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Comment Re: This should stop the abuse of H1-B (Score 3, Insightful) 226

I've always wondered if it's true or not that the mostly Indian workforce in US is paid way below.

It may depend on the type of position. Some Indians graduated from an IIT and then from a top US school with a PhD. They get paid way more than $100k/year. They do possess harder to find skills, and those are the types of immigrants that the H1B should be targeting. A $100k increase in costs for these workers is substantial but far less than 50%.

However, many Indians and non-Indians did not graduate from top schools in their country or the US. Many of these people are hired for their low cost. A $100k increase in their cost would likely be more than 50% of the current costs.

The key to setting an effective fee is to price it to distinguish between these two types.

Comment Re:America's food security depends on immigrant la (Score 4, Informative) 103

"America's food security depends on immigrant labor"

No it doesn't. It depends on a free and open market for labor.

If there are no immigrants working for slave-like wages, food companies will have to do a couple of things. (1) Innovate with technology to rely on less labor. This is called a productivity gain. And (2) start paying people a decent/humane wage, and this will attract more workers to this line of work.

Both of these ideas are problematic.

First, technological innovations have already come to some crops like most of the grains grown in the Midwest. The reason most fruit and vegetable harvesting is not automated is that the technology doesn't yet exist. Maybe in a few years or decades, we'll have machines or robots that can pick fruits and vegetables, but likely not anytime soon.

Second, it's not just a matter of money. The work is hard, literally back breaking, and often unpleasant. A wage that is just a living wage may not be sufficient to attract enough workers. Remember that many young people don't want the factory jobs that Trump is trying to bring back to the US, and farm work is even harder than factory work.

Furthermore, the price inflation from paying much higher wages would make that produce pretty much impossible to sell.

In our world, there are currently only two practical solutions. Either use undocumented workers or import produce. Trump is attacking both solutions at the same time.

Comment Re:Every few years, a new canard (Score 2, Interesting) 205

All the stuff about ghost cities and subways to nowhere was false. They were simply build ahead of expected, planned migrations from rural areas to cities, which sure enough happened.

This is partially true and false. Yes, some/many of the so-called ghost cities have filled up and become vibrant cities. However, there are others that have some people but have nowhere near the planned number of residents.

The real-estate market has overheated a bit in China, but you have to remember that the government's goal is to provide housing for its citizens, not to enable private companies to make huge profits. I know it's very hard for some people to wrap their heads around, but low real-estate prices are considered a good thing as long as they are properly managed.

China's real estate situation is problematic. It is not good. Several large construction companies have gone bankrupt. The problem is that Chinese and Asians in general prioritize real estate as an investment vehicle. Just like the stock market, when the market values go up, prices have upward momentum and the government, companies, and people are happy. However, when the values go down, then the bubble pops, and downward momentum is hard to reverse.

One extremely challenging problem is the story of unfinished homes. In China, people buy homes and start paying mortgages before the unit is finished. Since several of the largest construction companies in China went bankrupt, it's likely that many of these homes will never be finished. Some estimates put the number such "ghost" homes at 20 million. Some of these homes were investment properties that require mortgage payments but will never yield any return. This is a problem with no easy solution.

Comment Re:Clever Chinese (Score 1) 24

Americans seem to think Chinese are stupid, but the evidence shows otherwise.

Ignoring for the moment that this research came from a Taiwanese university and not from China, it doesn't make sense that Americans think that the Chinese are stupid. The recent extreme US measures regarding tariffs, product bans, visa and immigrant scrutiny, and concerns over international military and geopolitical relations only happen because the US considers China to be formidable. Doing all this for a stupid adversary would be stupid.

Comment Re:Not really a rival (Score 1) 49

NVLink haven't had the uptake nVidia presumed.

I'm not sure what this means. NVLink is baked into each GPU, and most customers buy racks rather than single GPUs. These racks have NVLink switches included. So, NVLink has essentially sold just as well as GPUs.

Comment Re:Not really a rival (Score 4, Interesting) 49

AMD has been outselling Intel in the DC for what, a year now or more?

No, AMD still trails Intel in the data center, both in terms of revenue and unit sales. AMD's server share was stagnating at 20% for many years despite an uptick in reputation and positive press. It's only been recently this year that AMD hit around 40% in server market share, and that's based on revenue. In terms of units, AMD's market share is lower at around 32%.

Of course, upward momentum is still with AMD, so it wouldn't be surprising to see AMD claim a majority of server market share in the near future.

Comment Re:Every few years, a new canard (Score 3, Insightful) 205

Which parts of the reports on the real estate crisis and the auto industry overproduction are false? Chinese real estate prices continue to fall despite government efforts and are not projected to bottom out for another few years. The Chinese auto industry has overproduced because the government thought it would be a strategic national strength.

It's easy to label something as propaganda or fake news, but what exactly is fake?

As the current US government is also discovering, government management of the national economy is super hard. The auto production problem is part Chinese subsidies and expectations and part US meddling in the established order in global trade. The real estate problem is mostly an internal Chinese thing.

Comment Elite gaslighting (Score 1) 137

How do we know that there are radical political postings on these forums? Well, we called a congressional hearing on this, so by definition, there's a problem. If there weren't a problem, we wouldn't have called for the hearing.

The goal is not to establish that there is a problem. The goal is to push the hearings onto the news so that the headlines talk about the problems being discussed at the hearing. This is elite-level gaslighting.

Comment Re:Communist gonna communist (Score 3, Interesting) 52

And this is somehow completely different than the US forcing the regulation and sale of tiktok?

Nvidia hasn't sold a whole lot of chips to China (directly) in the last year anyway and it sounds like the bulk of their product are sold to a couple of cloud whales in the US based on their last quarterly. I interpret this as blowback from the Trump Tariff crap fest and tiktok regulation but maybe its more insidious than that, though I can't imagine its more insidious than our Trade Wars 2025.

A more direct comparison would be Nvidia and Huawei. The US has essentially banned Huawei and pushed for the banning of Huawei in many other countries with the claim of national security concerns. That's been true for many years, so the only surprise is that it's taken China this long to ban US companies. China is claiming both national security and discrimination against Chinese companies as reasons. The national security concern is probably less valid, but it's still certainly understandable. The discrimination against Chinese companies is front and center, as both the Biden and Trump administrations have openly pushed to discriminate against Chinese companies.

The only reason China didn't ban Nvidia earlier was that it didn't have an alternative. I'm not sure it now has a viable alternative, but it does have alternatives. Of course, a likely scenario is that China enforces their ban in the same way that the US has been enforcing their own Nvidia to China ban, i.e., by speaking loudly and carrying no stick. China knows that it still needs Nvidia GPUs, but it also knows that it can easily get those GPUs as it has been doing, even as they tout the new ban for propaganda (as the US has also been doing).

Comment Re:For me? Yes. (Score 1) 72

everything except sports should be time shifted to the viewer's convenience.

Right, entertainment can be easily time shifted. However, sports and news are time sensitive, and not surprisingly those are the types of programming that still draw advertising money for linear TV. It's especially interesting to see that even though most sports can be conveniently watched from a recording (without even needing a DVR), there is still a huge audience for live sports.

The really interesting thing to watch out for in the next few years is whether the post-cable multi-channel streamers like YTTV will survive. ESPN just rolled out their own streaming platform. I used to subscribe to Sling just for sports, so I decided to cancel Sling and just go with the ESPN subscription. Since sports drives the financial viability of these platforms, it's not certain that they will survive if enough sports-only subscribers switch to ESPN and the other sports platforms that are sure to follow.

Comment Re:Pen input touchscreen (Score 1) 40

Touchscreens without that don't get used because it's ergonomically terrible.

Everyone's experience is different. For my previous laptop, I wanted an extremely light laptop, and the LG Gram 14 blew everything away, including the Macbooks. The one thing that I had to give up was the touchscreen. I thought that I wouldn't miss it that much, and I was very wrong. Maybe with a mouse, the touchscreen isn't as helpful, but using only the trackpad, the touchscreen was night and day **for some webpages**. For example, if I look at a page with ten links that I want to open in different tabs, holding down control and touching each link is far faster and much less frustrating than using a trackpad.

Comment Re:No shit (Score 1) 90

at first I thought the verbosity thing was kind of cool. Now I wish it would give me more precise answers. and.... (me complaining), when I feed it code, I have to specify to change one small part of it, but in general, it seems to want to modify all of it, and in many cases it inserts bugs. So I learned, only give it small snippets.

Often the verbosity of the response can be tailored via the appropriate additional qualifying words in the prompt. So, couldn't this be transparently baked into a personalized interface? That is, allow the user to specify the preferred verbosity as part of personalized settings and silently add the appropriate additional words to the prompt each time. The user can still explicitly ask for more verbosity when desired.

Comment Republicans vs. Democrats (Score 1) 79

There's a clear and obvious decrease in views of college as important across all demographics. However, the most stark difference across demographic groups is Republicans versus Democrats, where the percentages responding with very/fairly/not important were 20/39/39% and 42/49/9% for Republicans and Democrats, respectively. The likelihood of not viewing college as important is 4 times greater for Republicans than Democrats. This factor seems so strong that it would have been interesting to test how strong the other factors were compared to political identification.

That is, were the changes across all demographics mostly associated with political identification? The main demographic groups that also had somewhat similar results were women, college graduates, and people of color, which are all groups that tend to identify more as Democrats.

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