Comment Total BULL crap (Score 4, Interesting) 48
This is the major problem with the AI crowd, they act like AGI is just around the corner. AGI is just around the corner the way that Nuclear Fusion is just around the corner.
Currently AI is really, really STUPID. It looks smart because it uses a ton of processing time and memory. It's like you give the dumbest kid in school access to the internet, lock him in a room for 5 months and only let him out if he solves a suduko. It takes him 5 months, but eventually he gets it. Then you brag about him like he is a genius.
Ai is not getting smarter. It is getting better educated. It has access to more datasets and more cpu time. The basic process itself is the same as back in 2018 when Deepmind solved protein folding.
They have just applied it to languages, pictures, video, etc. Using the same technique on more datasets is NOT revolutionary, it is just evolutionary.
Yes, it is important work, significant process. But the same basic limitations still exist.
AGI is not and will NEVER be created using the same Large Language Model technology we call AI currently.
It will require something truly revolutionary. That means saying 'people are working on it' is like saying people are working on faster than light travel. We will need a super genius human that works out how to do something that we currently have NO idea how to do. Somebody that is a Professor or a PHD student, not a working software engineer.
We will not do it by making the minor upgrades to LLMs that OpenMind, Anthropic and all the rest are doing. They are doing necessary Engineering work, not technological experimentation.
No AI company is going to waste their money on the pie in the sky theories that no established engineer believes when there are so many obvious and EASY gains to be made doing minor upgrades. It's like expecting the Wright brothers to create a jet engine.