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Comment Re:We are so screwed (Score 4, Insightful) 108

Everybody in society must [...]

Solutions starting with "everybody in society must" have a long and celebrated tradition of going immediately (and often horrifically) pear-shaped, as it inevitably turns out that most of everybody doesn't want to, and therefore won't, and in many cases, can't.

For examples, see the Soviet Union's Communism, China's Great Leap Forward, the Khmer Rouge's agricultural collectivism, North Korea's juche, etc.

Comment Re:So then how long... (Score 2) 49

So how long before the jokes all comedians tell all sound the same (same theme, same setup, same punchline)?

Comedians will do anything that works to get a laugh, but sourcing jokes from ChatGPT (or similar) is not an effective way to get a laugh. Comedy is based on surprise, and LLMs are based on summarizing old material, so there's a bit of a mismatch there.

Comment Re:Why is suicide bad? (Score 1) 108

If it's the will of the person?

Because people aren't solitary islands whose deaths harm only themselves. Anyone who has lived on Earth for more than a few days has formed relationships with other people, and suicide is the murder of a person those people have a relationship with. Suicide harms everyone who interacts with or depends on that suicider for anything, in much the same way that the murder of that person would.

Being dead, after all, is just like being stupid, only people around you are bothered by it.

Yes, that is precisely the problem.

Comment Re: long-term support is questionable (Score 1) 63

All a central planning system does is take a very small number of incredibly greedy people and put them in charge of everything, with no way to swap them out.
That it is not a workable approach should be obvious from a computational standpoint. How much processing power would be required to "solve" economic questions for a billion people? More than exists. Certainly, more than can be computed by a planning committee.

All true, which is why China's system isn't completely centralized like that. Centralization is a matter of degree, not a binary on/off switch. The Chinese government mandates the broad strokes, and leaves the detail work decentralized, to be handled by the market. They've got a lot more capitalism in their system at this point than they'd probably care to admit.

Comment Re:Can't compete with Tesla (Score 1) 18

Waymo is currently at 250,000 autonomous rides per week, in six cities, and I mean autonomous in the strict sense of "there are no Waymo employees in the car". They seem to be competing pretty well.

As for how other companies will compete against Tesla in the future when Tesla finally makes good on their ambitious promises.... we'll find out, if and when Tesla finally makes good on their ambitious promises. You shouldn't count those chickens until they've hatched.

Comment Re:Distraction (Score 1) 73

Congress is busy distracting people from their incompetence?

Why would they even bother? Competence is the last thing Americans care about when they decide who to vote for. It may be even worse: competence is a problem for some candidates. Many voters will choose "the guy you can have a beer with" over the guy who knows what he's talking about, as we have repeatedly seen.

Comment Re:How to lose your money, slow (Score 1) 146

The truth is that unless you have a lot of money to invest (10's of millions or more), you will only get bad financial advice. Hence the one thing you can do is become an expert yourself.

That reminds me of the Mark Twain quote: "Good judgement is the result of experience, and experience is the result of bad judgement".

i.e. you certainly can become an expert yourself, eventually, but you'll probably make some sub-optimal financial decisions in the process.

Comment Re:Age (Score 3, Insightful) 57

I guess another factor is that some senior developers have become slower than junior developers to create code.

I concur with that (I'm 52, no more 10-hour marathons at the keyboard for me!).

Note however that the proper metric to measure isn't "time elapsed to create code", but "time elapsed to get that code sufficiently bug-free that you can ship it to customers without it causing a mess".

Any high-school student (or AI) can write code that looks reasonable and passes the basic acceptance tests. The real trick is getting that last 1% correct, so that the code can "just run" indefinitely, unsupervised, for all use-cases, without crashing or misbehaving or otherwise requiring a human being's time to manage it.

Comment Re:Finally! (Score 4, Insightful) 73

I'm in the it's happening camp but instead of trying to prevent it, we need to adapt to it.

We'll have to do that also, and if the problem was just a single, one-time step-change (i.e. "we'll have to live in temperature range B from now on, instead of traditional temperature range A"), that would be sufficient.

But it's not that easy, is it? The climate changes, and as long as we keep increasing the CO2 content of the amosphere, the climate keeps changing more.

So we could adapt to the climate we expect to be living in 20 years from now, but without also solving the emissions problem, that won't be enough: we'll have to adapt again some years after that, to a climate that's even worse. And again, some years after that, and so on, likely until our only remaining way to "adapt" is through mass die-offs.

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