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Comment 3rd times the charm (Score 5, Interesting) 246

The important thing to remember with Starship is that the last two flights incorporated an entirely new design.with multiple experiments. These were fundamentally new rockets largely unlike their largely successful prior versions. Rather than a tweak of a nearly successful version to fix a few things we saw major changes one or two of which unfortunately is causing some catastrophic problems. They never got this far, but even just the tile system included probably a hundred different experiments.

Unfortunately since they didn't get that far it is also possible some of those tile experiments will cause catastrophic failure on re-entry if they try them all again. The thing about experiments is you need to to survive long enough to get to them. Hopefully some of those experiments were more about manufacturing rather than survivability so they can down select the most promising alternatives next ship in production. Regardless, we are still seeing a lot of changes each flight and those changes have the potential to not work.

Comment Not much of a commitment... (Score 1) 93

I view BO's (heh) New Shepard as roughly on par with the risk of everyday commercial air flight. Some factors increase risk, while others (like the fact that the entire spacecraft is thoroughly checked out between flights and telemetered to heck and back) reduce risk. So overall I think it's probably a wash.

It goes straight up and comes straight back down. Atmospheric re-entry heating is a fraction of that of an orbital re-entry.

The capsule is aerodynamically stable on re-entry. The part that should point forward, will always point forward.

The flight is so short that even if atmospheric conditioning failed, as long as the capsule maintains pressure, there should be plenty of breathable atmo for the duration. This is reinforced by the fact that the New Shepard crew are not required to wear pressure suits.

The LES is a simple solid rocket motor - ignite and it will burn, no valves or propellant pressurization to worry about, so it is as sure to work as about anything else in this world, to get you away from the going-boom rocket behind (plus it has already been demostrated both in tests and in a real-life booster failure).

So, I don't think it was that much of a step for JB to ride the first crewed bird, from a technical perspective. And of course there's other reasons why he might want to be on the first flight, but I'll leave it to others to expound on those aspects...

Comment Only renamed the US area (Score 4, Informative) 371

The order renamed the area bounded by the US and the Continental shelf "extending to the seaward boundary with Mexico and Cuba in the area formerly named as the Gulf of Mexico"

That area is recognized by both countries to be under US jurisdiction by treaty. Mexico could retain the Gulf of Mexico name in their waters without conflicting names.

Comment Re: And the CEOâ(TM)s heart swelled up thre (Score 1) 236

How can you fix what government broke without government to at least unwind all the mistakes they(we) made? Yes, when government micromanages a free market it is bad, but putting in place simple regulations and then policing things like fraud is why we have government. You can't have a free market if the people can steal from one another without systematic use of violence to punish transgressors.

Comment Re: And the CEOâ(TM)s heart swelled up three (Score 1) 236

I am ok with an option out model for health like you can opt out of a 401k. But some minimum being required is probably more preferable overall. Most people need retirement savings beyond Social Security and will get sick before Medicare. Health Savings accounts should absolutely be an option to get whatever money the employer would have spent subsidizing the insurance plan.

Comment Re: And the CEOâ(TM)s heart swelled up three (Score 4, Interesting) 236

Yes, we need employers to stop forcing us into crappy plans. The government can play a role here. Make the market for health insurance work better and give people better options for using those employer funds to save up money tax free in health savings accounts. Don't require minimum withdrawals under a certain age so people can save up while they are healthier.

The employer's HR benefits administrators choosing the cheapest plan or the one with the best sales team isn't a free market and doesn't put the decision making into the hands of the people actually using the health insurance.

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