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Comment Re: Venture Capitalists are not Financial Advisors (Score 1) 68

Probability has lots of functionally equivalent interpretations. Ask a Bayesian and they will tell you that random variables indicate your level of belief. The simplest interpretation of the world is that nothing is "truly random." We use the concept of "random" to refer to unspecified complicated and unpredictable interactions.

Which is all entirely irrelevant to what I said.

Comment Re:Pro-Abortion (Score 1) 116

You can, yes. But if you wish to push your beliefs on other people you need to have something to back it up.

You can claim that those beliefs are based on the literal word of an omniscient god but it's a bit of a problem when you then decide that infallible god decided whoopsie, ignore that old stuff, here's the NEW stuff. It's also a bit of a bummer to make an argument based on Christian theology when your argument is heresy according to every major Christian sect.

Speaking of which, does anyone have any kindling?

Comment Re:Doesn't Sound Bad (Score 1) 41

This is certainly a viewpoint that was given in an influential book or two.

The actual stats suggest that MD planes were, if anything, safer than contemporary Boeing ones, and both were death traps by today's standards.

All the plane manufacturers had to figure out how to actually run a profitable business after their basically unlimited wartime funding ran out, and even more so after the cold war ended. The CEO of Boeing for ten years before the merger was an MBA.

Comment Re:Oh holy shit (Score 2) 89

The downtown dog owner types I know spend several hundred dollars a month on dog walking. Making a little web page to help match up dog walkers and clients seems like a pretty reasonable idea.

On demand rather than regularly scheduled, well, maybe. Hiring 2400 people to run your little web page, not so much. Spending half a billion dollars building your little web page, also not great.

Comment Re: Venture Capitalists are not Financial Advisors (Score 1) 68

Distributions describe random variables. They're called random variables for a reason. If your returns are distributed, they ARE random. If they weren't, you wouldn't invest in the low payback ones in the first place.

It probably is possible to bias the distribution towards higher returns, but are some people much better at doing this than others?

Comment Re:Be careful what you ask for (Score 2) 227

In other countries not only can the payment processors not get a say in what you can and cannot spend your money on, they don't even get to see it.

That's incorrect. Visa has been pulling the same shit in Japan, forcing manga and anime stores to drop adult content or get de-credit-card'ed. This included a store owned by an elected national representative. It's gotten so bad the Japanese government has recently started an anti-trust investigation against Visa.

Comment Re:The end of data breach fatigue (Score 4, Informative) 116

Probably not. Remember Ashley Madison, that matchmaking site for adultery that leaked everything? It's still around. The parent company changed its name and they switched their tag line for a couple years, then switched back. Apparently they've still got tens of millions of members.

Comment Re:The world is over-populated by stupid people (Score 3) 116

Texas disagrees.

See subject. :-) Slamming TX representative, more than its citizens as apparently 78% of Texas voters think abortion should be allowed in some form, UT poll shows - meaning their representatives pass these things against citizens' wishes. On the other hand, the people keep voting for them, probably for other reasons, so that's on them.

But, more seriously, ...

And given their bounty program, it's not just the women who have to worry. Healthcare providers will be at risk.

Agreed.

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