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Comment Re:Bulshit solution looking for a problem (Score 1) 81

You're thinking of a casino / house. The prediction markets don't pay out of their account per se. Rather they pool all the bets for a particular event, and take a % off the top. Then when the event happens that entire pool goes to the winning side and the amount per person is pro-rated against how much they put in to the bet. This is one of the ways they avoid gambling laws.

So regardless of who wins, provided the bets come in, the company always wins because they get that fixed %.

Comment Re:Bulshit solution looking for a problem (Score 2) 81

As the Trump admin showed us, the prediction value is meaningless. That's because someone with inside knowledge / plans can make a bet too close to an event for anyone to prevent it. Think about the bets on capturing Maduro or the start of the Iran war.

The whole "we don't profit" is crap too. They take a fee from a bet being placed, so they profit from every bet. They simply have no interest in which way it pays out.

Comment Re:No subsidy. (Score 1) 143

Agree to disagree on the software between I5 and Tesla. There were things I liked about the Tesla better, there are things I like about the I5 better.

Tesla lies about the range. There've been lawsuits about it, and I saw it for myself with my 3 cars. The higher the charge %, the more miles per % they claim, and only get accurate around 50% charge remaining. On a realistic aspect, I'd call that range a draw between the Y and I5, with the bonus that the I5 is realistic from full to empty.

Comment Re:Pretty simple (Score 1) 125

Disney. Even before COVID, a lot of folks did WFH at least on Fridays.

Prior to COVID, office space was tight. They did a bunch of "let's turn the conference rooms into cubes" move to try to make up for it. Former offices for executives became 2-4 person rooms. But even then, the chance that the majority of the attendees for any given meeting were in the same building was nearly zero. In FL there were at least a dozen different building each miles from the other. Add in CA and WA and most of your meetings even back then were at your desk on a video call.

Post COVID, things were so much worse.

1. They released office leases to save money during COVID.
2. They were planning on building a giant office park and moving tons of folks from CA to FL. The DeSantis war killed the office park and the move, but many people, including some friends, had already moved and they weren't allowed to move back. There was no other plan to add space; at least none that was communicated at my level.
3. They actually hired quite a few tech folks during COVID, and never got additional office space for them.

When the CEO announced RTO, my team had only been allocated 25% of the space we needed. That meant we had to WFH 4 days a week and only had a desk 1 day. The desk was approximately 3'x2' and were packed in a space with 24 other desks; 4x2. So every video call you were on had 23 unwilling participants. You couldn't do anything to decorate your desk and make it feel like yours because... it wasn't. Every engineer had a mac, but of course the desks were provided with Windows keyboards and mice. Couldn't swap those out, again, because it wasn't yours.

Like many, I often showed up in the morning, went to lunch, and just didn't come back.

Whether or not it was intended to drive attrition, I don't know. I did leave during that time, found a place that was still WFH, and WFH to this day. Ironically, the new company paid better too despite studies showing people will take lower pay for WFH.

Comment Re: As long as ... (Score 1) 75

Thankfully, no. Due to a recent layoff, my 401k escaped my companyâ(TM)s control. I put it in an investment firm with strict instructions to avoid any Musk owned company, and any AI only company; OpenAI, Anthropocene, HuggingFace, etc. I have $0.00 in SPX, and will have the same in AI IPOs.

Comment Re: This is good for people with EV's already (Score 1) 143

I had a 2011 Leaf. I know they're better / different now, but I don't care. That car was such a POS that I will NEVER recommend a Leaf to even my worst enemies. It has a realistic 88 miles of range when I bought it, and I was ok with that limitation. It was less than 60 miles after the first year alone! The best thing that car ever did for me was get rammed by another car so I could replace it w/o taking a huge loss (GAP insurance for the win on that one).

I knew people who had early Bolts, and they hated them about as much as I hated my Leaf. Personally, I couldn't recommend them based on their experience.

Kona's a great car, but a bit small. For folks who might be interested in a more mid sized SUV, the Ioniq is a great car, and only about $5k more than a Kona. No experience with the Equinox.

Comment Re:Do they get smaller? (Score 1) 143

For secondary or tertiary cars, "150 mile range street legal golf cart with overnight charging" covers a LOT of ground.

I have a condo in St Croix, and I am constantly telling my wife that we should look into a high range street legal golf cart for there. EVs require basically zero maintenance. The island is only 27 miles from end to end, so 150 miles is probably a month's worth of driving. Electricity is expensive, but so is gas, and a relatively small investment in solar panels on our dedicated parking space would easily keep it charged enough for our needs.

She still wants a 50k jeep because... it's a jeep. Thankfully, we're quite a few years from being able to retire and move there, so I have time to work on her.

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