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Comment Re:China virtually eliminated homicide (Score 1) 53

Most murder is premeditated

Eh? This is incorrect. Perhaps most fictional murders are premeditated, because that makes for a more interesting mystery to solve, but in real life, the vast majority murders are impulsive, spontaneous acts that happen during arguments, fights, or emotional outbursts (often with the help of alcohol and/or readily available weapons).

Comment Re:Idiocracy YES!!! (Score 1) 183

Doesn't matter if Biden was slowly going senile, he hired good competent people and had a grasp of issues which Trump NEVER did - it's way more about the team you form and the connections you make; plus he managed to get a lot done in an impossible mess he had to clean up. It was going way better than I thought possible, I didn't expect as much as he accomplished. It is easy to break everything; hard to fix it when 1 side is actively trying to destroy anything that might help; simply because politics is more important than doing anything good. Everything is a lie / projection, it was never "America First" that is just old fascist propaganda they recycled. The biggest victims of their graft is their fascist supporters.

Biden would probably have stepped down at this point and the 1st woman would be president which is the only way that is happening; the USA will be gone soon so that will never happen. It is certainly no longer united; and some people will be delusional after it is obvious; like COVID etc.

At what point is it actually gone? The clever way is to hype the corpse as being alive -- Rome took 100s of years to die and it's not clear exactly when; the constitution has been reduced to a meaningless word, Christ is gone from American Christianity, facts are just an opinion, etc. It's all messaging for emotional appeal and the words have lost meaning which is the most important point from 1984 is how language controls thought... so important he made an appendix for the book to explain it! When a fiction book adds an appendix it's a huge indicator that shouldn't be overlooked!

At some point that turkey that fell out of the car...is not edible...after it gets lost in a swamp for a few hours... some will say-- just wash and cook it longer, it's still good! it's still good! If you learn about KGB subversion, you know we've passed the point of no return and the collapse will happen - it's just a matter of how fast Agent Orange can accelerate it. The poisoned culture will infect all attempts to correct making them ultimately a lost cause. Nobody truly knows how to cure a diseased political culture like Russia and exporting their social disease is their greatest weapon. It's what they've used against the USA primarily and Putin was at one point in charge of it then he took over and super charged the effort way beyond the cold war levels. It's certainly extremely cheap but very slow in effectiveness. Trumps such a natural, it's like he was engineered in a lab or heavily trained when he visited Moscow. (I think he is a mentally ill asset they know how to control.)

Comment Re:Thanks, AI bubble! (Score 1) 110

Which they'll shutter or repurpose if the demand plummets. You think they're going keep those factories churning out memory chips if prices drop significantly?

You're right, they'll run the numbers and take whichever path maximizes their net profit -- but shuttering (or even heavily modifying) a facility that they've just invested $$$$ into is unlikely to be found to be their most profitable option. More likely they'll try to sell memory chips at a profit of +$.25 per chip in large volumes, because when you've got is a giant hammer, hammering lots of nails is what you can do best.

Comment Re:AI doesn't use desktop hardware including RAM (Score 2) 110

That's the really sad part. No aftermarket for them since they will all be industrial grade parts not even compatible with home systems.

I wonder if anyone will start selling home systems capable of using cast-off data center RAM? It might be worthwhile if there's lots of that sort of RAM floating around for cheap.

Comment Increasing productivity makes the wheels go faster (Score 1) 71

Sure, a company could use an increase in productivity to allow their workers to work fewer hours while getting the same amount accomplished... but capitalism doesn't work that way. Instead, the company will use the increase in productivity to get more work done in the same amount of hours as before... or if they don't, their competitor will, and thereby obtain a competitive advantage over them.

This is especially true for salaried employees, where the cost of the employee to the company is the same regardless of how many hours the employee works, and it is therefore in the company's financial interest to maximize the return on its salary "investment" by getting as much output from the employee as possible in any given pay period.

Comment Re:How about none. (Score 3, Interesting) 54

I've got a co-worker like that; every email I get from him is just him copy-and-pasting text from his pet AI, and when I reply, he forwards my email on to his AI to read and generate the next reply for him.

Which raises the question... exactly what value is my co-worker providing there? Sooner or later management will notice that they are paying six figures of annual salary to what is essentially just a very slow meat-based email relay, and they'll lay him off and just have me communicate with the AI directly instead. There's a fine line between "all in" and "all redundant".

Comment Re:I initially dismissed the idea of agents (Score 1) 54

It all depends on one thing: Will your speech-driven AI agent reliably accomplish the tasks that you told it to do? If so, great, we've entered the glorious Star Trek future. OTOH if it screws up, even just 5% of the time, it'll be kicked to the curb, because a "timesaver" that you have to stand over and supervise to make sure it doesn't go wrong is no timesaver at all.

Comment Re:Heavy Lifting (Score 3, Interesting) 66

Investors are chasing a company that achieves some kind of AI singularity. Let's set aside the fact that there's no reason to believe there is anything but diminishing marginal returns by making marginal refinements to current frontier models. Let's imagine someone hits the jackpot and gets, not even AGI, but a system that's as far ahead of today's frontier model are ahead of 2020's GPT 2.0 in performance.

Globally AI revenues are 150 billion, against a cumulative burn rate of 450 billion. A model that is a generation ahead of others would almost certainly capture the lion's share of that revenue.

If AGI magically appears as a Sam Altman has promised investors it will, a hundred million is way too low. Add, maybe, another zero to the revenues.

Conservatively, a safer assumption is that frontier models will get marginally better based on refinements in training and reinforcement and the other bits and bobs that go into these systems. The nobody is winning the lion's share of anything, at least overnight. But you have to define "safe". By "safe" I mean unlikely to lose money. But some investors are clearly defining "safe" as "having the greatest chance of owning a piece of the biggest thing ever."

I'm not following this super-closely, but if Anthropic is pursuing adding multi-step model based reasoning to their system, that could be the basis of a generational leap in capability. But if that is an approach that looks like it has a chance of working, then their competitors are no doubt pursuing the same thing. In that case you'd expect the revenue pie to grow as the scope of model utilty increases, but that growth to be split among several competitors. This could credibly result in a revenue stream for some of them that is as big as the entire industry's revenue stream today. But there's going to be hell to pay on the data center impacts end of things.

Comment Re: Respond like an American (Score 1) 87

NO, Japan holds all the cards. To the point Trump just propped their money up by over 200 billion of tax payer money; because Japan holds the most US debt and would have caused more harm cashing in to fix their problem so the USA just took it up the ass to prevent Japan from having to do that. They could push him further but risk a senile moment where he forgets how weak he is and forces them to blow over the house of cards.

There is no taking the moral high ground in the USA anymore. The pigs only understand mud wrestling and they are made for it so it won't be easy.

Comment Re:Idiocracy YES!!! (Score 0) 183

They did have garbage avalanches!

As much as that movie predicted the future; it was optimistic and things are already worse today!

They had honest innocent retards hoping for solutions; even the leaders just wanted somebody smart to fix problems: they didn't have half the people corrupted to the point they would insist truth was FAKE and reality is just a narrative.

Plants crave electrolytes and NOT water despite ANY proof otherwise and forget about trusting experts to try! Stubborn to the point of death, including forcing others to die too. CORRUPTED by a religious like tribalism where "winning" is all that matters; drink the koolaid!

COVID was a hoax even when it was killing you, the world is flat even from space, Trump secretly was president in 2020, Biden was senile and even the less retarded forgot why a VP candidate exists. Trump could die and be replaced with a cartoon powered by AI and half would go for it... it would have less hallucinations too.

Comment Re:Lidar falls short too (Score 1) 219

If Waymo's argument is valid, then humans shouldn't be allowed to drive.

Heh, there's some validity to that. Human drivers are a daily rolling disaster that society tolerates only because there hasn't been any reasonable alternative. If-and-when autonomous vehicles actually become cheap and reliable enough, I suspect that human driving will gradually start to be curtailed -- not necessarily by banning it outright, but by making licensing requirements more restrictive, by making insurance costs more onerous, and/or by "nerfing" the cars such that they simply refuse to perform dangerous maneuvers.

Comment Re: Respond like an American (Score 2) 87

Swamp them with offensive counter memes which can be 100% correct characterizations of the idiot as well as portraying Americans as being like their dear leader, who they supported despite knowing he was scum.

Villains in most those shows are not as evil as our dictator, it's harming even them. I suggest using American "IP" for the counter measures because we have a wealth of fat, ugly, idiotic, evil characters to borrow from that might even be understood by the dictator as offensive. (Just do not pick strong bad-guys like Thanos or it will be seen as a complement.)

Comment Re:Nope Nope Nope (Score 1) 209

You're incorrect. You couldn't be more wrong.

In the case of old-style vaccines, the antigen is not attached to any cells. The only thing that the immune system attacks is the antigen.

For mRNA, you want the mRNA to stay local, since the mechanism has your own cells producing antigen, and those *cells* are attacked. Not an issue with muscle cells.

However,if the mRNA enters the bloodstream, it means that actual organ cells may be the target of the immune response, which in turn causes inflammation. The heart? Myocarditis, pericarditis. The ovaries? Sudden erratic periods. The brain? Brain fog.

This is why there were negative side effects. See: https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/a... - tl;dr is easily read in their conclusion:

"A wide distribution of vaccine mRNA in organs can lead to systemic adverse effects and, therefore, there would be a need in the future to develop lipid nanoparticles allowing targeted delivery of mRNA vaccines in specific cells..."

So no, you absolutely don't want a "generalized response" - at least, not from the underlying mRNA mechanism.

Comment Re:Cut the pseudoscientific nonsense (Score 1) 209

That's not how mRNA vaccines work, or at least, how they were advertised to work. You will not find any cite that indicates that they're supposed to enter the bloodstream. They were supposed to stay at the local site, and produce the antigen at the local site of injection.

See: https://www.cdc.gov/covid/vacc...

It clearly says:

"After vaccination, the mRNA will enter the muscle cells. Once inside, they use the cells' machinery to produce a harmless piece of what is called the spike protein."

Happy to see evidence to the contrary, but I doubt that you'll be able to produce it.

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