Comment Re:DST is Dumb (Score 1) 238
Ideally we should adjust clocks/schedules so that peak electricity demand lines up with peak solar output.
That's not a thing in the modern age of both industry and air conditioning.
Ideally we should adjust clocks/schedules so that peak electricity demand lines up with peak solar output.
That's not a thing in the modern age of both industry and air conditioning.
Yeah, there's two main problems:
1) People entering the wrong fields. For example, medicine really needs workers, at all levels, but not enough people are going into it.
2) Certain manual labour fields, like field work and home construction, because... well, I think we all know why there's a shortage of workers in those fields.
Or let's put this another way. Show of hands - how many of you "spicy autocorrect" / "stochastic parrot" people had "AI will start mass-solving Erdos problems" on your forecast list a couple years back? Huh, none of you? Fascinating!
Take some time to reassess your priors. And while you do so, understand that, yes, they are doing logic / reasoning.
They weren't discovered by an LLM. They were known conjectures that were proven by an automated solving language that was linked to an LLM.
I'll take "Things That Didn't Happen For $200", Alex.
Only a handful of meaningful proofs have ever been done by automated formal theorem solvers (the Four Colour Theorem being the most noteworthy example - but its proof is so long that humans can't verify it). By contrast, AI tools have been solving Erdos problems en masse. The majority of them just bog-standard commercial models. In case you need help, the only ones on that list that were hybrid (AI / non-AI) in the actual solving phase are:
1) AlphaProof / DeepMind Prover Agent / AlphaProof Nexus
2) Aristotle (Harmonic)
3) Seed Prover / Seed Prover 1.5 (ByteDance)
4) AxiomProver (Axiom Math)
In each of the above, LLMs come up with the lemmas / strategies but then use Monte Carlo search ("brute force") or likewise to investigate what they came up with. These are a minority. In the "AI Standalone" category, these "hybrid" tools made up only ~20% of attempts and successful proofs. Hybrid tools actually made more of a contribution in the "AI Alongside Literature" (related literature found afterward) and even more of the "AI Building On Literature" (related literature known beforehand) categories, which is the opposite of what people like you expect.
And even with the hybrid tools, it's still the AI doing the heavy lifting when it comes to strategy. Non-AI theorem solvers, again, don't have a spectacular record for churning out novel proofs to unsolved problems. Tools like Lean are more about mathematical rigour - a passive environment that requires a driver (a human or AI) to feed it actual strategies, lemmas, and proof steps. And no, you cannot brute force "strategy" in the vast majority of cases, which is, again, why automated theorem solvers don't have much of a track record with unsolved mathematical problems.
Let's take a random example: the disproof of the unit distance conjecture. It was solved purely by a general purpose commercial GPT model, not custom-trained to mathematics, with no external tools. Read what the various mathematicians reviewing / commenting on it have to say (sections #3 and onward). Seriously, don't skip reading them, actually read them. This was one of Erdos's favourite problems. He mentioned it commonly in his lectures. Essentially every mathematician working in complex geometry has thought about this problem. The approach that the model came up with was highly novel approach, based on CM-fields and class field towers.
I know you don't want to accept this reality, but it is the reality, so you better improve your ability to accept it,. The field of mathematics is already doing so.
Dang, link didn't post.
Ah, good 'ol "Model Collapse" theory that people have been pounding on for years now, predicting an imminent collapse in model capabilities. How has that been working out for you?
Except what the US is actually facing, at least in the near term, is just the opposite, a worker shortage.
You can't pay royalties to the entire internet. That's not realistic.
What is practical are things like taxes to fund public benefits, or requirements of returning things to the commons (for example, open models).
When a significant portion of your labour is a near-slave class of recent immigrants doing jobs natural born citizens won't without more pay, and you start chasing immigrants out of your country... that's a cause with an effect.
/quote> And if either "side" wanted to actually do a good job of this they would simply addre4ss the demand by severly prosecuting the EMPLOYERS hiring these people. Not by building walls like we're in medieval times. But going after the employers would be going after the people payiung the bills thanks to citizens united.
Seems like a problem you could fix overnight with guaranteed national minimum wage, worker's employment rights, and opening up immigration to regain the trust of those people you shot, killed, kidnapped and ripped their children away from.
Who the fuck would CHOOSE to go work in the US at the moment?
This is an insane assertion and just more black and white thinking. As to who would go to work in the US right now - lots of people from all over the world. I work with many of them and they are happy to have the opportunity. To touch some grass - your news and social media echo chamber has rotted your brain. I'm not saying everything is just fine here - far from it - but your statements are entirely uneducated and untethered from reality. But I bet it made you feel good to type that out.
You're the one making the claim that modern frontier models still make this mistake (they don't), so how about you go to a frontier model, reproduce what you're claiming happens, and click the "share" button and post the link here?
Don't worry, I'll wait.
"The hottest places in Hell are reserved for those who, in times of moral crisis, preserved their neutrality." -- Dante