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Comment DUV is a dead end (Score 3, Interesting) 43

China is learning that there's a long road ahead just to replicate the equipment that's been available for a decade. Obviously they need to get started on it, especially since there's "a bill now moving through Congress would cut off from ASML sales and servicing by statute", but they won't reach the state of the art for many years even if they steal it as usual.

Comment Unwarranted skepticism (Score 2) 79

That guy is a doom monger who makes his living bashing AI and I don't believe a word he says.

We're still in early days with these LLM's and AI in general. There's huge potential and very large demand for it, that's the reason for the infrastructure boom. The companies that could benefit the most from AI haven't had time to properly integrate it, so naturally there are growing pains. Anthropic and OpenAI are themselves just fledgling companies trying to grapple with success.

Meanwhile, token prices have fallen dramatically.

"According to Ramp’s enterprise spending data, the average cost per million tokens across major providers fell from roughly $10 to $2.50 in a single year. Epoch AI’s research suggests that inference costs are dropping at rates approaching 200x per year when accounting for both pricing and efficiency improvements."

"The pattern here echoes the early days of cloud computing, when providers offered aggressively low pricing to capture market share, then gradually introduced reserved instances, tiered pricing, and consumption-based billing as usage matured. The AI pricing cycle appears to be compressing that same evolution into a much shorter timeframe."

https://www.artefact.com/blog/...

But alongside that people are now deploying agentic AI that burns through tokens far more rapidly. Companies have even been incentivizing employees to burn tokens. This is all going to even out in the coming years.

Comment Re:No sorry NIMBY never ever nuclear is crap (Score 1) 84

Not all old people are conservatives, and even the ones who are don't deserve to die.

The reaction was necessary and proportionate. The situation was fluid. Monitoring had been lost, so it was not known exactly how bad it was. Then containment buildings started exploding.

To this day, much of that area is not decontaminated. It's not safe to live there, unless you are very careful. Which in practice means children can't live there, the elderly can't live there, and anyone would be living on edge the whole time. Repeated attempts to decontaminate the area have failed, and there is no known solution, at any cost.

That's one of the reasons why nuclear power can't get insurance, and the government has to cover it.

Submission + - Codeberg Bans Cryptocurrency And LLM-Generated Code Projects (hackaday.com)

AmiMoJo writes: Community-led open source project hosting site Codeberg has formally announced that projects whose code is largely or fully machine-generated through LLMs and other ‘AI’ tools will no longer be welcome. This follows on the heels of a similar ban on cryptocurrency-related projects.

The community vote was on two issues, the first being the notion that scraping of project code for the use in LLMs should be forbidden, which was a motion that easily passed. The second motion was on disallowing projects whose code was substantially generated by LLMs like Claude, OpenAI Codex, and similar. This motion passed with 358 in favor versus 144 against.

In the earlier linked blog post the reasoning behind especially this second issue is expanded upon, covering not only ‘license whitewashing’, but also the direct and indirect hardware costs, with the expanding ‘AI’ datacenter hyperscaling having massively increased hardware costs for Codeberg over the past years, as the costs have been largely externalized.

Comment Re:Long life (Score 1) 84

More relevant is the fact that they were only able to remove 90% of the long term dangerous material. If they can't separate the remaining 10% then either they have to store the whole lot anyway, or they have to very carefully examine every bit of waste, all different shapes and sizes, to determine what is safe and what isn't.

Also note that even if they remove 100% of the long lived stuff, the shorter term dangerous material is going to need to sit in a pool for decades before they can throw it in landfill.

Comment Re:No sorry NIMBY never ever nuclear is crap (Score 1) 84

Don't underestimate the damage done though. Whole towns displaced and ultimately lost, because attempts to decontaminate them failed. Lives ruined and not adequately compensated. Lots of farmers were badly hit too, losing land and having trouble selling their produce. Ditto the fishermen.

Total cost is looking like it will be around half a trillion Euros, but they have fallen behind their schedule for decommissioning the plant. NHK did a documentary about it on YouTube if you are interested in the problems they are facing.

Comment Re:"Clean Energy" (Score 1) 84

Calling France's nuclear a success is ignoring the very large costs. Your link is flawed, it doesn't properly account for what the French have paid to keep their nuclear programme going. It's hard to say for sure because the civilian side is tangled up with the military side, but it's so wildly expensive and unprofitable that they had to nationalize the operator, EDF, some years back. EDF has been saying that any new plants take a minimum of 20 years to build, after all the legal and planning issues are resolved.

France is now seeing power shortages due to the hot weather forcing nuclear plants offline, and they are regularly seeing low demand for the power due to cheaper renewables in neighbouring countries (their grids are all interconnected).

To be fair it has got their CO2 emissions down, but that was then and this is now. The fleet is reaching end of life and getting more expensive to keep running. They are going to have to decide how much more money to throw at it, when there are better alternatives. My guess is quite a lot, because it's critical to their weapons programme.

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