Who even uses it? The world has been using editpad since Windows XP. You don't? Wow.

That's because the project's value is political, not economic. Yes, generating power by digging a mile-deep hole, filling it with water, and running nuclear reactor at the bottom of it is likely to be crazy expensive and have all kinds of environmental challenges.

But what you have to understand is that the American political system is a zero-sum game and Democrats put their chips on solar, wind, and other renewables. Republicans put theirs on coal, oil, natural gas, and nuclear.

Solar and Wind have proved to be the winning bet over petro-products and that has happened fast enough that a lot of voters remember Republican opposition to those power sources. No political movement tolerates being unambiguously wrong about something so the American right is desperate for an argument on the energy front that allows them to validate the arguments they've been making over the past 50 years.

Nuclear is that argument. But to do nuclear you've gotta be able to convince people that they don't need to be afraid of a nuclear plant in their community. That's a heavy lift and what this technology really provides is a new argument beyond getting the general public to trust a bunch of nuclear and civil engineers when they say it's perfectly safe. Your average voter may not understand how a modern nuclear containment unit works. But "it's buried under a mile of rock" has a simple elegance to it.

There is an always has been an underlying element to the American-psychology where we sort of admire the conman and outlaw. Its really baked in to how we have characterized our conception.

Even going to back Patriots vs Loyalists, while there were plenty of legitimate grievances with colonial governance. They were inflated to a degree that almost beclowns everyone involved, doubly so in the context of what was implemented in the aftermath at least on the representation, regulatory and taxation fronts. Our very founding revolution was sold on if not lies, radical liberties with the truth. Everyone knows we just don't really talk about it.

So to with something like this. Most people will outwardly condem the guy. At least some people will inwardly be impressed by how much he got away with and wounder what he might do for them, if they happened to throw a little gold his way..

You poor TDS sufferer. A post about how science advanced by admitting new information and you go off ranting about Trump and Christians. Have you considered that America isn't the country for you? We are a Christian nation and our constitution s fit for no other. Leave us. You do not belong here. We desire neither your arms nor your counsel. Go now and lick the hand that feeds ye, and may history forget ye were our countrymen.

The TDS is real;

Yesterday I got down modded for suggesting that the Anti-vax movement while lately embraced by MAGA; is hardly unique to that brand of politics, simply pointing out the easily observed truth that at least up until the pandemic you could find a lot anti-vaxers in very well-heeled, very granola blue areas, as much as anywhere on the right. I pointed out that RFK wasnt a Republican let alone MAGA until suddenly he and Trump thought they could advance their mutual agendas.

Now you people are going to go an insist that Drunk driving laws were some kinda Republican led thing, sure there were a lot of anti-drug right of main-line conservatives that were on board, but there were as many left of main-line liberals who saw it as public health and safety issue and the two came together to form a large enough coalition to get it done over the objections of the general public at the time. Once again though highly revisionist to claim it was GOP issue.

Ditto for the history of "cooperative federalism" as a concept. The GOP has certainly embraced it, and did so pretty quickly, but certainly did not invent it, that was New Deal Democrats!

Lord knows there are plenty of reasons someone can dislike Trump personally, object to the agenda, etc. However I become pretty unimpressed with most of those arguments because of posts like yours. They are mostly made by people who either are pretty ignorant of our political history, and/or are in some sort of deep reality distortion field where they believe Trump and anyone in his orbit actually invented these tactics, let alone anyone at Heritage. None of them have come up with anything new they are just flipping through their catalog of old grievances and successes alike and looking at what political tools brought them about. Then using them, usually with minimal finesse or competence.

Indeed.

All these mayors and governors telling their local law enforcement (you know actual men with guns) to thwart the efforts of federal law enforcement, is a hell of lot closer to 'insurrection' than J6, CHAZ and a lot of those BLM protest looked a lot more like the Whiskey rebellion(s) or Shay's than J6, and we know how those were handled.

The GP should look in mirror and be careful what s/he wishes for..

Don't forget either the antivax movement cross cuts political lines. RFK was a Democrat until about a year ago...

Some of the deepest bluest granola munching corners of the country and major clusters of antivaxers.

But sure MAGA is the problem...

What happened to slashdot? At one time this racist alt right trash world have been modded down to -1. But instead it's at +5 and This post is at -1. Trump voters are just plain stupid.

If the heart has stopped how do you get the anti-freeze distributed throughout the body? Do they put the person on an artificial heart for a time?

I am curious is if there is really anything to this; or if these cryo firms are just sure, "we'll take your money and freeze your loved ones corpse, and who knows maybe the future will have nearly magic nano bots that can fix the mess we are making anything is possible right?"

But also entirely predictable. Anyone paying attention for the last 30 years or so should realize by now that:

1) Data aggregated for any purpose will eventually be abused.

It is probably the only thing as certain as death and taxes... (sorry could not resist)

Of the top of my head...

People trying to mis-characterize leisure/personal travel as business expenses. Claims of S-corp business related deductions and credits are generally cited high audit trigger risks. I assume that is because the IRS at least believes they are widely abused.

Just as a general top line way to flag people who have life styles that don't seem align well to their reported incomes...and by extension are likely not reporting things they are required to do. The US tax codes is very well weird, we should never forget. You are for example required to report income from illegal activities, but the 5th amendment protects you from having to disclose what those activities are. So for an example that might fit here:

let's say fraudulently arranged some business travel for yourself to meet a client that does not exist, because you want to take a free trip to Monnaco on the company dime. That trip is income. As far as the IRS is concerned you need to report those 10k business class tickets and those 4k hotel fees you received. They may be curious if that was really a business and just how someone with AGI of 68,000 with three dependents managed to bank roll such an extravagant trip if it wasn't.

Well I can't argue with that. I was there too and saw a good deal of it.

I was looking at this at a macro level. At that level I think the net number of people will be around the same but you are right we will rotate out competent people who understand this stuff for a smaller handful of expert fixers, and ultimately a number if incompetents who will inherit systems they don't understand and can't maintain, and more inflexible policy band-aides.

There is a way to play that too. Government; especially one as divided as our current one; can't do anything fast.

There will almost certainly be in the event a major market crash the idea ballots floated.

Someone like Massie or Rand Paul will threaten to be votes to derail it.

- Sell this news (in this case exercise those PUTs) because we all know after Washington does its things for a couple weeks (maybe longer) something will get done.

There is a pretty simple script here. People say you can't time the market, that is true. However if you get the initial hypothesis right (there is going to be an AI driven crash in this case) you absolutely can time it; if you are not trying to call the absolute tops and bottoms. If you buy those puts now.. sure maybe we go up until q4 earnings start get turned in, so what you shave a couple percent. Maybe on the other end the bailouts take a little longer to get done and its four weeks not two like the current shutdown. Again you'll still do just fine.

The only things you have to be right about is proposition #0 - there is a major crash coming in the somewhat immediate future.

- For the record again, I say "Aint happening"
I think we are going to see a 'correction' we go down 10% or or less from recent highs and trade sideways for a while. Maybe that correction happens now maybe in a couple months and I am not investing in tech right now, because that will be epicenter of said correction.

Here is the thing, you are posting on Slashdot. Don't tell me you are not sharp enough to find a broker, and buy some long dated at the money PUTS either on the AI and AI adjacent firms or just the market over all with funds like SPY / QQQ.

You If you really had conviction about truly big enough crash for Main Street to feel it to commit 18 or 20K; you'd make enough to keep the mortgage current and food on the table for a year right there after there return of the principle.

The thing is you don't really believe in such a crash. The bigger part of you thinks this will all just blow over in couple quarters, you might not get a great Christmas bonus either for 2025 or 2026 but mostly you don't think your financial life will be all that greatly impacted. I think that bigger part of you is right. OpenAI's investors are going to lose a lot of money, probably Anthropic and anyone else not actually in the business of making the compute hardware, or using the compute hardware to make physical things like drugs, better plastic, etc. I don't think there is going to be any 2008 like crisis..

 

People building actual stuff will do just fine.

NVIDIA and anyone building the rest of the compute support chips to run the ML accelerators.

There is huge money to be made ultimately, once drug companies, like GSK, BASF, Dupont, 3M, etc use it to advance chemistry and materials.

OpenAI and its peers on the other hand is likely to crash to earth in a flaming wreck and many of the hyper-scalers that have over invested will probably have to suffer some big write downs on data centers once people realize the LLMs are not going to replace actual thinking persons, anywhere where the outcomes matter. Ditto for reading X-rays and such, it might aide actual techniations and doctors but it won't replace them. Even the self driving cars, it might move your cabby to some desk some place rather than in the car with you, it might even let him monitor 4 or 5 fares at a time; but it wont cut the numbers or the expense by 5x - you'll still have to have people to do the other things he did like clean the interior etc. All in all it might represent a 2x savings, in the end.

Long story short trouble there is a profitable business in the like OpenAI as well but nothing like the current valuations reflect.