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Comment Re:Shocked it was ever that high (Score 1) 60

*Raises hand*. As far as I can tell, in practice, the biggest objection people have is not really about privacy but is people like my father-in-law who is really unhappy about getting tickets in the mail for speeding. That's why people want to get rid of the cameras rather that put in reasonable restrictions about their use cases. And the result is that a tech that would actually save a lot of lives is instead getting removed for what is nominally a privacy concern.

Comment Re:LOL (Score 2) 43

In this case, Anthropic risked a large fraction, if not even a majority of their potential income to do the right thing. That doesn't seem like pretend at all. And yes, Google started out better and then turned into a company that very much is not so. But if there's no reward or incentive for good behavior, and everyone just takes for granted that every "good" company is going to become terrible, then that makes companies have even more incentive to go and become terrible. So the best rest response is treating the good ones like they are doing good things as long as they keep doing so, and push back when they start moving away from that.

Comment Re:Single dumbest way? (Score 5, Informative) 165

The logic is economic autarky -- the belief that we're always better off having complete political sovereignty over every part of our supply chains than having to depend on imports for anything.

This is likely also behind Trump's trade war with Canada. His demands with Canada aren't about discirimatory tariffs -- those were negotiated away with NAFTA then re-negotiated in his first term. His demands are now infringe on Canadian sovereignty, to give US control of Canada's external trade policy, and even on its internal markets (e.g., the use of French in Canadian internal commerce). Symbolically, that's why he wants to rename Lake Ontario to "Lake America". HIs establishment of US control over the Venezuelan oil industry is his greatest foreign policy achievement -- although it's not clear he understands the legal limits on what he can do with their money.

There's a foreign and military policy angle to this too: Taiwan is absolutely critical to the US economy, so we are absolutely committed to defend them if China invades. Semiconductor autarky would mean it's not our problem.

The problem with autarky is that even if it's a good idea (which economists don't believe), you can't conjure it into existence overnight. It will take many years, possibly decades for the US to replace the Taiwan's semiconductor industry. In effect, the administration is proposing to inflict the very damage on the US economy that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would inflict.

And, once the US has voluntarily self-inflicted that damage, China would be free to invade Taiwan.

Comment Read all the details (Score 2, Informative) 55

Unfortunately, there's a lot of people (including some here on Slashdot) who have tried to argue that these instances of AIs breaching their containment have been deliberate hype by the AI companies. The level of detail in this instance and the fact that METR and others have looked at this should make it clear that's not what is going on. Taken together with the fact that another incident occurred with Kimi-3, an open-weight model, which also did something similar but not as extreme when it was tested by a security group https://www.wired.com/story/moonshot-kimi-k3-ai-model-escape-sandbox/ which had no incentive to exaggerate, it should be clear that this is a real problem with these models. At this point, all models should be tested in air-gapped systems. Unfortunately,, it doesn't look like OpenAI or Anthropic or anyone else is taking that sort of step. I suspect we're going to keep having similar problems until an AI model goes seriously off the rails in a way which causes massive amounts of damage and/or kills someone. I'm really hoping we don't need a wake-up call with a model somehow crashing an airplane or something of a similar nature in order to accomplish some goal.

Comment Re:Just like in Texas (Score 1) 176

There are a lot of legitimate criticisms here, but the wastewater thing is not one of them. SpaceX in the article points out that the water used is literally drinking water before it used for the deluge system, and they are correct there. While it is technically waste water, and they should fill all the legal requirements, the dumping just isn't a serious issue. Musk is a racist ass, and SpaceX needs to do a better job with its environmental obligations. However, the wastewater issue is not a real problem.

Comment Re:Why only brains though? (Score 4, Interesting) 38

The paper is here https://pubs.acs.org/jprobs/article/25/8/4189/5164102/Molecular-Solution-to-the-Paradox-of-Ancient-Brain. From that paper, it looks like the presence of specific types of proteins (as well as the absence of others) plays a major role, as well as redox-active iron as well as structural elements about how brain tissue is arranged. From the paper:

Finally, recalcitrant peptides are depleted in cytoplasmic and mitochondrial domains and strongly enrichedby up to 16-foldin calcium-dependent phospholipid-binding C2 domains. C2 domains mediate Ca2+-regulated binding of proteins to anionic phospholipids on membrane surfaces, (58) and their enrichment indicates that peptide persistence is disproportionately associated with proteins stabilized at membranes, rather than within freely soluble intracellular compartments. Loss of ionic homeostasis and rising intracellular Ca2+ during post-mortem decay (6) would be expected to further promote sustained membrane association of such proteins. Membrane-adjacent microenvironments are structurally constrained, concentrating redox-active substrates and catalysts (such as lipids and metals) while restricting diffusion and oxygen availability relative to the cytosol. In this context, radical oxidation is less likely to proceed via chain propagation, which requires continuous access to molecular oxygen, (59) and more likely to locally terminate via cross-linking. Such cross-linking would be expected to reduce molecular mobility and solubility, sterically hinder enzymatic and hydrolytic attack, and promote the formation of insoluble aggregates resistant to degradation. (60)

A further factor likely reinforcing this taphonomic trajectory is the brain’s unusually large and heterogeneous reservoir of redox-active iron. (61) Nervous tissue contains high iron concentrations relative to most other soft tissues, distributed across multiple pools such as heme proteins, ferritin-bound stores, and iron-rich compartments associated with mitochondria, myelin, and oligodendrocytes. (62) In life, these pools are tightly regulated to support oxidative metabolism while limiting collateral damage. (63) After death, however, progressive membrane failure and loss of regulatory control are expected to alter iron speciation and availability, increasing the likelihood of local metal-catalyzed radical generation. Importantly, such chemistry need not produce uniform oxidative destruction: when redox reactions involving iron occur within membrane-adjacent or diffusion-limited microenvironments, they may favor the formation of short-lived aromatic radicals that terminate by covalent cross-linking rather than by chain-propagating oxidation (Table S22). The enrichment of peroxidaseswhich often involve heme iron or metal cofactors (64)among recalcitrant peptides is compatible with localized, metal-associated redox chemistry, in which iron-containing cofactors may contribute to peroxide-driven radical formation without sustaining chain-propagating oxidation.

The brain is particularly predisposed to follow this trajectory. In life, it is among the most oxidatively stressed organs: it consumes a disproportionate share of oxygen, is rich in redox-active metals, and relies heavily on antioxidant and repair systems to maintain protein integrity. (65) Additionally, the brain combines extreme membrane density, (66) an abundance of structurally stable, long-lived proteins that accumulate heterogeneous oxidative modifications during life, (67) and anatomical sequestration within the cranial vault. Together, these features establish a post-mortem environment characterized by pre-existing chemical and structural heterogeneity, limited molecular mobility, and restricted oxygen exchange: conditions that favor local, diffusion-limited radical reactions and termination by cross-linking rather than runaway, chain-propagating oxidation. Notably, the molecular features that define this post-mortem pathway closely parallel those that stabilize aggregation-prone protein assemblies in neurodegenerative disease: enrichment of -sheet and structurally ordered fragments, (68) redox-active residue modifications, (69) and oxidative cross-links (70) are hallmarks of pathological protein aggregation in vivo. While the biological contexts differ fundamentally, these parallels indicate that common chemical processes govern protein persistence across clinical and geological time scales.

Comment Re:I'm not convinced QCs will ever work (Score 1) 45

I know that 28 was wrong.

Great. Progress. Now here's the important thing: If you understood Shor's algorithm you would know that 28 couldn't possibly have been the number. So this should cause you to conclude that you are in general overconfident about how much you know or understand about how quantum computers would function. This doesn't mean you are necessarily wrong, but it should indicate that you are overconfident here or could you use a more detailed introduction or refresher on the topic. My preferred recommendation is Aaronson's "Quantum Computing Since Democritus." The book assumes no technical prereqs beyond basic calculus and a tiny amount of linear algebra.

However, you seem to be totally ignorant with regards to algorithmic complexity. That means you do not even have the very basics needed to be in this exchange.

If you think there's some specific indication that I'm in general ignorant about algorithmic complexity, please feel free to point it out. If there's a specific statement I've made that indicates that, by all means show it.

Comment Re: Is Scott Aaronson eating humble pie yet? (Score 1) 45

This is not really accurate. The way qubits work, they don't expand in that simple a way because you cannot just test all arrangements of 1s and 0s in superposition. You can only solve problems with a quantum computer where all the non-solution superpositions carefully cancel out. That's part why for example it is strongly suspected that quantum computers cannot efficiently solve NP-complete problems, or more formally that NP is not contained in BQP. This is also why Shor's algorithm https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shor's_algorithm for using a quantum computer requires a number of qubits slightly more than the square of the number of digits a number to factor a number. If qubits corresponded directly in the exponential way you are describing, that would be linear in the number of ditis.

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