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Comment Re:I don't like the phrase 'Conspiracy Theory' (Score 1) 161

No. What you describe, I just call a "conspiracy" (assuming the action is harmful or illegal or .. eh, I think the word "shady" probably fits best).

I suppose the participants technically do also have a conspiracy theory, but I think it's inappropriate to call their direct knowledge that. The hypothesizing is usually by nonparticipants, and if they come up with a hypothesis with enough evidence to back it up such that their explanation becomes widely accepted in the mainstream, then they have a conspiracy theory.

(BTW, I know I already lost this argument decades ago. I lost the fight over the word "hacker" too. But that doesn't mean I can't grind this axe for the rest of my life! The word "theory" means something, or at least it did/should in my fantasy world.)

Comment Re:By your logic, CPAPs wouldn't sell in Japan (Score -1, Troll) 61

but I don't really consider women with 20% bodyfat in their 50s overweight..or men with 15% bodyfat at any age.

Well, you'd be wrong. BF% of >15% for men and >20% is overweight.

The reality is that most women over 50 are closer to 40%, and for any age it's >30%. Over half of women over 30 are obese. (Men aren't great but it's nothing as dire as this.)

This is even with our greatly-loosened criteria for what is considered obese - it used to be even more strict. People today are disgustingly unfit.

Comment Re:it will take years (Score 1) 51

Coal isn't 'dirty energy'. Particularly with EPA regulation, it's considered "green" now. It's overall ecological impact (that is, in terms of total lifecycle cost) is significantly lower than wind.

Saying "wind is green" is myopic and short sighted, and doesn't include the massively disproportional material and ecological cost of producing the disposable steel and concrete towers with large, easily damaged fiberglass resin blades.

Comment Re:it will take years (Score 1) 51

Wind isn't the lowest cost for baseload - if it isn't subsidized. It's not even competitive with natural gas, and is markedly less reliable.

It's subsidization which makes it cost competitive. And even then, it's only competitive per kwh, it's not competitive for primary base load (which is 100% what a datacenter needs) because wind is cyclical and periodic. It isn't always windy in WY, and it's often too windy for wind power (35mph+ winds). I'm really tired of the tripe propaganda about wind/solar. I LIKE wind and solar, conceptually (and for the ability to run it off-grid), but let's be real.

The solution here, long term, is likely SMR generation at-scale. You've got many datacenters, and the capacity scales rapidly. A single large reactor doesn't make fiscal sense, but a national program to produce industrialized SMRs at scale which could be deployed as needed over a period of years would, enabling cheap power generation. When you build at scale, you're able to drastically drive costs down.

Fission is also now on the horizon.

But in the interim, green coal and NG are likely to be the thing.

(I'm not looking forward to the massive impact that this is going to have on the regional NG market; NG has already gotten significantly more expensive, and so many people use it for heating.)

Comment Re:More Epstein distraction (Score 2) 111

That article is dated September 30, 2016, which is probably the Friday referenced. I was curious, and found this follow-up, dated 11/04/2016, indicating that lawsuit was again dropped. it further stated that the first lawsuit was dismissed because the federal law cited did not apply (apparently it would have had to have been a race based rape, which seems like a really crazy law).

btw, this was based on a some simple Google searching. Here is a brief Wikipedia description of the case: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donald_Trump_sexual_misconduct_allegations#Katie_Johnson/Jane_Doe_(1994). Wikipedia seems to match both articles, and confirms that this is a 9 year old case.

Comment Re:Major Problem (Score 1, Interesting) 186

I do accept it. CO2 is 0.042% of our atmosphere. It has not been shown that CO2 is primarily or even significantly contributory to the greenhouse effect, however.

Even if it would, an increase of 500ppm (which would make the atmosphere itself terminally toxic to most mammal life) would only increase the global temperature 0.18C (according to original calculations I had chatgpt just do), which is hardly consequential in and of itself. And CO2 isn't going to increase that much from human action alone.

Nothingburger.

Comment Re:Major Problem (Score 1, Troll) 186

Almost all of them are deceit through omission, deception, or outright fabrication. So much of their data is falsifiable, particularly when it gets to the media as some sensational datapoint - like "The Gulf of Mexico is 110F! Climate change disaster!" or some such nonsense - when they're getting the data from the reading from one buoy inside a single marina. Happens all the time.

Comment Increase? No. (Score 2, Interesting) 186

The thing is, there hasn't actually been an increase in extreme climate events. There's actually been a decrease.

Our infrastructure has simply become more intolerant of them, because we haven't been maintaining it or building it towards the possibility of exceptional weather. The result is more damage and more death, but it isn't caused by an increase in either the frequency or the severity.

You can quite quickly see there's a strong correlation between solar activity and the status of our severe weather events, too - it's well known and established fact - so I'm unclear how this in any way relates to (human-caused) climate change. Someone explain this to me?

Comment Re:I don't like the phrase 'Conspiracy Theory' (Score 1) 161

Nope, conspiracies don't ever happen.

The 9/11 hijackers did not plan their actions in advance. Just by sheer coincidence, 19 people just happened to be taking those four plane flights. And by coincidence (no coordination) they all got the same spontaneous idea at the same time, an idea they had never spoken about before: let's hijack the plane and crash it.

Crazy people babble on about "evidence" like people taking flight lessons, sharing vehicles, etc. but we know those things cannot possibly be true, because conspiracies are not real.

If you have a hypothesis of x and then find lots of supporting evidence for x and it becomes the prevailing explanation, that creates a theory of x, but there's one exception: when x is a conspiracy. Conspiracies are a special case, because they don't really happen.

Comment Re:Or how about this novel solution? (Score 3, Insightful) 61

It actually is that hard, sometimes.

Often, jobs have a culture which have become structured so that you must be responsive, if not 24/7, then at the least during your work hours, to IMs. Step away from your desk for 30m to eat lunch or whatever? People are going to start calling you in many of these (IMO toxic) environments.

And frankly, it's required for some jobs (like in support roles). You've got to be available and IM is used for coordinating on the ground.

I've told people I am simply not available on IM platforms on my phone, I won't even install them if I can avoid it. This has caused some backlash, admittedly, but it's sanity worth preserving. If it's important, think it out a bit more and send me an email.

There's no good solution for this, unfortunately, particularly when everyone's set on using Slack for everything.

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