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Comment: Re:How do we know we've only discovered 1% of NEAs (Score 1) 51 51

I clicked on your first link to double check something and I am not sure that I agree with your view. No, we do not know the total mass of the solar system. We have a working hypothesis but this is not knowing. We could be right, we could be wrong. Additionally, there is no limit to what could be coming in from other solar systems so concluding that we know the original mass seems, to me at least, to be of absolutely no importance when it comes to estimating the prevalence or rate of the occurance of NEO. I find the trend to state theoretical results as factual a bit disturbing and dishonest. This could be changed by simply saying, "We believe..." Or, "The currently working hypothesis..." Instead we have many people, yourself included, who are stating theoretical, nay - hypothetical (even less likely to be true), as being factual conclusions.

Take my disagreement as you will. It likely will have no impact on your beliefs or the way you conduct yourself. I am certainly the bad guy for wanting open and honest communication. I obviously do not understand something...

It is okay but, frankly, I do find it telling and have no choice but to use it as judgment when considering other bits of information that one may try to convey.

Comment: Re:How do we know we've only discovered 1% of NEAs (Score 1) 51 51

It is still not much more reliable than a WAG. Obviously it isn't a wild guess and is based on fairly sound logic but it really is nothing more than a guess when you get down to it. There is no way to be certain that one is missing an area with a heavy concentration of NEO objects. There is simply no way to be certain. Even hazarding a guess seems counterintuitive, what does it benefit to spread the misinformation about there being only 1% discovered? Theoretically we could have discovered them all. We could have only discovered 0.001%. What matters is that we discover the big one before it hits and that only matters if we are going to be able to do something about it. If it is going to wipe out our species then that discovery matters not one bit.

Comment: Re:Goodbye free speech (Score 1) 192 192

From the very limited research I have done and without separating the types of invasive sexual offenses into different categories (instead, calling them all rapes) I would suspect that you are right on the money. Ignoring, for the sake of reality and not for the sake of statistics, those who are caught drunkenly urinating in public (I suspect they would actually inflate the numbers, who pisses outside only once in their lives?) then I believe that number would be quite high.

I am not sure how high it would be in the case of what we traditionally call just plain rape. In other words, those folks who jump out of bushes, grab some random lady, and rape them. I do not know how many crimes they have likely committed before they are caught. It seems likely to be a fairly low number except in extreme cases. I imagine that date rape would also fall into that category and have similarly low numbers before they are caught.

On the other hand, and inflating these statistics, everything I have read or watched on the subject indicates that many sexual predators have a lengthy history before they are finally caught. Child molesters are, for example, one of the worst. They often have a history of abusing many many children many many times before they are finally caught and arrested. I do not have the numbers at hand nor do I recall the exact figure but a documentary on the subject indicated that child sexual predation is done by people who have a history of something along the lines of an average of 30ish victims.

While interesting this is not really about recidivism. Few of the sick bastards go on to commit more offenses after they are released or, more accurately because we can not be certain, very few of them are caught committing more offenses after they have been caught the first time.

Anyhow, with murder I am assuming that they are not looking at the total number but rather the percentage so the overall numbers should have little effect on the total. Given the severity of the crime and the long incarceration sentences it may also be reduced simply because of the age of the person when they are finally released. One is seemingly far less passionate, energetic, and prone to violence when one ages. Old men are the seeming minority when it comes to roaming the 'hood' with the gang (though I now have an image of a guy with a walker representing on the corner and throwing up MS13 gang signs) nor are they jilted lovers engaging in crimes of passion. I doubt they are taking part in a lot of robberies that go wrong or kidnappings gone awry. I suspect that has as much to do with the numbers as anything else but I really have not looked into it. It only stands to reason (as if that matters) that they are not counting those still incarcerated into their recidivism statistics.

Comment: Re:Price is a second order function (Score 1) 275 275

Poorly maintained roads because people do things like travel to the woods to go camping and they will drive over some rather poorly maintained roads to get there. Also, adaptive steering will be a good start but I have no expectations of it being absolute. I would not be surprised to find a better constructed idiot (though I do not expect most people to know) attempting to drive with a trailer.

That said, again, I think this is an excellent idea and have even mentioned it myself in the past. It is just that it is not going to be perfect. That is okay too - it does not have to be perfect. It just has to help mitigate certain aspects - like range. I just think we need to be aware of the problems and work on those as well and adaptive steering is one such thing that can help. I would like to see it include things like tire pressure monitoring, additional reverse camera(s), a high level (commonly called a third) brake light, and more. I think it should be something you can disconnect from the vehicle, when you get to your destination, and used as a generator as well as a then-static EV charging platform. It would be great for camping and great for emergencies. Even better would be some sort of open standard that automatically tripped the mains breaker so it could be used as a house feed without worrying about pushing the power out onto the grid.

Anyhow, do not mistake me for someone who is binary on such things. I would prefer a blended solution where things like this are discussed and realistically debated. There will be some risks added with people lugging trailers behind them and that is okay - we can lower the odds by making things risk adverse but we can not lower the odds if we do not look into them. We simply can not say that this one solution will be adequate, wipe our hands off, and be done.

I drive. I drive a lot. It is not uncommon for me to do stuff like just head out and randomly pick a highway and go to a different state, get off on the first exit, and just go where the road takes me. I see so many folks who should not be allowed a license. Two of the worst offenders are people with trailers and people with snowplows on their private vehicles. (Even some professional plowing is done by rather inept people.) I do not have a solution for either of those two things and I have thought about it. Unfortunately I think increased regulation, perhaps some sort of tiered license, might be in order but I am rather loathe to propose it without more thought.

My current thinking (subject to change) is that we could absorb the overhead and make them like motorcycle licenses are treated in many states meaning that it is not a separate license but an extra certification that enables one to lawfully operate a motorcycle. There are drawbacks to that idea but many of them can be waived away simply by pointing out that driving isn't a right but a privilege and the commons must be protected for the good. Even still, I am not a huge fan of this. I think that a program such as this could already be in effect - regardless of the EV future and that these extra privileges should be inexpensive and easy in regards to the act of getting them but not easy in regards to earning them. In other words, the paperwork and process should be easy. Making them easy to get otherwise defeats the point so the educational process should be well done, inexpensive or perhaps even free, and so on.

Driving with a trailer requires a whole new level of attention to do properly. It requires skills that people do not have. Adaptive steering is going to help on vehicles that are equipped with it. I would prefer to mandate education than to mandate a technological solution for reasons that should be obvious. I am not opposed to this trailer idea, indeed I have mentioned its benefits in the past, but I think we need to be aware and honest about the risks involved and figure out how to work within those constraints to make things as safe as is reasonably possible. The vast increase of people hauling trailers around is going to be a hazard, I am certain of this. No technology is going to solve this - humans are involved. No, that does not mean that I think we should skip this idea. It means that I think we should examine this idea and weight the consequences and do what we can to lower the increased risks this will cause.

By the way... I would love something like this for my RV (and it would be awesome to have an EV RV [ERV perhaps?]) but I often tow a car behind my RV so that I can more efficiently and easily drive into a city or drive to other areas from a central location. I can drive with two water bowls behind a deuce and a half but this would a difficult configuration with an RV. One of the ideas that I have had is to work on making this not a trailer. I have seen storage capacity added to a vehicle by attaching a rack to the trailer hitch. It may be possible, safer, to simply engineer a method that allows carrying this generator behind the vehicle without it actually being towed. I suspect that would be safer though I am not certain it would be more efficient. It would also likely require that it be engineered into the vehicle as that may be a lot of weight to be on a traditional trailer hitch for most vehicles but that is a trivial matter.

Comment: Re:Goodbye free speech (Score 1) 192 192

Oddly, murder and sex-offenses have the lowest rates of recidivism. That does not detract from your point, I do not think, but it is an interesting statistic and one might consider those the most severe crimes. See rates of recidivism - the stat is mentioned on Wikipedia a number of times. I was a little shocked by the information but not totally surprised. I also did not dig into it to find the methodology in the case of the murder statistic. I am assuming that they only counted those who got out of prison after their murder conviction sentence was completed but I never looked into that.

Comment: Re:Obvious (Score 1) 181 181

I do not have a steady lady friend at the moment so all the seat positions are mine! I do actually have a few setup for different situations. The car mentioned above only had manual seat controls (saving weight) and the seat was not comfortable at all when compared to a number of other cars. It was great at holding you in position (which was its point) with great lateral support and a stiff back. Get yourself almost too close to fit in there (with enough room to quickly reach the controls) and get your back into a vertical position and it was a glorious ride. I have owned and now own a few other sport cars (and sport sedans which is my final love, I think) and that car was the only one I have ever had that was truly a total driver's car. While stiff, but not uncomfortable, you could feel a pebble in the road at speed.

Half the trick was learning how to NOT take the car out sideways when starting off. Yet, at the same time, you could get over 1g of lateral acceleration which, at the time, was phenomenal. Of course you can get that in an Accord now but no Accord is going to be anything like that driving experience was. I own a BMW (two if you count a mostly trailer queen), just ordered a new one last week, and they say that they are the ultimate driving experience. That is true for some cases but not for pure driving connection. The driving experience offered by BMW is entirely different than that with the Dodge. The BMW is, if you want, a bit like a track car when you get the revs up but is also very heavy. The Dodge was much more like driving a slot car or, perhaps, a bit like the old Saab 900s Turbo when it was wearing speed-rated (Z) Pirelli sneakers when it first came out. To be honest, for functionality, I much prefer the BMW sports sedan. It is far more practical and has more than enough power if you want to play. They are even a blast on the track so long as you remember that it is a very heavy vehicle though it is designed well and feels much lighter than it is.

(I ordered a bespoke 640Li in case you are curious. It will be almost 3 months before I have it though. ~650 ponies is going to be a nice car to fall in love with.)

Comment: Re:Price is a second order function (Score 1) 275 275

When they get to their destination they are going to have to park it. People do drive from city to city. I suppose there could be an exchange/return parking site outside of the city (coupled with a recharge station - of course). I still do not really trust people to drive properly. That and, well, a small trailer is actually more difficult than a large trailer. Get yourself a dual axle trailer and then compare it with a single axle. It is much easier to control for most people and tends to jackknife less.

Have you driven with a trailer? Have you done so in an urban area? Have you done so in heavy highway traffic? Have you seen other people drive? How about on poorly maintained roads?

I simply do not trust them to be good at it. I do not mind that they are going to wreck things. I will enjoy the videos. I think your idea is a fine idea and that it has potential to work but I am skeptical that it will be as good as you hope. That is no reason to not do it - I am not an all-or-nothing type of person. I think that multiple solutions should be offered and that, at this point, any reasonable suggestion should be considered.

Comment: Re:No shit ... (Score 1) 132 132

It is kind of interesting but not as refined as I would like. You do not have a lot of room to truly dial in your blocking - at least as far as I have found and I have clicked all the buttons I can find in it - so it is more a site-wide blocking. When you find a site that is not functioning you can disable it, go through a strange visualization and block/unblock some things, or you can whitelist the site. I find it does a fine job and the need to dial in is much less than I expected. The visualization mode is rather neat though may take a second to find as it really is not located in a very intuitive place nor does it really indicate that you can click on it. After you find it, it is called Visualize Page, then it is recognizable but I still think the UI could be improved.

Now, as APK has also mentioned, there are other ways to do this. You can find the domain name and add it to your hosts file. That method is less resource intensive and requires only you. You get to make your list match your needs. That requires maintaining it and building it but that work lessens over time. This application serves an additional function that I have not seen anyone tie in with the hosts file yet. It allows you to actually visualize how poorly these companies treat your privacy by giving you a nice handy number and you can see how many things it has blocked. This site, even with being filtered by NoScript, AdBlock, and Ghostery shows that Disconnect is still blocking an additional 13 elements. It is worth it, I feel, to install it and use it if even for only a little while. I believe it is also available on Chrome and if it is not then you can just install an additional extension which will enable you to install Opera extensions. I have no idea if there is a version for Firefox.

Comment: Re:Obvious (Score 1) 181 181

I agree entirely. That and people really overrate their own ability. I was trained to drive as it was my MOS. Thank you for your tax dollars - you also paid for my education and I appreciate that as well. I manage to drive well enough. I have taken a number of other courses, a variety of defensive driving classes, and the "Racing School" programs from Skip Barber. I have done a number of other programs as well because, well, I like driving and I think it is my responsibility to be a good driver - especially if I am going to break the rules. (I do, I do so in a reasonably safe manner and live in an area where the risks are limited to just myself.)

So yes, I really do recall how bad I drove as a teen and then into my early adult years. I thought I was an excellent driver but I was constantly driving distracted, even drinking, screwing with the radio, playing around with passengers, and all that sort of thing. I even did stupid things like read a map while driving. I am lucky - I have never had an at-fault accident in my life - I have gone into a couple of snowbanks because I was playing around.

So yes, until you are really adept - well beyond the skills of a beginner - with any physical activity then you really should not be distracted. Having a good teacher who teaches you the basics AND does things like instructs you on how to deal with distractions is a good thing. Without detracting from their confidence it is important to instill a sense of fear and responsibility.

Comment: Re:Trained vs Untrained... (Score 1) 181 181

Then I shall try to keep this simple. The little numbers go on the ends and the big ones go in the middle. There are more people who are, statistically, absolutely average and no one single point where the exact average (we will use the IQ test as the example) is the defining point between two equal halves. Using an IQ test this means you will have a majority of those who score 100 (the test is altered to make the average score be a 100 point result) and then you will have fewer that fall on either side. As you move away from the score of 100 you will have even fewer people who score away from the weighted normal score of 100. Some will be higher and some will be lower but the greatest concentration will be at 100.

Comment: Re:Renewable versus fossil - where is nuclear? (Score 1) 275 275

I assume it is lined with a substance that is not corroded by salt - rather limiting I imagine. However, it looks like they had one running quite well back in the 60s. I had recalled it as being sooner than that but I was mistaken. I had watched a number of talks and even found a real documentary about LSTRs at one point. I have been reading and learning about the process for about a year now but am, by no means, an expert. There are lots of potential benefits, such as no chance of a runaway reactor, no waste that is harmful, nearly unlimited supply, etc...

Sure, there are lots of other things that can be done. Why not do them in tandem? Why not generate excess power to be prepared for future demands? Why limit ourselves to any one thing? It, in and of itself, is not going to save the planet. However, it can help and what is wrong with that?

Comment: Re:Price is a second order function (Score 1) 275 275

Most do manage it, some with more tries than others. You do not watch (I am not the only spectator - it is quite a bit of amusement for the folks in the area and more fun than it sounds like) for the almost-misses. You watch for the spectacular failures. Some are legendary and are still discussed in the local general store. "You remember that time when Chuck first moved into town and tried to put his bass boat in down at the lake..." And the story begins...

Also, remove some Rs from that and insert an ayuh after a brief pause. Maybe several of the latter.

And no, no I do not have that much faith in humanity or their ability to pilot an automobile even without a trailer. It just is not something I have faith in after experiencing as much idiocy on the highways as I have.

The sooner you fall behind, the more time you have to catch up.

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