Not even that. AGI doesn't have to be as good as a human at anything. AGI is not a level of intelligence. It is a different kind of intelligence than that the task specific pattern matchers we have today. It is kind of AI that we (collectively) don't know how to build at any level. An AGI with an IQ of 50 would still be a huge development.

Citation? It seems consistent with personal experience. I have only ever been poled while I was collecting unemployment. I have exhausted my benefits multiple times for extended periods, including now. Yet, I can't seem to find any official or even reputable source that says this.

Let me introduce you to the snowball effect. It is not necessary to be extraordinarily unlucky enough. It is only necessary to unlucky enough early in one's career that people assumed i, ii, or iv when seeing that you have a gap. this leads to relatively poor opportunities and in the course of time, more gaps and more poor opportunities. If the opportunities are poor enough (but you took them because you have to eat), they may fit your personality and strengths poorly leading to reduced performance too. Most engineers are poor at making connections anyway so that is nothing special but it does make it more difficult to climb out of a career hole. The lucky ones never have this skill tested and assume that anyone less fortunate is a poor hire.

Yes, it matters. Even if Apple's revenue depended entirely on hardware sales, relying on fewer sales at higher margins is a concern for future stability. Fewer sales suggest that Apple's products are becoming less attractive to consumers. Competitive pressures could force lower margins. But Apple also takes a big cut of App Store purchases. Fewer customers means fewer sales in the app store not just in the current quarter but going forward.

And no consumer mother boards until 2030? The spec was finalised in 2021! Gen *7* finalised almost a year ago. If I were still with Teledyne, I would be working on a Gen 8 analyser that would almost likely ship in early 2027, maybe even this year. It looks consumer motherboards are going to be four PCIe versions behind when they finally ship with Gen6.

The current need for humans in the loop is much less about performance and much more about accuracy. Amodei must believe (in public anyway) that the hallucination problem is nearly solved.

The non-graduates may be accepting low paying, low stability roles, while the graduates hold out for quality that has become scarce.

Sure, but definitely slower than a bicycle, which can easily manage 10mph in traffic. Being behind a bus is annoying as they are awkward to pass but you must pass them or be stuck at a reduced pace breathing diesel fumes.

Not directly in competition with AI. However, DRAM manufacturers are motivated to move production where it generates the most profit. If DDR5 is where the money is, expect production to increase at the expense of older lines.

So, are AI hallucinations as convincing as the lies told by human sales agents? This might be one of those areas where generative AI can actually be productive because the result doesn't have to be accurate.

A recruiter's only function is to help fill openings that the client has difficulty filling on their own. Of course, he thinks remote work is dead, those reqs are easy to fill and, thus, few of them pass his desk. The money is in hybrid and fully in office reqs. Those are hard to fill because the candidates don't want them. More work for the recruiters.

No. You can be replaced by AI even if your job does require precision and quality. At some point, the company will have to rehire people to replace those they laid off but the CEO gets to keep the bonus. And it doesn't mean they rehire you. Probably someone cheaper.

It is definitely regional. In California, stations that don't charge a higher price for cards are rare. It happens (I stumbled on one last week well outside my normal area) but it is rare. Card same as cash seems to be the rule in Missouri. Here is California, the stations that don't charge extra for cards tend to be in relatively low rent areas. Missouri is low rent compared to most anywhere in California.

The pandemic work from home move gave employees more power while managers and top leaders had a more difficult job as their control over staff was reduced. The decline in the job market and RTO have reduced employee power while making the jobs of management and top leaders easier. So, it is pretty natural that staff will feel reduced well-being while management enjoys a tighter grip on employees and easier hiring. Whoever gains power feels better than the ones who lost.