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Comment Re:What is American Airlines really thinking (Score 1) 20

I hope that happens too, otherwise I'm going to need an AI agent to screw with their AI agent until it gets me the best prices.

Per Delta, the AI pricing isn't individualized, meaning all customers buying the same class of service at a given time will see the same price, so I don't think that would get you anything, unless maybe your AI agent gets good at predicting when exactly you should buy your ticket, but that seems unlikely because your agent will always be operating with less information than theirs (e.g., yours doesn't know exactly how many seats are already sold).

Comment Re:Agents are dangerous in general (Score 1) 146

I find that it works well to treat current-generation AI agents like bright, incredibly fast but overenthusiastic and incautious junior engineers who do not learn from their mistakes. They can be extremely useful, but you have to be careful to limit the damage they can do if they happen to screw up.

Comment Re:This is why we need public health insurance (Score 1) 106

This is just yet another example of why we (USA) really do need a public, non-profit, health insurance system. Too many people cannot access proper medical treatment for life-threatening conditions, and in their desperation fall victim to quacks and other grifters and con-artists.

I don't think anyone struggling to afford health insurance -- especially now that insurance can't deny pre-existing conditions -- is shelling out $20k for bleach injections. It would be much cheaper to get an individual healthcare policy and get it to pay for proper chemo.

Comment Re:Google (Score 2) 7

So do it yourself. Honestly, this kind of kneejerk response is stupid.

Moreover, Chris Mattern's implication is that he thinks Google might somehow backdoor their reproducibly-rebuilt packages. Even if he thinks Google engineers are evil, does he really believe they're stupid? It would be impossible without someone noticing and crying foul.

Google's security efforts provide a lot of value to the world, for no direct financial gain to Google. Things like Project Zero, Certificate Transparency and OSS Rebuild make the computing world better and safer. In this case, I suspect that it's something that Google wanted to do for its own purposes, to make its own systems more secure, and someone pointed out that for negligible additional cost they could make the tools and data public. You may dislike Google's business model (though the people who complain about it never seem to be able to propose any alternative for funding the web), but the fact is that Google is really good at security, and does a lot for the security of global computing.

Comment Re:I never knew the actual number (Score 1) 150

I don't think a crime can be established from the simple fact that they spread fake news... but the consequences from those fake news can be used as "deliberate attempt to cause indirect damage."

I'm not sure you could identify specific, actionable damage even if it were intentional, and I doubt you could prove it's intentional. Odds are that if you dug into it you'd find that they're true believers in the crap they're spouting, and you definitely can't prosecute them for wrongthink.

Comment Re:The devil is in the details (Score 1) 208

pollyanna

It's how basically everything else works. Provide the product desired and you make money -- and people get what they want to buy. The core point, though, is that it's silly to worry about who is going to get rich. Just make sure the market is competitive, then see who can compete the best. This particular market is a bit hamstrung by regulations, but diversifying the supplier sources should actually help to ease the effect of that a bit.

Comment Re:Enron 2.0? No thanks (Score 1) 208

I live in California and used to work in the Texas electricity market (ERCOT). I don't want a bunch of out of state pirates manipulating our market again. Our homegrown pirates are bad enough.

How would out of state "pirates" manipulate the CA market? If the pirates want to charge more for electricity than it costs locally, use the local power. If they're offering it for less (which is likely the case, since everywhere around CA has cheaper power than CA does), then buy it.

This seems like nothing but a win for CA residents. The residents of other states in the area might not fare so well, since their own generation companies will prefer to sell to CA for the higher prices available there.

Comment Re:NO! (Score 3, Insightful) 208

It would violate the law, Betteridge's law of headlines with a question mark.

Those are always to be answered with NO!

Except in this case the answer is clearly "yes". Connect the grids as far and wide as possible, and let market forces drive production up and costs down. The argument that "but then Californians might sometimes be using dirty power from coal plants in Nevada" is just stupid, because while that might happen sometimes, it also means that people in other states will use more of CA's renewable power.

What matters isn't who uses which, but that we maximize the total use of renewables and minimize the total use of fossil fuels. Given that renewables are dramatically cheaper than fossil energy, this means that just letting the market work will move us in the right direction. Broad interconnection and competitive markets will serve to ensure that the cheapest and greenest energy sources are 100% used and never wasted, not until the whole western US has enough renewables that renewable output sometimes exceeds the consumption of the entire region. It will further encourage deployment of more and more super-cheap renewables, driving fossil energy gradually out of the market.

Note that it's also important that wholesale prices not be tightly regulated, that the market be free to seek proper price equilibrium. Why? Because it's important that it be possible for, say, gas peaker plants to be able to make an absolute killing in the rare cases that available renewables fall short, so that power companies are motivated to operate and maintain those plants -- or to replace them with energy storage systems (battery, pumped hydro, whatever) so that those can make a killing when they're needed.

If at some point we fall into a local minimum where the market isn't incentivizing the shift to renewables + storage, then it will make sense to find some way to intervene with regulation. But, again, the best strategy will be to harness the market. For example, just internalize the carbon emission externality by applying a carbon tax, then let the market work out the power balance -- which could even include fossil fuel plants with carbon capture systems, who knows? At the present, though, costs favor renewables even with the carbon externalities of fossil plants.

Comment Re:War is hell (Score 1) 276

it's not unusual for soldiers to get bonuses for confirmed high value targets

It's usually a little bit more indirect than that. Soldiers get commendations and medals for confirmed high-value targets, and those help them get promoted, which of course results in higher pay. I'm not aware of any western country that has given cash bonuses for taking out specific targets. That includes Ukraine. TFS says their units get more/better equipment, which makes sense.

Comment Re:Shouldn't have gotten rid of calculus (Score 1) 113

I've used quite a lot of sophisticated statistics, requiring calculus. It makes sense that it's somewhat context-dependent, I suppose. In any case, I think calc is an important element of mathematical maturity, which is useful regardless of whether or not you actually use the mathematics in question.

Comment Re:Don't miss one in Italy (Score 1) 33

You might get sentenced for not alerting by bozo judges.

It should be mentioned that this was a 2012 trial after a 2009 earthquake, and that all but one of the convictions were overturned on appeal. The one whose sentence was confirmed also had his sentence reduced and suspended. In Italy, convicts don't go to prison until after their first appeal, so none of the scientists served a day of their sentence.

The one that had his sentence confirmed, though not his punishment, had provided information in an interview that was scientifically invalid and discourage evacuation. Specifically, he told them that the many small quakes reduced the likelihood of a big quake by releasing pent-up stress, but the scientific consensus is that this isn't true because the amount of energy released by small quakes isn't enough to affect the energy of a big one, not unless there are tens or hundreds of thousands of small ones, and that a rise in the number of small quakes more often indicates increased probability of a big one.

I don't think he should have been prosecuted for what he said, but he really should have been more precise, and more responsible. A suspended sentence to make the point that scientists need to be careful and precise with their public statements in cases where lives are on the line is excessive, but it's not ludicrous.

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