Comment Re:More accurate headline (Score 1) 124
For all we know, what looks to you like a one-day delay is actually a three-month delay, they just had a different launch scheduled the next day.
No. Launching a rocket is not like launching a plane. You have to get it to the platform and set it all up. You have to register with the feds. It's a whole thing. And here (well, at Vandenberg) there is just one SpaceX platform at the moment. I think they are talking about building another.
Maybe they can delay for a day, but at what cost? If your guesses are accurate that is.
You might be right and maybe I have absolutely no idea what I'm talking about. Here's the thing:
https://spaceflightnow.com/lau...
If you keep an eye on that site because you live 50 miles away and like to stand in your driveway to watch launches then you start to notice things. You see the schedule slip by 24 or 48 hours on about 25% of the launches. Sometimes done ahead of time and sometimes the same day (with notes about weather delay on the spaceflightnow page) and sometimes near the last second - as verifiable because the live webcast gets scrubbed with N seconds left on the clock while the camera watches the rocket getting fueled, etc.
I may be way off on the 25% number - it could be half that. It's not double. But it's really unusual for them to slip more than a day at a time.
These launches happen nearly once/week at this point. It's not hard to see the patterns. Sadly, I could not find a good record of how often they are pushed back - I suspect because it's just not a big deal to slip a day or two for these kinds of launches. Moonshots would be a very different story. Mars even more so. But there are 10K+ starlink satellites in orbit and they go 'round every 90 minutes. I suspect they could do 90 minute slips if it were not for all the actual work that goes into a launch and the time to figure it out and the federal paperwork, etc.
To me at least, launch windows makes more sense than just making non-retail employees work on a federal holiday.
Here's the other thing: Elon is an ass. You can ask pretty much any of his current or ex employees - including myself. He doesn't much care what holiday plans he's ruining.