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Comment Re:My daily dose of confirmation Bias (Score 2) 92

I keep seeing arguments that the "AI Will Kill Us All" argument is a bunch of doomsaying by people who overestimate the potential intelligence of these systems. My own intuition leads me to argue that AI does not have to become self aware or autonomous. It just has to be sufficiently adaptable to make us both dependent and stupid. Today my confirmation bias feels vindicated.

Valid point. But the more important question is whether AI made those people stupid, awaked latent inherent pathways to stupidity, or if the people are just inherently stupid and would have made similarly stupid decisions in the absence of AI. Remember that the US bombed a school in Iran completely without the use of AI.

Comment Re:deploy broadband? (Score 2) 70

AFIK, ATT has NO plans to provide fiber to the entire state.

Of course not, because providing fiber to small towns and isolated homes is not profitable and arguably not efficient. However, they are aggressively rolling out fiber to homes now in many areas, including Silicon Valley. The homes less than 0.5 miles from us had fiber many years ago. This past summer, AT&T not only installed fiber but send hordes of salespeople knocking on all homes in our neighborhood. I'm glad that we now have an alternative to Comcast to provide some price competition. I just switched to AT&T fiber at $50/month for 1 Gbps plus a $200 gift card.

Comment Is Amodei just talking or doing? (Score 1) 127

Sure, Amodei is calling for slower AI development. He's also plunging head-first into a potential $2 trillion IPO. A slowdown of any magnitude compared to many competitors that are going full-steam ahead might impact the IPO. Guess which motivation is going to win out? Sure, Amodei is saying all the right PR stuff right now, but is Anthropic AI development actually slowing down? Amodei could have announced that Anthropic is unilaterally slowing down AI development, but he didn't and won't. He's just trying to attract the PR while cashing in on the IPO.

Comment The abuses will kill the gamer-changers (Score 1) 179

These AI glasses do have practical uses, and in some cases, life-changing uses, like for blind people. The estimates of the number of blind people using AI glasses are in the tens of thousands. Unfortunately, the abuses, including perverted uses, are too numerous. The privacy invasions are arguably not even the biggest problem. The bigger problem is that the good uses will be killed by the abuses.

Comment Re:I'm still wondering (Score 4, Insightful) 220

You'll notice we "liberated" Venezuela's oil reserves for absolutely no goddamned reason, shortly before we started a war with Iran for absolutely no goddamned reason.

Unfortunately, the reason for Trump doing what he did was simply that he could. He had the power to do something that no one else in the world could do, so he did it to show that he could do something that no one else could do. The great irony is that Trump is consumed with his appearance and yet his actions make him look bad. The only reason he doesn't recognize the obviousness of the badness is that he has surrounded himself with yes-men and carpetbaggers that inflate his already enormous lack of awareness.

Comment Re: Summer vs Winter (Score 1) 200

rarely do temperatures in the Bay Area exceed 80 in coastal areas or 90 inland

The Bay Area is famous for extreme microclimates. While San Francisco may be on the chilly side, Livermore in the East Bay is the opposite. In the past month of August, it experienced 15 days of 90+ weather, plus another 5 days of 88-89 weather. That's not that unusual for the East Bay.

Comment Re:Actively stalking is a different behavior ... (Score 3, Insightful) 254

Was it a false report? Did the contractor not feel threatened or harassed?

by a man who has all sorts of clear attention calling signs on him including the logo of his news outlet, so is clearly not hiding, and is just following and filming with a camera, from a distance?

"Three times during the call he raised the possibility the people filming might be armed, though, when asked, he told the dispatcher he had not seen any weapons..."

Isn't this the equivalent of swatting? Swatting is illegal in Georgia.

Comment How about Apple processing and AI? (Score 1) 34

The digital signature is based on the end product of Apple's camera pipeline, which includes a huge amount of pixel processing to deliver the vaunted Apple photo. And in the AI age, Apple might introduce additional processing, possibly at the semantic level beyond just pixels. All of that would be digitally signed by Apple. Apple's idea would only reveal if non-Apple devices alter reality, not if Apple makes the changes. Also, would there be any way to distinguish between photo touch-ups like slight lighting improvements versus semantic AI changes, or are all such edits lumped under the same umbrella?

Comment What is superintelligence? (Score 1) 165

The huge flaw in the bill is how superintelligence is defined. If a benchmark is specified, then a system can be engineered to not exceed the threshold of that benchmark while essentially being performant aside from the benchmark. If no benchmark is specified, then superintelligence is murky and devolves to an arbitrary personal definition.

It's also interesting that many AGI skeptics might simultaneously consider the systems to be dangerous due to being deficient (i.e., not superintelligent) and also dangerous due to being precocious (i.e., superintelligent).

Comment Re:The value of human lives (Score 1) 73

Still blaming the victim. Being overweight is a sign of diabetes, but now you are blaming people for being overweight.

Strictly speaking, the statement commented on the relationship between weight and diabetes. Perhaps some of that "blame" falls on the person, but there are also other factors beyond personal decisions. For example, governmental policy and corporate decisions heavily bias the available types of affordable food and eating habits. Drugs may also play a role, as we're seeing from the current rollout of GLP-1 drugs. Our car, desk, and screen culture fights against body movement and exercise. Household income may also play a role.

Comment Re:Different worlds (Score 1) 504

The problem is that China has subsidized these vehicles to produce them below cost.

I agree with what you said, with a little semantic disagreement that the cars are sold below the actual cost but are produced below the unsubsidized cost.

There are two significant motivations for the Chinese to dump these cars below cost.

First, dumping devastates foreign manufacturing, which projects Chinese economic and soft political power while weakening competitor countries. It's perhaps ironic that the dumping intended to hurt foreign competitors is also hurting the Chinese companies themselves. By selling cars below cost to whitewash corporate reports, the companies move large amounts of revenue but hurt the intrinsic strength of each company. The only way a company can justify this suicidal strategy is to convince itself that it will survive the bloodbath while its competitors will go out of business.

Second, China is in the midst of a generational real estate crash that risks paralleling the 30-year Japanese deflationary period. Instead of attacking bad loans like the US and European countries have done, China has decided to export their way out of the crisis. This is an existential dilemma. China has been trying to pivot to the more stable domestic consumption-based economies of the West, but the real estate crisis interrupted that momentum. Unfortunately, China has been squandering the vast foreign reserves from trade surpluses to further feed the export engine instead of infusing that money into local consumption. As a result, China's export numbers mask the underlying weakness of the domestic economy.

Comment Re:Still on the doors? (Score 1) 185

Tesla got rid of radar because it didn't work/wasn't good enough to do what it was supposed to do, and added nothing.

Not a single other "Level 4" AV maker omits radar because they consider radar as essential due to compensating for camera deficiencies. Only a few ADAS systems use cameras without radar due solely to cost saving.

Tesla believes that shifting money from radar to lawyers to defend lawsuits is more cost effective, and unfortunately they might be right.

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