"move toward cooperation", China is relentlessly predatory and routinely attempts to globally dominate multiple industries. I don't think the rest of us need to cooperate with that.

"momentum they have should have everyone in the West shit their pants", let's see some cites. They are far, far behind.

China is learning that there's a long road ahead just to replicate the equipment that's been available for a decade. Obviously they need to get started on it, especially since there's "a bill now moving through Congress would cut off from ASML sales and servicing by statute", but they won't reach the state of the art for many years even if they steal it as usual.

That guy is a doom monger who makes his living bashing AI and I don't believe a word he says.

We're still in early days with these LLM's and AI in general. There's huge potential and very large demand for it, that's the reason for the infrastructure boom. The companies that could benefit the most from AI haven't had time to properly integrate it, so naturally there are growing pains. Anthropic and OpenAI are themselves just fledgling companies trying to grapple with success.

Meanwhile, token prices have fallen dramatically.

"According to Ramp’s enterprise spending data, the average cost per million tokens across major providers fell from roughly $10 to $2.50 in a single year. Epoch AI’s research suggests that inference costs are dropping at rates approaching 200x per year when accounting for both pricing and efficiency improvements."

"The pattern here echoes the early days of cloud computing, when providers offered aggressively low pricing to capture market share, then gradually introduced reserved instances, tiered pricing, and consumption-based billing as usage matured. The AI pricing cycle appears to be compressing that same evolution into a much shorter timeframe."

https://www.artefact.com/blog/...

But alongside that people are now deploying agentic AI that burns through tokens far more rapidly. Companies have even been incentivizing employees to burn tokens. This is all going to even out in the coming years.

It won't be possible to stop this for long. Cameras are tiny and already you could just have one clipped to your collar. After a while it won't require big chunky glasses to mount one, it will just be ordinary eyewear.

"There's no way this is cheap", in principle it is. The cameras are inexpensive, and you can just send the images to an AI over the internet for a few cents each to flag potential violations and build a comprehensive report. Much cheaper than paying a team of people to drive around all day looking at everything.

"How does it benefit the city to crack down on this?" It reduces the number of eyesores for starters. That improves property values and makes the city a more desirable place to live.

As the article says, "Much of what the world needs probably does not require the absolute frontier."

The frontier models are great, but I find that the ones a release or two behind are also pretty darn good. The 'open source' models do fine in many cases and are much cheaper. In a few months the second and third tier models of will have caught up to the level where the best ones are now. So I'm not very worried that there will be some kind of monopoly on AI, the competition seems healthy at this point.

I get it that they see something that may be a convective filament, but I don't understand how this would solve the problem of the Eddington limit. As I understand it, the infalling matter near the black hole gets hot and bright enough to shed matter rather than accumulate it.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/...

"The maximum possible luminosity of a source in hydrostatic equilibrium is the Eddington luminosity. If the luminosity exceeds the Eddington limit, then the radiation pressure drives an outflow."

"Because protons are negligibly pressured by the analog of Thomson scattering, due to their larger mass, the result is to create a slight charge separation and therefore a radially directed electric field, acting to lift the positive charges, which, under the conditions in stellar atmospheres, typically are free protons. When the outward electric field is sufficient to levitate the protons against gravity, both electrons and protons are expelled together."

A convective flow of outer material might make things a little less constipated but it doesn't explain these very early massive black holes in my opinion.

A shock collar. Ok maybe just a wristband tethered to the car. Mild misbehavior gets you a warning buzz, and after that you start getting some initially mild shocks that ramp up to safely below seizure level.

If you don't put it on you don't go anywhere, but still are being charged for the time. If you take it off you get dumped to the curb. We'll call it a health monitor.

So you can't identify a single thing. Typical.

Was anything he said factually inaccurate?

>> a lot of people are going to have to die.

You appear to be bitterly pessimistic there buddy. It's tiresome and unhelpful.

The cited article mentions several proposals for retraining. Also the coalition "has so far raised more than $500 million — about half of its multiyear goal — from companies and nonprofit groups" to help fund it. Meanwhile the average communitycollege tuition and fees for indistrict students was about $4k per year in 2025, not a very heavy debt load. This isn't necessarily a disastrous transition, particularly if prices do fall due to increased production.

Sounds like they'll try to identify some highly physical things a person could do better than AI, and provide training for it. Nothing wrong with that. Healthcare (or at least nursing the elderly), plumbing, electrician, etc. It will be the blue-collaring of the workforce. White collar work has typically paid better, so unfortunately this will be a step down for many. As for young people, instead of university and a career as a lawyer you will be directed to a community college to learn some skill that still requires human hands.

But I also want to think about the possible advantages and better outcomes. In my experience the AI systems are a huge boost in personal productivity. You need to have the right mindset to use it and sufficient experience to steer it properly. People who are able to groove into that can get an awful lot of work done with relatively little effort. Be one of those people if possible, it ain't that hard.

And then, let's say an awful lot of work does get done with less and less effort on our parts. This could mean that things become cheaper and easier to make, therefore less expensive to buy. Standards of living could potentially rise. Yes you could imagine that the current titans of industry will dominate AI and consolidate economic control, make us all slaves, but I don't think they can monopolize it. There will soon come a time when sophisticated AI models run just fine on cellphones, and your worth will depend on what you can do with it.

From the cited article;

Sean McWilliams, an astrophysicist at West Virginia University, was skeptical that the gravitational wave frequency analyzed by the scientists was actually "dictated" by the event horizon.

For this reason, "the actual observed signal doesn't really tell us anything about the horizon or the other properties directly related to it," he told AFP.