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Comment Re:FOR MAGA ONLY (Score 1) 226

When was the last time the US was attacked by something that a radar could see?

Oh that's right, 9/11. Well, those coastal radar installations are facing the wrong way. And frankly even if they were facing the right way, it wouldn't have helped because it takes too long for a fighter jets to intercept them and for a decision to be made to shoot them down.

And the time before that was Pearl Harbor (80 years ago), where the radar worked perfectly fine but people just ignored it. Well, we have satellites, submarines and ships with radar now and we would see the attack coming from 5000 miles away from multiple sources.

Comment Re:This ladies and gentlemen (Score 1) 224

The death penalty should be points based. Only people who commit multiple serious crimes should receive it.

If the chances of you being wrongfully convicted once is 5%, then the chances of you being wrongfully convicted 3 times is 0.0125%.

Of course the chances of being wrongfully convicted 5% of the time is still a travesty. The deprivation of a significant portion of their life in prison is only a few degrees different from deprivation of their entire rest of their life. We should aim for 0.5% or less. Then the chances of being wrongfully convicted 3 times is 0.0000125% (1 in 8 million).

Comment Re:This ladies and gentlemen (Score 1) 224

There's options besides jury and no jury.

You can have a selection process where the prospective juror has to pass a quiz with some basic deductive reasoning questions. You can have professional jurors who have to take a class. You can have a panel of judges acting as a jury.

It's also taken over 200 years to get juries to stop doing things like putting weight on pleading the 5th (in criminal trials)

Pleading the 5th will harm you. The prosecution will bring somebody to weave a story in front of the jury. If you don't take the stand, their version of the story becomes much more believable. I suspect there is something innate about believing people who claim to have experienced it talking directly to you. You have to be extremely analytical to look at the physical evidence that contradicts the narrative and actually believe that over your gut feelings.

It's the same type of legal fiction as pretending every person knows every law.

If you want it to work properly, you have to stop allowing anyone to take the stand. Letting people take the stand, especially victims, create an emotional bias and unfairly helps people who are good actors.

I'm sure it'll take another 1000 years to fix issues with juries, and I'm sure these days AI is probably going to be a thing as well.

I think another 20 years probably. People don't really want to be jurors. The moment they can hand it off to a good enough AI, they'll go for it.

Comment Re:Your heart surgeon in 19 years (Score 1) 132

Ease changes behavior, not just outcomes. If AI cheating is dramatically easier and lower-risk than pre-AI alternatives (crib notes, bribing a proctor, memorizing leaked exams), it doesn't just help existing cheaters - it recruits new ones who wouldn't have bothered with the harder, riskier methods. Frictionless cheating scales.

Which is why murder rates went sky high as guns became much cheaper relative to average income... oh wait.

The entire argument only sounds good if you don't really think about it. I mean, just look at the antecedent "If AI cheating is dramatically easier and lower-risk". This statement is completely different from what you guys were arguing about. "Dramatically easier" and "dramatically easier and lower-risk" are very different. The former does not imply the latter. Even if the conditional statement is true, the conclusion doesn't follow because nobody said it's lower risk.

Comment Re:Well it was inevitable (Score 1) 162

Would you like to do the math on how many software people are there in the world and how much they would pay, combined?

Next, consider that many will pay a lot less than $5000. Finally, compare that to the $2.5 trillion. How many other lucrative industries like software are there that would pay?

Comment Re:Biased news (Score 1) 118

You have to tax or ban products that use difficult-to-recycle packaging. Waste has a negative value and negative externality. You can't let the free market fix the problem.

Some countries have a $2 of CRV equivalent. That's enough for people to put in the effort to recycle. Alternatively, you can require manufacturers to buy back the waste.

Directly subsidizing building of factories that make highly recyclable or compostable packaging is another option.

Durable goods don't really need recycling rules. We don't use enough for it to matter. Only large objects like cars and buildings need special waste handling.

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