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Comment Re:A lot of them are weird religious schools (Score 2) 146

I teach at $stateuniversity. We have been expecting this for years. For us the number of 18 years old has peaked in 2023 I think. And the enrollment prediction of freshman in the state are within 2% of the prediction we made in 2019 purely based on population.

Ironically, we are getting more students. What is happening is that when the total number of student regionally decreases, we did not lose student. But hyper local small universities lost students to us. We admitted the same fraction of students give or take, but a higher fraction of student came to us rather than a tiny school so our yield went up. Also some local universities had to shut programs down and the students who would have gone there are going to us instead.

The dynamics is interesting.

Now I am not saying that other factors aren't part of the equation. But if you ANOVA it, I bet it's 95% an effect of number of 18 year olds.

Comment Re: What Does It Mean (Score 1) 197

You must have been lucky.

I remember fighting quite a bit with ndiswrapper to make wifi cards work right around 2005

A lot of these optimus system that were hybrid intel/nvidia gpu that switch back and forth had tons of driver support issues around 2010.

Though for the last 15 years, support has been really good for me.

Comment Re:uh (Score 1) 30

Well, it probably hasn't hurt valve yet. But it probably will impact it eventually.

It is not hard to see that there is a good chance the computing landscape will have more ARM based system in the future. Mac laptops are ARM based, and MS produced surface with ARM for a long time now. The nintendo switch and switch 2 are ARM systems.

It seems reasonable for Valve/SteamOS to see a shift to ARMin gaming as a long term threat/opportunity.

Comment Re:Why I don't care for them (Score 1) 168

My wife shares a subscription with her mother. There are tons of things we get at costco that are not perishable quickly and that are hard to get at that price anywhere else.

Cheese is really cheap but it is bulk. We split it off when it gets in.
Coffee is also quite cheap for the quality you get.
Paper products are also priced cheap. Once again it is bulk; but if you have space to store, it is pretty neat.

Not all, but some of the meat are cheap as well. We usually buy one meat bulk. Prep half and eat it over a couple days and freeze the other half.
Both my wife and I cook a lot. So an i take of bulk food isn't that bad.

Comment Re:Biggest confs are all in the US..? (Score 4, Informative) 224

yeah, no. The best conference were always international in tech. Maybe more often in north america, but they always have been rotating international locations.

I attended 3 conference this year. And the foreign attendance was half of what it usually was. Steering committees of conferences I have talked to are looking into non US venues for all but one (which is by designa US based conference.)

Comment Brittle tech (Score 3) 139

I've been playing with these genAI system both as code producer but as helper on various tasks.
And overall, I find the models quite brittle unless they are fine tuned on the precise task that you want.

The main problem that I see is that the tool is fundamentally a string in string out. But the strings could be absolutely anything including completely insane things without proper fine tuning.

Today, I am writing a simple automatic typo correction tool. The difficult bits are making sure that the tool didn't crap out. I mean, it is easy to check you actually got an answer from the tool. The problem is that sometimes the tools will tell you: "Sure, I can fix typos. Here is your text corrected: ". Ans so you have to toss that output out probably. But how do you figure out that it shat the bed? Well, you can't really, it is just as hard as the original task in some cases. So you bake various heuristics, or you get a different LLM to check the work of the first one.

At the end of the day, you really can't trust anything these tools do. They are way to erratic and unpredictible. And you should treat any of these tools as being possibly adversarial. It's exhausting to use really.

Comment Re:The ACM needs a viable business model (Score 1) 22

There was an article in communication onf the ACM this year about how their model was sustainable.

Basically, their income come is going to shift to publication fees and conference registrations. There is little reason to think it is not sustainable.

I don't think that member subscription was a major source of their income.

Comment Re:POP? (Score 1) 55

AI valuation for sure!

Pokemon cards have been a stupid market for a very long time. There is no reason to think it will crash anytime soon.

Labubus are still just getting started.

AI valuation if they bust will bust before the hardware refresh cycle. So it seems it is the only one with a clear clock coming.

Comment Re:poorly trained instructors (Score 1) 145

Most universities I interact with organizes workshops to train instructors and has money set aside for professional development of instructors

Universities tend to not care much abiut junior faculty getting trained in teaching. Because they want them to write papers and grant. Not teach atudents really.
And once their research goes down a little bit, the university wants them to focus more on teaching. But by then you have trained the faculty not to care.

It is sad really how poor incentive structure in universities yield poor education for students some times.

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