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Comment Re: Not terrible, which is too bad (Score 3, Interesting) 62

Map of agricultural production changes in the nuclear winter following a minor nuclear exchange, posted for no particular reason.

(For a full-scale exchange...)

Also, for no particular reason, a map of Russia's population distribution, alongside a reminder of Russia's nuclear missile failure rate, particularly booster failures. And that nuclear warheads have been commonly lost disturbingly often even during peacetime, with at least seven weapons from four incidents lost in flight landing in a way that left them fully intact and easily reparable, just from the US alone. And that Ukraine is rich in nuclear engineers, including still some retirees who worked in the Soviet nuclear weapons programme.

There's also this myth that "if you just use a nuclear weapon, you automatically win the war". Nuclear weapons are immensely effective terror weapons, but their effectiveness on the front is a lot weaker than most people think. People on frontlines tend to be in trenches, bunkers, basements, armoured vehicles, etc, and can be surprisingly close to a tactical nuclear blast while still surviving. They're effective against hard points but struggle against a broad, diffuse front (aka, today's front, which is a sparsely populated, deep, amorphous zone, thanks to drones). Amortizing Russia's estimated budget for tactical nuclear weapons comes up with ~$15-25M per weapon (not counting the delivery system), so they're hardly a dime a dozen either.

IF, via terror bombing or threats of terror bombing, you can convince your enemy to surrender, then congratulations, you have won (enjoy your nuclear waste heap and restive population who wants nothing more than to kill you). If they do not, however, their only goal remaining will be to focus 100% on using their extensive nuclear waste supplies rich in plutonium, their extensive long-range strike weapon supplies, and their extensive metallurgical experience, to render your major cities to ash in the same way that you did theirs.

(I also just assume herein that Ukraine doesn't actually have a secret nuclear weapons programme already, which is certainly an assumption).

Comment Re:Renewables are the way to go (Score 1) 234

While it is deeply troubling that the only capable leadership in this question seems to come from China, this is the best chance for human civilization to survive. The West has proven itself to be not capable enough (Europe) or completely incapable (the US). And time is running out fast.

Yes, this will give China power and influence it should not have. But there seem to be no alternatives left.

Comment Re:These LLM companies seem to be all incompetent (Score 1) 21

Funny, you are just describing your own failure here. No, you cannot put effective security guardrails into an LLM. Its statistical properties make that impossible. Sure, you can make lower-impact problems less likely, but attackers are not users that get told to put glue on pizza in some rare cases. Attackers go for the rare cases and statistics is no defense.

But I see you are one of the completely brainwashed cultists anyways. And you have no clue how IT security actually works.

Comment Re:These LLM companies seem to be all incompetent (Score 1) 21

Sorry, but that is nonsense. Of course you need to get really competent IT security experts and for some things they will tell you that you cannot do them. But "the experts do not know how to secure this" is bullshit. And no, you very obviously _cannot_ expect an LLM itself to implement any actually reliable security mechanisms. That another thing a really competent experts would explain to these people.

Comment Background info (Score -1, Troll) 43

If Elon doesn't decide he suddenly likes your oppressor and turns your Starlink off.

In an attempt to add context to what appears to be an inflammatory comment, here's some background:

Some time ago the US Department of Defense asked Musk to turn off starlink access in the Crimean peninsula. Although officially a Ukranian territory and not recognized as part of Russia, it made sense to do this due to the Russian occupation. Some Ukranian drones stopped working, and Musk steadfastly refused to allow his civilian system to be used to kill people.

Due to fallout from that incident, starlink satellite access was divided into two parts: Starlink and Starshield, both using Musk's satellites.

The explicit intent behind Starshield was to separate civilian and military uses of the satellite constellation. Under this framework:

"Starlink" is the regular user system, and it's TOS require that it not be used for military purposes. Basically, it's an ISP saying that you cannot use their system to kill people. Elon Musk is responsible for overseeing how Starlink is run and managed.

"Starshield" is the military version, and this is OK to use this as a weapon. The US Department of War (used to be "defense") controls who uses this and how it is used, they allow Ukraine to use it for battle, and they disallow Russia to use it for any purpose.

It was noticed that the Russians were stealing starlink endpoints and using them to attack Ukraine, so a "fast moving" detection was implemented to put a stop to this. As a byproduct, some Ukraine drones stopped working as well.

The Ukranians have access to starshield, the military version, and should have been using this instead of starlink.

Yes, he made the civilian version of starlink not work for drones, but this same change protected Ukraine from Russian drones using starlink.

Some people like to find reasons to criticize Musk.

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