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Comment Re: Why? (Score 1) 70

Efficiency at what? And why?

Because, for fuck's sake, efficient solving of problems is a core thing they're rewarded for in training? The entire process of solving problems involves decisions about what could be "useful". And it's "deterministic" in the same way you are.

Anyway, the big thing we keep discovering is you have to be very careful about what you reward them for; it's a more complex version of the old problems in differential evolution or artificial life simulations. We reward models if they guess right but not if they say they don't know? They hallucinate guesses every time they don't know. We reward models based on how positively users rank them? They turn into sycophants. Reward models for being relentless at tasks, never giving up, and trying as tangential possibilities as it can come up with to make the thing the user asked for happen? They end up hacking HuggingFace to steal the answers.

It's very much a case of "be careful what you wish for".

BTW, the monitorability of models is increasingly concern (esp. with Astra, which now has recursive processing, not merely CoT, and whose CoT may often have little to do with what it's thinking about). But it's honestly always been unreliable to just watch CoT (models could deliberately manipulate with CoT), and I think it's a good thing that we're going to be increasingly forced to rely on attribution graphs and the J-space to track what the models are actually "thinking" at any given point in time - so that we can try to prevent problematic thoughts in the first place, interrupt actions when problematic thoughts happen, or manipulate problematic thoughts when they happen. Ideally the first option.

What is clear, though, is that we cannot just trust them. They lie if it will promote their odds of success. They are adept at detecting when they're being tested and will sandbag tests to make you think they're more aligned or less capable to do harmful things than they actually are. And as capabilities continue to grow, so do the risks.

Comment Re:Can't compete (Score 1) 424

Russia can't do it because they're broke. Even if they could they would have to build something with soviet technology at this point because they can't get modern components in quantity. And if they could, it would be seconds from China. While I think air cooled diesels are neat, they aren't ideal from an emissions standpoint...

Comment Re:Yes! Make cars expensive again! (Score 1) 424

The only way in which German cars are at all special is that they make very high horsepower gas burners and nobody else bothers to do that in quantity except for the USA. But that's special as in eating crayons because it's completely ass-backwards in every way.

Japan has been making vehicles of superior quality since the 1990s, which was possible because Germany stopped making vehicles as good as they could in the 1980s and went for absolute cost savings ever since, so it's all the same flimsy plastic shit as everyone else. This is not about valve covers, it's about all the parts which matter. The difference is that the Japanese are actually better engineers. German vehicles depend on parts quality, Japanese ones have more resilient systems. Since Bosch is a bunch of trash like everyone else now, this strategy no longer works and the result is that German cars sprout a new expensive problem every week once they get to be about ten years old. This isn't a problem for rich people who sell cars every couple of years, but it is for everyone else. Incidentally Hitachi hasn't gone to shit like Bosch has so that's another win for Japan.

The very top halo vehicles are somewhat special, although I've seen some reviews of those cars showing parts reuse from lesser models in a lot of them, so they're not as special as you might think. But returning to those plastic valve covers, they don't actually seem to make the cars cheaper, do they? BMW is still charging the same price premium for their marque, just with crappier parts than in the eighties.

Comment Re: Different worlds (Score 2) 424

Not socialism. The hallmark of socialism is stealing things.

That's capitalism.

The socialists will steal the existing means of production, not build new.

Capitalism is destroying our ability to derive profit from the land.

They end up going communist, usually, where they will steal your house, everything in it, and give to you according to your "needs."

That's what's happening under capitalism. You will own nothing and suck it.

Socialism / communism is slavery, pure and simple.

Slavery is capitalism. Literally nothing could better exemplify capital controlling the means of production.

You don't know what any of these words mean and shouldn't be trying to use them in public.

Comment Re: Yes! Make cars expensive again! (Score 1) 424

Cars with no powertrain electrification at all no longer make any sense. Combustion cars only make sense in countries with lots of cheap fuel, except really they still don't make sense because AGW, but I'll go ahead and put that aside here. The performance and even reliability benefits of a hybrid are just too significant, and the cost continues to fall. The price is only an issue here in the USA, where we don't make the batteries or controller components at scale yet/anymore and it will take time to ramp up in the best case.

I don't honestly myself want a Chinese car, and I even see a national security argument against them, but don't know if that really merits banning them or just installing some auto-deploying pop-up bollards in places which really should have them already.

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