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Comment Re: Woudn't be surprised if it all comes crashing (Score 2) 40

AI definitely has some value and income.

Not as much as it's being hyped as, but significant. Anthropic for example will get nearly 50 billion in revenue this year.

And the value of people using AI smartly is definitely not zero. We're in the late 90s internet part of this. In 10 years there will be AI that we take for granted making some companies billions and a lot of failed companies. There's no reason to think otherwise.

It's also not going to replace lawyers and doctors, it will be part of how they do their job better much like the internet though.

Comment Re:test drive? (Score 1) 238

People's attitudes about cars are so strange. LOTS of people get injured in car accidents to the point where they can't use a phone to call for help. As the OP stated, these systems are mandatory now in Europe so lots of people "give [enough of] a fuck to own [them]."

Anyway, my comment was about your reading comprehension. You excoriated the OP for "i can't see how you'd imagine someone wouldn't want to disable it" when what they said was they couldn't imagine why someone would want to buy their own after disabling the built in one.

You sound like an old dude. Highways were deathtraps back in the days of "a time when people used CBs and ham radios with autopatch for automotive emergencies." You've got your fondly remembering your life glasses on and they're interfering with your ability to read and making you say dumb stuff.

Comment Re: Woudn't be surprised if it all comes crashing (Score 2) 40

I don't think this will kill Microsoft, Google, Meta, Amazon or Oracle. Their worwr case is having to dump their AI programs, take a stock hit, and issue some bonds. They all have enough revenue for the foreseeable future that they won't bankrupt.

Comment Re: Are you sure that's wise? (Score 1) 173

From a business sense it is somewhat unstable.

For example if any investments were made WRT the earlier tarrifs, I bet they don't look so hot now.

Or maybe you invested in a large off shore wind project, how did the stability of the US turn out?

And for more balanced take (Trump is more recent, and extreme, but not the only problem) congress as a whole is unwilling to work together and pass laws so we end up with executive orders and whiplash on policy.

For an investment that will take years to complete and pay off the US is becoming risky in some areas. The risk is due to the instability of policy and law.

Comment Re:NPR lost the plot on this article (Score 1) 53

There is minuscule public (non-insider) information about medical trials.

Typically there's quite a bit. "New" drugs usually have quite a bit of published pre-clinical work, sometimes going back decades, and previous phase clinical trials must be published.

This is "gambling".

Yes. All all the justifications Kalshi came up with are bullshit. Either things that already exist in a non-gambling form (e.g. clinicaltrials.gov) or are not useful.

Comment Re: Let me update that... (Score 1) 24

They're claiming 10x Cerebras (a 25kw system) performance.

100x performance per watt.

Even if they're overestimating / best casing the situation there is value to be had here.

The current frontier models have use. This could be made for one and depending on hardware cost be useful for a year and replaced (Nvidia/AMD hardware are advancing fast enough to be obsolete pretty quick too). I can see a business built around a product based on an open weight model using these in servers.

This is for end user/cloud provider products. And if these can be developed fast enough and not cost too much, there's likely a market.

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