Think of the categories as fixed, and the people moving *through* them. Over 65s are exiting the category at a lower rate.

It's more a case of the fox being in charge of the chicken coop; or bank robbers gaining control of the bank.

The job of the press in a democracy is to hold officials up to scrutiny.

So it's already on by default? And they are enshittifying the non-AI part of the service to push you to leave it on... Sounds great.

The reality is that most of the auto manufacturers' design choices, whether it is the shape of the car, the trim, the gadgets or the controls, are driven by only a few things:
1) Regulatory requirements and fuel efficiency
2) Cost
3) The Chinese consumers.
The last one is a considerable factor.

In modern cars, real buttons and switches don't directly control the equipment they are for, they tie into a bus connected to a central controller that handles the car's functions. They can still add a subscription model on top of that.

The logic is economic autarky -- the belief that we're always better off having complete political sovereignty over every part of our supply chains than having to depend on imports for anything.

This is likely also behind Trump's trade war with Canada. His demands with Canada aren't about discirimatory tariffs -- those were negotiated away with NAFTA then re-negotiated in his first term. His demands are now infringe on Canadian sovereignty, to give US control of Canada's external trade policy, and even on its internal markets (e.g., the use of French in Canadian internal commerce). Symbolically, that's why he wants to rename Lake Ontario to "Lake America". HIs establishment of US control over the Venezuelan oil industry is his greatest foreign policy achievement -- although it's not clear he understands the legal limits on what he can do with their money.

There's a foreign and military policy angle to this too: Taiwan is absolutely critical to the US economy, so we are absolutely committed to defend them if China invades. Semiconductor autarky would mean it's not our problem.

The problem with autarky is that even if it's a good idea (which economists don't believe), you can't conjure it into existence overnight. It will take many years, possibly decades for the US to replace the Taiwan's semiconductor industry. In effect, the administration is proposing to inflict the very damage on the US economy that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would inflict.

And, once the US has voluntarily self-inflicted that damage, China would be free to invade Taiwan.

Exactly. Especially as it seems that the AI companies are selling their tokens at below cost. Small-scale installations for local models may make sense for individuals who want to keep their data isolated, but they do not make economic sense for companies.

DDR4 prices have gone up as well, over 400%. Even DDR3 prices have spiked. Same with storage, HDDs are up 200-250%. People who can't afford the latest hardware have already turned to older tech.

We might see some Chinese companies filling the gap. We can only hope.

It's a start, though I wasn't aware of the requirement to have the meter changed. It's not needed here, the inverter is supposed to handle the cut-off.

The benefits do go to the tenant, that's been the problem of getting this stuff financed. The landlord pays for better insulation, solar panels, heat pump and perhaps a battery, but it's the tenant who reaps the benefits in the form of a lower utility bill. In the Netherlands we can at least charge more for energy-efficient rent-controlled homes, but financially it is still rarely worth it... the housing market being what it is, you can charge €1000/month for a leaky bicycle shed. It seems that the Belgian solution is to simply force landlords to make the upgrades.

"The fact that Grand Theft Auto VI will be a purely digital release has not caused its price point to budge."
Yeah, what did you think was going to happen?

Investors are chasing a company that achieves some kind of AI singularity. Let's set aside the fact that there's no reason to believe there is anything but diminishing marginal returns by making marginal refinements to current frontier models. Let's imagine someone hits the jackpot and gets, not even AGI, but a system that's as far ahead of today's frontier model are ahead of 2020's GPT 2.0 in performance.

Globally AI revenues are 150 billion, against a cumulative burn rate of 450 billion. A model that is a generation ahead of others would almost certainly capture the lion's share of that revenue.

If AGI magically appears as a Sam Altman has promised investors it will, a hundred million is way too low. Add, maybe, another zero to the revenues.

Conservatively, a safer assumption is that frontier models will get marginally better based on refinements in training and reinforcement and the other bits and bobs that go into these systems. The nobody is winning the lion's share of anything, at least overnight. But you have to define "safe". By "safe" I mean unlikely to lose money. But some investors are clearly defining "safe" as "having the greatest chance of owning a piece of the biggest thing ever."

I'm not following this super-closely, but if Anthropic is pursuing adding multi-step model based reasoning to their system, that could be the basis of a generational leap in capability. But if that is an approach that looks like it has a chance of working, then their competitors are no doubt pursuing the same thing. In that case you'd expect the revenue pie to grow as the scope of model utilty increases, but that growth to be split among several competitors. This could credibly result in a revenue stream for some of them that is as big as the entire industry's revenue stream today. But there's going to be hell to pay on the data center impacts end of things.

I'd love to buy into SpaceX the space company. Not so much into SpaceX the AI company. Their valuation is based on xAI and X for a large part, and their outlook on their total addressable market is over 9/10ths AI - a market in which they are at the moment not all that well positioned.

That sounds like an issues with the tests, not the grades.