Comment Re:Unclear on the concept. (Score 1) 83
's OK. The war (whether it returns to hot or remains "of negotiation") will almost certainly be over in less than two months, one way or another. Why? Because the Iranians can demonstrably control the Strait of Hormuz, and now they know that for a fact because the world's most powerful navy hasn't even really tried to force it open, let alone actually been able to do so. That means European and Asian airlines cannot get the jet fuel they need and - something Trump still hasn't grasped - pushes up the prices of oil for everyone, even if you can produce it yourself, because of the way the US set things up with the petrodollar (LOL!).
Why does that all matter? Because in less than two months, at least some European and Asian football fans (mostly) are going to want to fly to the US to watch the vastly overpriced World Cup.(under Trump, why am I not surprised?). Even if they have the cash to burn on it, they can't do that if the airlines are forced to cancel their flights, can they? Remember how wound up Trump got over crowd & stadium numbers? Do the math.
I'm sure the Iranians know this, and have almost certainly also realised they just need to stall while keeping passage through the strait to a minimum (they don't even need to expend a lot of munitions for this; just keep the uncertainty high enough no one risks the passage) until the Trump administration realises this and has to make some major concessions to get the oil and gas flowing again. How close to the first match do you think that will be for our 5D chess playing grandmaster? He's got six weeks before the fans get given a red card by their airlines...
I hear Trump is supposed to be doing a Bible reading as a result of his recent spat with the Pope. Might I suggest Galatians 6:7? :)
Why does that all matter? Because in less than two months, at least some European and Asian football fans (mostly) are going to want to fly to the US to watch the vastly overpriced World Cup.(under Trump, why am I not surprised?). Even if they have the cash to burn on it, they can't do that if the airlines are forced to cancel their flights, can they? Remember how wound up Trump got over crowd & stadium numbers? Do the math.
I'm sure the Iranians know this, and have almost certainly also realised they just need to stall while keeping passage through the strait to a minimum (they don't even need to expend a lot of munitions for this; just keep the uncertainty high enough no one risks the passage) until the Trump administration realises this and has to make some major concessions to get the oil and gas flowing again. How close to the first match do you think that will be for our 5D chess playing grandmaster? He's got six weeks before the fans get given a red card by their airlines...
I hear Trump is supposed to be doing a Bible reading as a result of his recent spat with the Pope. Might I suggest Galatians 6:7?