I can imagine that the Center for Countering Digital Hate has a big meter on the wall, similar to the Caring Meter from the Care Bears Movie. It's part of their quarterly KPIs to show if they're doing a good job or not.

What happens when the Caring Meter drops to zero?

Oh, AI will stay with us. After all, people use it to make porn - a sure indicator of a technology's success.

But I expect the current bubble to pop before it is adopted with more reasonable expectations. (Both of its capabilities and of its profitability.)

I'm daydreaming about the data center I'm going to buy at firesale prices after the bubble bursts.

I'll sell the computers for boat anchors, and use the building and the cooling system to create a year-round indoor ski resort.

I appreciate the sentiment, but have a feeling this will just motivate companies like Ubisoft to eliminate all game purchases entirely, and replace them with a subscription-only model instead. We're almost at that point anyways, so this might be the final nail in the coffin of the concept of "game ownership."

I didn't say that. I'm all for the consumption of insect vomit. It tastes great and it's less filling

...a lot of people online were saying there was an upcoming event called The Halvening that would change everything.

I guess this is it?

Their vomit tastes great, too.

Seems to me 'dead' for a taxi isn't 'dead' for a static power bank. If I'm running a taxi I've got hard limits on how large my battery can be and how heavy, and I want to maximise the mileage I get between charges, because while my taxi is charging it's not out on the road earning money. When that battery is keeping only maybe 80% of its original design charge, and now I have to schedule one recharge too many per working day? Bang goes my business plan, so I'm replacing it.

If I'm storing energy for the grid I'm a lot less worried about that. It only stores 80% of what it did when new? Better than nothing, and the taxi firm is selling them off cheap. I'll stack them up!

Perhaps not, but if you pick your moment right then permanently stopping the work of some of the most talented researchers there could very well make a difference. A spectacular incident that makes the headlines might also deter others - bright graduates might decide it's far safer to take up a different line of work, subcontractors and suppliers might decide doing business with AI firms isn't worth the danger, investors might figure the increased risk of loss of premises and equipment into their projections, that kind of thing.

If people genuinely believed AI takeover was a real, present and imminent threat, then they wouldn't just be publishing essays online, they'd be forming direct action groups, along the full spectrum of campaigning: all the way from awareness raising publicity campaigns, through picketing, blockades and sit-ins, up through Black Bloc type actions, right up to menacing intimidation campaigns and terrifying physical force operations. But I don't see any Butlerian Jihad getting started. Which tells me they don't actually believe this at all; they're just bigging up their own importance. 'Oh yes, our technology is so incredibly powerful, if it were done wrong then imagine what could happen! Keep the money coming to make sure it's done right instead! Then all that power can be ours instead!... I mean, uh, yours, Mr Investor sir.'

AI stock valuations don't make a bit of sense unless the technology turns out to be every bit as powerful as that. If they don't keep that thought alive, then the bubble bursts right now. That's what all this hot air is about, and that's why nobody really pulls a Miles Dyson at the AI research lab.

The interesting thing about the Terminator movies is that when AI researcher Miles Dyson became convinced that his work had a high probability of resulting in an artificial general intelligence attempting to replace humanity, he did not go and post a ten thousand word essay on LessWrong about how he had updated his timeline and p(doom) estimates and discussing the full Bayesian analysis of the situation. He went to the lab that very night with some heavily armed companions and he blew the place up.

I keep hearing that one AI researcher or another claims that they believe as Dyson came to believe. Until one of them takes similar action, I simply do not believe that they actually think their research carries such a risk.

You have access to the lab where the work is being done? You regularly meet in person with leading researchers and talents driving the project forward? You are an American and you have the Second Amendment? And the entire future light cone is at stake? Quintillions of hypothetical future lives riding on the outcome of this project here and now?

What's the most effective, altruistic thing you could do for them?

Yeah, exactly. I've never heard of anyone shooting up their AI lab. Which tells me they don't believe their AI is at all likely to wipe us all out.

It's actually a pretty clever solution, and probably the only way this is possible given that phone companies have zero interest in fixing it. It's trivial to spoof numbers; Caller ID is extremely broken system. But this is yet another of the unfortunate trend toward all communication flowing through either Google or Apple. Even if you believe that "end-to-end" encryption really is party-to-party and not just between you and Google, it relies on Google knowing the identity of both parties. I would prefer a different approach, PGP-like with a signature validation and handshake within the call rather than this centralized gatekeeping, but it's just so much easier to centralize it.

There is another theory which states that this has already happened.

... and then to secure Ukraine into the European economic and defence structure as firmly as possible. At this point they're far ahead of NATO on how to use drones and robots in war, and they're clearly getting very, very good at building them too. European military and aerospace people both will have a lot to gain from cooperation with Ukraine after the war is over.

As cadets were so memorably told a generation ago: remember always, your duty is clear - to build and maintain those robots!

This is great! The more Google knows about me, the more they can protect me. I will feel so much safer once this rolls out.

Ex-superpower that can't afford it's lifestyle. Like the US will be in a few years if we don't sweep the idiots out of power.