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Comment Re:35%? (Score 1) 24

Spinning hard drives have come back down. I bought 4x 30TB in December when I was afraid the prices would climb. Paid ~$2500 direct from Seagate and got 78TB of usable RAIDZ storage. By January those same drives were only available 3rd party went up to $900/each on Newegg. Now, the Seagate 32TB are available on Newegg for ~$700/each. If I had waited, I could have gotten quite a bit more storage for a little more ... but the 32TB are also sold out now, so those prices might skyrocket again.

Comment Responsible (Score 2) 80

They're not being responsible in their rapid data center expansion, so why would they be responsible in anything else?

I suspect when this AI bubble pops, all the corporate customers will end up being charged $200~$400/month per engineer, and they'll have to chose between Anthropic or OpenAI (no more just enabling both in CoPilot enterprise). Individuals might start shelling out insane amounts per month, and maybe we'll finally get a push for more usable local models for coding.

I also suspect there are developers who will be totally lost now if they lose access to the LLMs or can no longer afford them.

Comment CXMT and CHIPs (Score 1, Insightful) 24

It's unclear if CXMT got removed from the US sanctioned entities list, but it really needs to be. The fucking CHIPs act needs to be revoked. Billions of our tax dollars went to Micron and they turned around and fucked all consumers. I wish there was more consumer demand to run this stuff locally. Local image generation models are pretty good, but video is still a long way off and local coding models are all piss poor. I know that AI-gen video is funny and I'm gonna laugh at it, but come on man .. that person shelling out $50 ~ $200 to pay for making it is the reason we can't have ram!

Comment Re:ELI5... why is this bad? (Score 1) 47

Those types of things are illegal in the US too: Immediate an imminent incitement. If you tell a angry mob in person to go kill someone in a crowd, that's not protected. That's not what people are going to prison for in the UK. Show me where that is happening. People are going to prison in the UK, and having cops come to their door, for benign posts .. Countdankula had years of legal litigation because he made a funny joke with his dog about "god's chosen people," and still ended up paying 800 GBP for a fucking joke!

Meanwhile the Rotherham went on for decades and trafficked thousands of children. My original point still stands too. 2 years is prison for a post that's protected in America, versus child rapist getting 6~8 months. I'd rather have the free speech and rights to guns please. The UK has already turned into the world Orwell warned about. The US isn't far behind.

Comment Re:Why not adopt? (Score 1) 67

Yes, AS IT SHOULD BE! Surrogacy is basically human trafficking. Most cases are pretty reprehensible:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?...

It's essentially renting a womb and buying a child, dressed in extra steps of science and modern medicine.

The entire "donating eggs" process is also very hard on women, and many of the drugs they use for preparation and extraction have not been thoroughly tested and may have led to serious cancers.

Comment Re:Nice AI you have here (Score 1, Insightful) 194

The TikTok thing was smoke and mirrors. Years ago ByteDance US hired former CIA people into high ranking roles, including moderation. It's not a secret. Their LinkedIn profiles literally showed CIA right under either ByteDance or TikTok US. The only reason Congress pretended to care about Tiktok was likely due to lobbyist from Meta and Google, who were losing millions to Tiktok's superior ad algorithms.

Comment Re:Weed them out. (Score 1) 63

> I filter candidates by detecting AI use

Have you tried putting your own resume through those? You can take most resumes from prior to 2019 and pump them through and get over a 50% AI-positive rate. So you're using broken shit software that doesn't work to try to find broken shit stuff that doesn't work. Looks like all the potential candidates are dodging a bullet with you.

Comment I saw it coming (Score 4, Informative) 97

My current drives were getting near capacity. I was looking at the 30TB that finally came onto the consumer market. I saw prices start to rise in December and got worries, so I pulled the trigger. Seagate had 30TB on their website for reasonable (summer) prices. I bought 4x 30TB (78TB usable in zfs with RAIDZ) for just under $2500 with shipping/taxes. By January, the drives had jumped to $900 a piece!

Older drives will now be JBOD/zfs backup drives. I have one old Ryzen 3 with a 16GB stick that supports wake on lan that I can turn into my backup server (have it power up, snap-shot and sleep every night). I'm kinda glad I overspent on hardware in early December. I'm inventorying all my spare homelab stuff and hope I have enough spares to weather any purchases for the rest of 2026.

Comment Re:So tentative answer (Score 4, Interesting) 73

The differences in comparison to previous industrialization, like automated looms, trains, wood/metal lathes, automated phone systems, is that those machines all produced deterministic results. They could be understood by most mechanical or electrical engineers. You could see the obvious benefit of Ford's assembly line, and use that new fangled film technology to record what it looked like inside the new motor plants.

The LLMs have a lot of emergent properties. They are somewhat deterministic, as far as selecting the next set of possible tokens, but there is some randomness introduced so you're occasionally returned the token with 92% confidence over the 95% confidence, just to introduce some variability. But a new prompt that's as simple as "Are you sure?" can modify the context window so heavily you get entirely different results.

The new LLM era is very different, because these aren't deterministic machines that give you discrete results. You only have to do some image or video generation to know it takes several iterations to get what you want. Sure one person can animate their own 5~10 minutes shows now with just a couple of scanned in drawings, but they might have to render some things several times to get them right, and so they never know if the next episode will cost $200 or $600 in compute.

Comment Re:Modularize these things already. (Score 1) 37

Yea I don't understand either. The PS5 does have some pretty good graphics; here's my review of Ratchet and Clank

: https://battlepenguin.com/gami...

It's a noticeable difference, but does it really matter? God of War looked amazing on my PS4 Pro, and I recently hacked my PS4 Pro so i just play pirated games on it and keep it disconnected from the Internet. The previous generation had more than enough amazing games. The Steam Box/Cube/Whatever is not going to be a huge uplift. It looks like its specs will be in line with a current generation Radeon 9070. Hell, my PC has a 3080-Ti in it and probably will for years to come. There's nothing I want to play that it can't play well.

I'm not sure if people want photo realistic gameplay, or if that's even possible on home hardware. You might see the big push to nvidia cloud gaming for such content, but I'm not sure most gamers would even care. It'd be a gimmick and a worthless one if they games aren't actually fun. No one is buying 8k screens either, so game consoles will kinda hit their consumer limit with 4k@60fps. The big improvements would only be raster vs upscaling.

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