eglamkowski's Journal: So, how's that record hurricane season coming along?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_Atlantic_hurricane_season

On December 5, 2005, Klotzbach's team issued its first extended-range forecast for the 2006 season, predicting a well above-average season (17 named storms, 9 hurricanes, 5 of Category 3 or higher).

Similar to the 2005 season, the team predicted a high potential for at least one major hurricane to directly impact the United States: the forecast indicates an 81% chance of at least one major hurricane striking the U.S. mainland (including a 64% chance of at least one major hurricane strike on the East Coast of the United States including the Florida peninsula, and a 47% chance of at least one major hurricane strike on the Gulf Coast of the United States from the Florida Panhandle westward). In addition, the potential for major hurricane activity in the Caribbean was above average. A few months later, on April 4, 2006, CSU issued another forecast that reaffirmed the forecast previously made in December.

On May 22, 2006, NOAA released their pre-season forecast for the 2006 season. They predicted 13 to 16 named storms, with 8 to 10 becoming hurricanes, and 4 to 6 becoming major hurricanes.

On May 31, 2006, Klotzbach's team released their final pre-season forecast for 2006, confirming their previous numbers.

Actual so far:

Total named storms: 9
Total hurricanes: 5
Major hurricanes (Cat. 3+): 2
Strongest storm: Helene (125 mph, 954 mbar)
Number of systems making landfall1: 3

Hmmmm....

Don't you understand?

[ellem]

Global Warming causes extreme cold.

Global Warming causes extreme hurricanes.

Global Warming causes extreme not hurricanes.

Global Warming causes extreme chicken wings.

Global Warming causes extreme not chicken wings.

Global Warming causes extreme rain.

Global Warming causes extreme not rain.

Re:

[TechnoLust]

I had some extreme not chicken wings once. They were tasty. Go Global Warming!

Rove, that evil genius

[Red Warrior]

made a secret pact with that Gaia trailer tramp, to hold off on the storms until the 7th.
His eeeevillll knows no bounds!!!

Re:

[Talinom]

Tell me about it. After he imposes martial law [govtrack.us] on the clueless citizens [slashdot.org] he can do what he couldn't do in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina [wikipedia.org].

Restore order and help the victims of the disaster.

Re:

[strspn]

You dont know me, but I think you are disgusting trash. My husband was killed in the war you still defend out of some idiot jingo pride even though you're willing to take a stand against the administration economic and budget policies which don't kill anyone. I wish he had come back and you and everyone who plays your macho game didn't.

Re:

[eglamkowski]

Um, RW was in Iraq in the army last year. He was there in person facing the mortars and snipers himself. Bad choice of person to tangle with...

weathermen

[stoolpigeon]

why would they be any more accurate with this than they are with the local weather report. it's all guesses because there are way too many variables they still can't track. i for one, having moved to florida this year, am extremely pleased with how it has gone.

Re:

[Iamthefallen]

Yeah, but unlike those local hacks, real experts have weighed in on this particular issue:

"We are in a global warming emergency state, and these storms are going to become more frequent, more intense," Streisand urgently tells ABCNEWS's Diane Sawyer.

Re:

[stoolpigeon]

i have always assumed that all the local guys do is read reports that come out from national sources produced by the real weather people. i have absolutely zero confidence that the people i see on the local news are actually doing any technical work.
 
but i agree with your main point.

Re:

[nizo]

Hehe, ahh someone else who sees these charlatans for what they really are. But hey you have to give them credit; even though they have no idea what the weather will be like tomorrow, they are really good at telling you what the weather was like earlier and what is happening right now :-)

The fence

[GMontag]

Well, Bush and Rove did build a fence to trap Mexicans before sending a hurricane into Baja, didn't they?

Re:

[account_deleted]

Comment removed based on user account deletion