I predict it could cost as much as $150 Billion!

Do I hear $200B? We're making shit up - go large!

Personally, on this matter, I defer to Phil Mason, Ph.D., who is a chemist specializing in nuclear chemistry. He put a video up on his thunderf00t channel when this thing came out in the news explaining why it's bullshit.

My day job is a (saas) app that's about 20 years old and has been worked on continuously by a team that has varied in size from about 5 to now about 15. It is complicated and connects to several external services. There are parts of the app that are too hairy for AI to reason about. But we have found, recently, that AI is surprisingly good at explaining how some rather complicated (but well written) parts of the app work.
The 2-3 really hairy parts of the app are written in an arbitrarily complicated way that I would never have used and long to rewrite - but they work. Nobody on the team is happy with it - and there is no corporate memory of anyone being happy working with these parts.
We have exceptional test coverage (>95% by lines), so it's just a matter of time before we decide to lay out an AI agent team to rewrite some of the horrible stuff in a way that is much more palatable to both human and agent. This is not something I would have suggested as possible 4-6 months ago.

I'm not sure how to answer that question. My flip answer is "the usual way." But nothing about software is the usual anymore.

100% of the code that .. makes up this project is code that I did not write. But I absolutely told AI what I wanted and in many cases *how* I wanted it. And any code that had "interesting" design elements is code that I reviewed and in some cases told AI to change. Where interesting refers to meaningful architectural decisions.

At this point it is a very light project - somewhat less that 10K lines of code. It is in its minimal viable product phase - and I imagine it will grow to be more than 15 or even 20K LOC. Eventually becoming projects on 3 distinct platforms and becoming substantially larger.

All of which is ridiculous. Fewer than 200 prompts so far, I'm sure. Maybe fewer than 100.

I've got a black swan for ya!
I just shipped software that AI wrote [practically] entirely that I would not have shipped otherwise. I don't think I'm the only one.

Those diamond batteries were bullshit. The problem is that as the carbon-14 decays, the structure stops being diamond, because it's no longer made of all carbon. After even a decade or two, the diamond structure will be practically gone and the remaining carbon will impure as balls and in mostly graphite form. Once the structure is damaged enough, it will no longer hold itself together. I suppose you could encase the diamond in something like resin but part of the point of using diamond was the electrical properties (diamond is a good insulator of electricity which makes for good capacitors, the effects of which were being used in the device in part to make it work.). Also, while carbon-14 is screamingly radioactive; it's way, way less so than the currently used tritium. This means you'd a ton more of it to get the same wattage output, although it's longer half-life would mean that it could, assuming it maintained it's structure, last longer than the tritium betavoltaics. But to get it to maintain it's structure long-term would require using proportionally less carbon-14 and more carbon-12 and carbon-13. This means you lose one of the advantages of tritium - size.

Pfft. Morons. It is *super easy* to make predictions.

Accurate ones, however...

Yes, because users understand those kinds of choices.

Too soon!

Yes, they can. Like 20 years ago, when CmdrTaco was still running this site, they implemented Unicode support. But then a few weeks later they disabled it because they couldn't figure out how to stop the text direction markers from breaking the site. You could post a comment with a right-to-left direction and reverse all the text that came after, including the next comments, unless you remembered to change it back before the end of the comment. They never did re-enable Unicode, which is quite ridiculous. Everyone else figured this out 20 years ago or more.

Way more than cheaper rides.
* App to summon
* Automatic driver mapping to pickup
* Predictable arrival for pickup
* Predictable arrival for drop off
* No BS routing and you knew the cost before pickup/dropoff.

Back in the day I called for cabs ahead of time and had them fail to show up 25% of the time. I've never lived in a dangerous area, so that wasn't it. They just were not reliable or predictable. Uber saw a huge opening for a service and they took it. They also saw a huge opportunity for destroying the existing market solution in an anti-competitive and illegal way and took that, too - banking on the notion that government would not act fast enough to stop them. And they were right.

And because cars are a certain size. Making it half the size for just one person would be nearly as expensive and would be worse for taxi'ing 2 people (which are still a reasonable number of fares).

The best system that's been done is called SOCIALISM. It combines the best and most useful aspects of communism with the best and most useful aspects of capitalism. Straight capitalism, like what the right and far right in the US want (and are largely starting to get under their God-Emperor Trump, unfortunately) ultimately leads to fascism and assholitry. See "anarcho-capitalism". The end result will be some system akin to slavery, even if it has a different name, just like has happened in the past. See "sharecropping", "Russian serfdom", and "feudalism". The end result of Socialism taken to its logical conclusion, on the other hand, is basically Star Trek: Deep Space Nine. Before you say "No True Scotsman", see "the Scandinavian Economy, Post World War II". We've seen what Communism brings when you turn it on like a switch, and when you take it to an extreme, and it sucks donkey. See "Maoist China" and "the USSR, post-World War II".

Account closed.
I created my twitter account when the service was practically new and only used it a handful of times - so I might not be the target audience. Even so, I miss the original idea of it.

Oh, no. I have it on good authority that computer vision is about to exceed human performance.

Wait - what year is it, again? :-p

I forgot about /proc and I think there's also another filesystem that's relevant, /sysfs. The original idea was to make a central /etc, but, yeah, the Registry is a bit more general than I made it sound.