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Comment Re:Stop now [and just give up] (Score 1) 86

That's why I said it was such a big IF. It is pretty clear that long-range forecasts are not possible, so the solution approach along these lines would involve continuous interventions based on short-range forecasts--and the main threat would be that you might push the system into a non-recoverable state. Perhaps helpful to compare it to fly-by-wire fighter planes with negative dynamic stability? Yes, you can keep such a plane under control, but the corrections and adjustments have to happen quickly, sometimes too quickly for a human pilot to do anything helpful if something bad happened...

Comment Re:Stop now [and just give up] (Score 1) 86

Actually that's my initial reaction, too, but I do think there might be some kind of solution. On third thought I'm sure this is not it, but...

If (and that's actually a huge IF) we were able to model the atmosphere well enough, then I think we might be able to intervene in a sane way. My own favorite fantasy solution would be large arrays of orbital mirrors rotated as needed to control the solar energy reaching the earth. Take a bit off the sides here, add some extra crops there...

Time for a joke? We could use the mirrors to FINALLY get rid of DST. And if we had that atmospheric model we could do it without the adverse side effects...

Comment Re:Windows is NOT a professional operating system. (Score 1) 98

I have the issue where not every mouse click is recognized. On anything. Web page, form, MS Office software, third-party software, Windows itself, text field, you name it. I'll click somewhere, the mouse directly on what needs selected, and nothing happens. I have to click again to do what I want.

I first noticed it in W10 and it has continued to W11.

Comment Re:Wanna stop layoffs? (Score 1) 61

Provocative FP, but I think you're mostly wrong and lacking in the kind of insight that will lead towards any solution. Most obviously, the Democrats are not going to solve anything. I think we are actually in a situation where too much change has become a key problem, so controlling and even limiting the changes are crucial. I sort of hate to say it, but I think the Amish may have it right when they consider newfangled ideas carefully before adopting them. (The Amish religious stuff mostly seems bogus, however...)

As regards the monopoly problem, I think the best solution approach might be a progressive tax on profits where higher degrees of monopolization result in higher taxes on the associated profits. The "natural" path to higher retained earnings would then be for the monopolist to divide itself into honest competitors. Three metrics (plus your ideas) could be used to detect the monopoly: (1) Limited customer choice and too few meaningful options, (2) Inability of wannabe competitors to enter the monopoly niche, and (3) Lack of alternative employment options for people working in the niche. But "We can't get there from here." Certainly there are no politicians who are trying to lead in such a direction.

Returning to this story I think the actual key is in the deltas. Yes, Amazon does need engineers, but profit maximization calls for keeping ONLY the engineers who can produce the highest rates of profit increase. All less productive engineers are just slowing things down. The delusion that Amazon is now suffering from is an idea that AI (and related IT) can be used to replicate the work of the delta-maximizers all over the place.

The reality is different and I expect to be amused by the implosion--even though I will also probably suffer from some of the collateral damage.

Comment Re: We're in the group (Score 4, Insightful) 210

The "pandemic" showed that the kids could do the schoolwork in 3 hours, so what were they doing the rest of the day?

Learning social skills by having to talk (how horrible!) to other people face-to-face. Interacting with people from different households (the travesty!). Hearing people with opposing points of view (madness!). Getting off their fat ass and walking from class to class (will this never end!). Not looking at their screens (this is the last straw!).

Comment Re:Imagine if the COVID vaccine cultists (Score 5, Insightful) 306

You mean a country with one of the highest aged populations had a sudden increase in deaths when a highly contagious virus was going around? Well done, Dr. House.

Let's try all the excess deaths of people who weren't vaccinated. Or the ones where coroners deliberately changed death certificates or didn't bother to count covid deaths at all. How about fake reporting to keep the covid death count lower than it actually was?

Comment Re:Imagine if the COVID vaccine cultists (Score 4, Informative) 306

For the 1000th time, having a "reaction" listed on VAERS _does not_ mean the vaccine caused the reaction. That is not how it works nor what that site is intended for.

But keep spreading misinformation if it makes you feel better and so you can keep your anti-vax credentials.

Comment Re:wow! That's terrible (Score 0) 256

Well, they won't be able to calculate how much the USA is giving up to other countries. Then again, given the current administration and hallucinating AI, they can just make stuff up?

Requoted against the censor trolls with mod points. I should ditto several following related comments, but Slashdot isn't worth that much effort these years.

Comment Your candidate for worst lie of our day? (Score 1) 306

My top candidates just now:

1. It's just a joke.

2. I'm just asking questions. (Most relevant to this story.)

3. AI is good.

So what's your favorite?

In my typically verbose way, I feel like a few words of clarification are called for. Also another attempted joke or two?

The first one is mostly frequently abused as an excuse for bad behavior, including speech behaviors. In particular, there are many lies that used to be taken as proof of character flaws, but now they are just spun away. In orange particular, "The president was only joking" is no excuse for a job that ain't supposed to be so funny it makes you sick. (Which actually comes back to the theme of the Slashdot story at hand.)

The second one is most damaging as an epistemological attack on the nature of truth itself. It's actually a good thing that science does ask questions, but the goal of scientific questions is to learn more, not to destroy the idea that we know anything at all. Perfect knowledge should not be the ultimate enemy of trying to learn anything at all on the excuse that our knowledge ain't perfect. As if there were any perfect scientists (or politicians), now or ever.

Now about my newish third candidate, the problem is with "good". Options that are closer to the truth might be "AI is a tool too easily used as a weapon" or even "AI is nothing" because it's the human beings who use things, even including AI things.

Just had another encounter with an AI entrepreneur yesterday. Language-related application should have caught my interest, but his money-centric attitude lost it. My bad. What else should I have expected at a VC gathering? The main reason he was there was in hopes of getting some of that sweet, sweet cash and I should congratulate him on his tight focus. (A-hole joke time?)

Back to the AI threat. I suppose the main angle for this story should be examples of AI slop attacking vaccines in particular and the CDC in general. Too depressing to websearch for some examples, and you can get AI help if you want some. I'm more focused on the GAIvatar threat. I considered "GAIvatar are harmless" as my third candidate, but the portmanteau is not frequent and I've been unable to find any standard usage describing generative AI used to imitate specific people. Rarely they may offer a few bits about chatting with a fake Einstein or an AI ghost of a grandparent. Recently read an interesting SF story about solving a major math conjecture with the aid of an AI postmortem copy of a deceased father...

So I used to focus on the use of individual GAIvatars to predict and control individuals (though carefully crafted and targeted prompts). But now I'm wondering about creating a group GAIvator to predict and control the behaviors of an entire class of people. It could even become a kind of circular definition, where group membership is defined on a sliding scale based on how closely a particular candidate member conforms to the GAIvator's predictions and prompts.

So have a nice Friday?

Me? I'll take my chances with the vaccines. Much better odds than they'll give me in Vegas or the stock market.

Comment 1984 (Score 5, Insightful) 79

It would direct the Federal Trade Commission to investigate whether state AI laws that "require alterations to the truthful outputs of AI models" are blocked by the FTC Act.

And of course, guess who gets to decide what is "truthful".

Someone needs to explain why Republicans are so afraid of the truth.

Submission + - Ask Slashdot: How to leverage one AI beast against the other? (google.com)

shanen writes: File this under "rage against the machines"? Or as some kind of joke?

So here's the background: The google is trying to sell me cloud storage. The sales pitch is simple enough. Frequent nagging about running low on storage space. I do not even know which of my google accounts this is based on because two of my universities have foisted secondary accounts on me.

However I suspect that a lot of the data is basically garbage photos. Now I could just delete masses of stuff at random (and this is probably where I will wind up), but there are actually two potentially large categories of images that could be reduced from megabytes to a few hundred bytes each without major loss. It's an obvious AI application of pulling some text and the metadata from the images and tossing the originals.

However when I asked the (increasingly evil) google's Gemini about this, the response was NOT helpful. Gemini admits that it's an obviously useful thing to do, but also spewed a lot of BS about why google isn't going to do it. Gemini also spewed a lot of even less useful verbiage about how to implement it using the google's tools--but I do NOT want to go back to my programming days. I'm content with a few minor noddies these years... My take is that the non-evil google could offer the tool and get "payback" in the form of learning more about what the images mean, but the google obviously disagrees. Or at least that's how I'm interpreting the massive blather from Gemini.

But does some other AI offer such a tool that could be applied to my google account? The other AI company could positively justify it by learning about images or perhaps negatively justify it by depriving the google of the business.

Or maybe you want to share some hints about how you manage your file bloat in these AI days? Me? I think we are collapsing through the singularity even as I type... And the other side doesn't look so good. I did a lot of kinds of work over the years, but most of my jobs already look like they are obsolete or extinct. And I made my living at a wide spectrum of trades from low to high skills... Or perhaps you want a link to a short video of the best job in the world: "Mayor of Prairie Dog Town greeting the citizens with veggies!" That's job no AI can handle yet!

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