Honestly, European defense is pretty screwed if Ukraine falls. We'd be losing a million-man veteran force with the experience in the most modern warfare on the planet, and instead Russia gaining their entire defense industry, as well as seizing their land, economy, and propagandizing to their kids and preparing to draft them into its own military - to turn all of that against other states in eastern Europe.

You do realize the difference between a controlled demo of a drone that can go a max 10 meters for a max 6 minutes in pristine conditions, and getting to a guy who's been trapped in a concrete drainage pipe for 491 days well behind enemy lines, all rescue attempts failed, his comrades dead, constantly being shelled, one foot rotted off and fallen off, the other cut off by him, relying on random drone airdrops of supplies to stay alive, and getting out to him - again, under fire - hoisting him and his rotted legs up, and escaping under fire, maneuvering low around obstacles for cover, without him or the drone being jammed or shot down or him being shot?

You understand the difference, right? The challenge was not "make an object that can lift a weight".

Airgaps are not flawless defenses. Ask, say, the Iranians about Stuxnet.

Even at the bare minimum, *information* is flowing through said airgap (otherwise, what's the point?), and the output information could be deliberately tainted.

There are legitimate concerns with the use of an AI model from a hostile state, esp. given how much today is agentic.

That said, there's no reason for a complete ban; surely having a standard set of post-training data and requiring that Chinese models first be posttrained should be sufficient? Unless someone finds a trick to embed harmful behavior so deeply that resists removal by post-training (and also resists detection in a way that can be abliterated)...

To be fair, AI is the fastest growing segment; 70% of new datacentre capacity is for AI. The main question is whether one things that demand will keep growing exponentially, whether there will be a "pop", whether people will increasingly choose "cheap models for the same capability" over "better models at the same price", and whether Jevon's Paradox will consume all of the efficiency gains (~100x in just a few years in terms of power and cost for a given model capability). These lead to very different long-term pictures. One can only really talk about the situation as it stands today, and to a lesser degree, over the next 1-2 years. Beyond that is pretty speculative, and it depends greatly on your assumptions.

That said, if one's assumptions are "AI is massively successful, Jevon eats all efficiency gains and then some, and people keep choosing the latest and greatest models", then one also has to assume the side effects of that scenario: massive increases in the economy, massive increases in tax revenue, and massive increases in the ability to solve the world's problems. So even if you assume a scenario where AI scales to consuming several percent (or more!) of the world's primary energy, you're also assuming a scenario where the world has vastly more resources to dedicate to fighting environmental problems (if it so chooses). Honestly, the real environmental threat in that scenario isn't the AI itself; it's that if the whole global economy is growing so much thanks to AI, then overall consumption of goods and services is correspondingly growing, with all the environmental consequences that entails.

And also to be clear, this is in no way to dismiss the sorts of challenges / threats imposed by AI - disruptions, wealth concentration (particularly if proprietary models win over open models, and if no political action is taken), humans using AI in warfare, humans using AI to manipulate other humans, etc etc.

Selling your own stock does not create a GAAP profit.

ED: "That's more than all datacentres combined " - that was supposed to be deleted, but I didn't proofread :P

Video gaming was 347 TWh/yr in 2024, and growing fast. That's more than all datacentres combined in 2024 was 415 TWh, and 485 TWh in 2025, but the majority of that is crypto (mainly Bitcoin), not AI. AI in specific in 2025 was 155 TWh (that's for both inference and training, all AI tasks combined) (It's quite trivial to show that it can't be much more than that because there simply haven't been enough servers produced). Total global primary energy in 2025 (not just electricity, but also including e.g. transport fuels, heating, etc) was ~177,000 TWh. I'll repeat: AI is a blip.

Also, I'm not sure why you thought you couldn't look up these numbers?

AI is a blip on global carbon emissions. Videogaming itself is a much larger power consumer.

Humans still review and authorize the specific decisions. And the bot will have spent far more time trying to meet the user's need than the user would ever have had time to do so.

Meh, we're talking something that should in bulk be the price of a low-end car and works 24/7 without breaks. Hard to make the case that that's not "economically practical". And as for realism, I'd take a mixed stance.

The truth lies somewhere between you and the GP.

Against the GP: the plan IS to have robots do those sorts of things. And there's real progress being made.

Against you: it's not simply a matter of "being programmed to do those things". Robotics is the least advanced AI field at present - in part because there's no convenient internet-scale training datasets to work with for real-world interactions, and also because accumulating physical real-world interactions impose time and cost bottlenecks. Beyond all issues of longevity in real-world (physically taxing / complex ) environments. I think a bet that we're *not* going to get their in our lives is a very bad bet (unless you're currently on palliative care!), but talking about it like it's just "some programmer needs to code a specific job" just isn't where we are - carefully curated and parameter-defined stunts aside.

Think, for example, of automated driving as another example. Very real progress over many years. Also still not to the mass deployment stage. And that's a much more "controlled environment", with much larger datasets, than general-purpose robotics. I must stress that "general purpose" aspect, because that's what's needed for the sort of jobs in question here. It's not simply "robot arm that's bolted down, target gets inserted into the target location, series of precise actions taken on it". The real world has an endless series of "unexpected things" in it, and a robot doing real-world physical chores absolutely must be adaptive to them.

Reality: No. They're forming a wholly-owned LLC, not a 501(c)(3) charity. They're treated as a disregarded entity for tax purposes. Transferring shares from Anthropic to the new LLC is just moving money from Anthropic's left pocket to its right pocket. You don't get a tax deduction from that. To get a deduction from IRC 170, you have to make an irrevocable transfer to a qualified 501(c)(3) charity.

If Anthropic later donates from this LLC to actual charities, it could then claim a corporate charitable deduction (against up to 10% of their profits - and note that word, profits; also, there's no breaks for UBI programs targeted at individuals). But the formation of this entity and transfer of 5% of their shares to it does not give them any sort of a tax break whatsoever, and there's no difference between donating from this structure to a charity and donating directly from Anthropic. In fact, by forming this structure, they're skipping a potential tax break that they could get by forming and donating to a 501(c)(3) upfront.

(If your next question is "why not a 501(c)(3), then?", the answer is because there's all sorts of IRS restrictions on 501(c)(3)s, including distributing at least 5% of assets annually, excise taxes on investment gains, strict limits on cash transfers to individuals, etc)

I get that it's popular for mod points to be cynical, but at least focus your cynicism on factuality. Try this: "We found a PR cheat! And how to turn things our CEO wants to do anyway and might not do until many years from now into a pre-IPO press release!"

A lot of music, movies and tv shows is available exclusively through streaming nowadays, not physical media you can own.

Why?

I run a Shopify store, and if anybot wants to buy from me, by all means, and please invite all your bot-friends!

I think the only merchants who should be fearing this are ones relying on brand recognition rather than low prices and good products, since bots have more time to "shop around".