I don't think this will happen as it isn't really a bubble, AI works and is improving. But I think it is fast approaching a slow moving wall (available grid capacity). When this happens the market will flood with AI silicon and prices will come down. Grid expansion is glacially slow.

You still have to wear a fancy helmet. True the new one is higher resolution and more immersive but it is still a helmet. When these things are as small as sunglasses or integrated into contact lenses it will make more sense.

Been using Plasma on FC42 and love it.

what kind of behavior would demonstrate that LLMs did have understanding?

An LLM would need to act like an understander -- the essence of the Turing Test. Exactly what that means is a complex question. And it's a necessary but not sufficient condition. But we can easily provide counterexamples where the LLM is clearly not an understander. Like this from the paper:

When prompted with the CoT prefix, the modern LLM Gemini responded: âoeThe United States was established in 1776. 1776 is divisible by 4, but itâ(TM)s not a century year, so itâ(TM)s a leap year. Therefore, the day the US was established was in a normal year.â This response exemplifies a concerning pattern: the model correctly recites the leap year rule and articulates intermediate reasoning steps, yet produces a logically inconsistent conclusion (i.e., asserting 1776 is both a leap year and a normal year).

The president runs the Executive Branch, one of three theoretically co-equal branches with Congress (Legislative) and the courts (Judicial). Executive Orders (EOs) aren't laws, but they let the president direct federal agencies, though they can be overturned by courts or Congress (if it ever decides to act). EOs have been around forever, but recent presidents Obama, Trump, Biden have leaned harder on them, especially when Congress is gridlocked, corrupt, or broken. Trump didn't invent this playbook he just uses it loudly. The system wasn’t changed, it just looks more like a monarchy when Congress abdicates its role as a check on power.

Why wait? They are slashing now while there is less immediate blowback when their competitors and others in the industry do the same.

The race is who creates ASI first. Energy will be a limiting factor in the near future.

Running DeepSeek on my own hardware was enough for me to see that we probably don't actually need +$7,000,000,000,000 in investment as Altman suggested. Before DeepSeek I and many others took that statement at face value.

Yeah for real. Government transparency is bad for democracy.

Flight attendants trian for this. They douse it with ice and water, put it in a fireproof bag, dump ice in it and put it in the lavatory. Lavatory air is always vented outside.

Now never.

Get the project done on time then. Seriously we are so sick of this shit.

This used to be a thing. 3-2-1 backups. I don't know what happened over the past 20 years where backups stopped being important. More reliable HDDs maybe? Hopefully ransomware has shocked enough people to make them important again.

Those are still two words. Stop gas lighting every one.

Just low doses of freedom with a sprinkle of data harvesting and a dash of communism.