfect "Joe Average" test case any PC shop guy could ask for in my dad, his PC usage is about as ordinary and middle of the road as one can get. Webmail, video chat, watching movies, web surfing, you can't get more average when it comes to test cases. When the Phenom IIs dropped right before the Bulldozer release I thought "Ya know, its been awhile since I built him that $199 Phenom I quad special**, now that the prices have dropped maybe its time to upgrade his system" so I ran a log for a couple weeks on his home and office systems just to see how hard they were being slammed...the result? That Phenom I quad was maxing out at 35% and the Pentium Dual at work was maxing out at just 45%!

So there really isn't any reason to upgrade any longer, systems went from "good enough, but just barely" to "fire breathing funny cars that spend more time idling than working". This is also why I have no problem remaining an AMD exclusive shop, as it really doesn't matter if AMD releases on the smallest nm or even comes out with new chips as the ones they have is so overpowered it just isn't funny, and my customers just love how much power I can give them for very little $$$.

**- Man those that missed jumping on the Phenom I don't know what they missed, thanks to the TLB bug I was grabbing those chips for $30 a triple and $45 a quad and to this day they make great desktops, even have a customer that does 3D robotics design on a Phenom I X3 and it works great. The best "bang for the buck" deals right now for those that want a real steal? If you want an HTPC the socket AM1 quads are just nuts, you can grab the APU and the board for less than $100 and if you need an ULV server you can save $15 by swapping the Athlon quad for the Sempron. On the desktop front the Athlon X3s and Phenom X3 on AM3 are just highway robbery, with those chips easily found in the $45 range and paired with a cheap AAC board I'm seeing close to 80% unlocks on these. A 3GHz+ quad for less than $50? You just can't beat that. For the gamers many are recommending the Athlon 750K for FM2 but I'm bucking the trend and saying grab the FX6300 AM3 because you can grab an X6 with a turbo of 4.1 GHz for just $106 shipped. With the FX you are getting two chips in one, a really fast triple for your single threaded games and a hexacore for your $106? Its a steal.

Comment: Re:Neanderthals = Humans (Score 1) 78

by Will.Woodhull (#47807683) Attached to: Researchers Say Neanderthals Created Cave Art

Most of today's works of art would not survive 10,000 years neglect, the exception being stonework. And we have done very little of that in the last hundred years. If we went away tomorrow, visitors to Earth 10,000 years from now would have trouble determining whether some of our contemporary art was done before or after the Lascaux cave paintings.

So cave art is special in that way.

It is also special because this old stuff was done in the flickering and moving light of torches. Photographs do not capture the art, especially in this type of petroglyph where the changing shadows as a torch was brought toward the work or moved from side to side would have been the point of the grooves.

It would be cool to model these in Blender or Maya, and make movies using a point source of light as the light changed intensity and was moved about. Or just take movies of the original cave art as someone carried a torch toward, away, and across it. The art here is definitely in the shadows, not the physical grooves.

Cave art is special in this way, too: we are not seeing it as the artist intended it to be seen. It is probably a lot more sophisticated than what the camera shows.

Comment: Re:Wait.... what? (Score 1) 237

by Cyberax (#47807657) Attached to: Ukraine Asks Zuckerberg to Discipline Kremlin Facebook Bots
So let me recap:

1) Anything contradicting your prejudices is propaganda.
2) Propaganda is always false.
3) Rising ultra-nationalism in Ukraine doesn't exist.
4) Everything put out there by blind copying of Ukrainian media is obviously true.

Have I missed anything?

Not really, I just remember what actually happened which is that Western countries were not happy with Yanukovych's Berkut puppets shooting from rooftops at regular police and protesters alike to try and provoke a violent confrontation

You're the one who said 'agent-provocateurs', aren't you? Do you know that the trees with bullet holes from snipers were cut down and burned by the no-longer-protesters 3 days after the shooting? Think about it.

Comment: Re:Jane/Lonny Eachus goes Sky Dragon Slayer (Score 1) 530

by Jane Q. Public (#47804733) Attached to: Climate Damage 'Irreversible' According Leaked Climate Report

Latour's answer is ridiculous Sky Dragon Slayer nonsense which violates conservation of energy, as I've shown.

It is the engineering textbook answer. Claiming it is nonsense does not make it so. It was your own model that violated conservation of energy. But to see why, it's easiest to solve the general case first, then look at a specific case. I told you I had reasons to solve the general case first.

But you're just continuing to refuse, as I expected. After 2 years, I consider that to be an admission of defeat. Asking me to assume anything else is asking far too much.

Once again, solving a problem without spherical symmetry means you'll have to solve for equilibrium temperatures which aren't constant across the heated and passive plates. Those equilibrium temperatures wouldn't be simple numbers. They'd be complicated functions that would vary across the plate surfaces. Contrast that with a spherically symmetric enclosing plate, where equilibrium temperatures are just simple numbers.

Derived equations are available which give approximations with reasonable precision. Or you can assume particular dimensions of the general case which simplify the math. I said that was a bullshit excuse, I meant it when I said it, and I still mean it.

Are you disputing that equilibrium temperatures for a non-enclosing plate would vary across the plate surfaces rather than being simple numbers like with a spherically symmetric fully enclosing plate?

I am disputing that given reasonable chosen dimensions it is anywhere near an intractable problem.

Because, unless you dispute the above facts, that would require a complicated finite element model due to its lack of spherical symmetry. I simply don't have that much time left. And again, we'd have to test that complicated model in a case where an analytic solution is available anyway...

Well, then, I guess you do admit defeat. It doesn't take much time to obtain a textbook on the subject (you were given references 2 years ago and it's not that hard to find others). But you choose what you want to do. I warned you that if you really do have limited time, you would be better off spending your time elsewhere.

I don't wish harm on anybody. But I have a low tolerance for bullshit and I don't appreciate being attacked under false pretenses. The only "attacks" I have made against you have been in self defense. Just maybe it's time to leave me alone.

What this country needs is a good five dollar plasma weapon.