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Comment Re:Picking on Cuba (Score 2) 84

Elections usually have observers from both parties to make sure this kind of thing doesn't happen.

So ok, these are the kinds of election frauds that could happen, or have happened historically.

If we're going to be scientific about it, we should ask, "Where were the Republican observers? What is there testimony about what happened?" Any attempt to ignore the hundreds of observers that were present is just unscientific nonsense.

Comment Re:Picking on Cuba (Score 1) 84

The rise of populism in Europe is a real trend.

Populism isn't automatically a bad thing: it just means that the general public is being represented (or appealed to). Obama was populist, and he was fine, literally the best US president of the century and it's not even close.

Populism combined with the belief that your country can conquer the world is a bad thing (like what Hitler did). But a knee-jerk anti-populist attitude is not nuanced enough.

I will also add that Ian Bremmer seems to see trade deals as an important part of Pax Americana, but it isn't. "Liking America" is also not Pax Americana. Pax Americana isn't a popularity contest.

Pax Americana happens because countries have a moderately reasonable belief that if they invade their neighbor, America will do something to stop them. When that belief is gone, Serbia will immediately invade Kosovo.

Comment Re:Picking on Cuba (Score -1, Troll) 84

now it's most of the world wanting rules-based order up against an increasingly isolationist US led, if you can call it that, by a rapidly dementing authoritarian.

False. Russia and China are very clear about their goal to create a multi-polar order, and eventually the bigger and eventually the only pole.

Some people in Europe complain about the "rules based order," but they fall in line behind America. They would rather have free healthcare than a big military.

Comment Re:Picking on Cuba (Score 2, Interesting) 84

seeing as it doesn't pick on equally despicable dictatorships (Saudi Arabia; China) that are just as bad as Cuba but more powerful.

It's hard to measure "better" and 'worse" among dictatorships. But, the US has definitely pressured Saudi Arabia (who has responded by giving women more rights among other things), and China (who has responded with counter-sanctions). But right now, the primary axis of international politics is not the spread of democracy.

If you want to understand international politics right now, it's the US led world in favor of Pax Americana, against the Chinese led world that wants to create a multi-polar word (and eventually a communist world led by China if you read Xi Jinping thought).

Trump has been taking out the vassal states (or allies) of China one by one. For Venezuela, he just took their leader. China tried to give them defensive weapons, but the weapons didn't work. For Cuba, he's blockading them. For Iran, he's killing the leaders until they behave. For Russia, he tried being friends with Putin. It's a risky strategy.

So we are in the hot part of a world war right now, and the stakes are domination of the world, whether it will be Pax Americana or Pax China. it's like 1931 when Japan started expanding its empire out of Manchuria, in the sense that the fighting had started, but hadn't spread to the whole world yet. If China does actually take a move and militarily attack Taiwan or the South China sea, then we will be in full world war 3.

I don't think that can be avoided.

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