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Comment Re:Why are people calling these things âoepre (Score 1) 126

On my first point above: I just realized I missed the context, so my reply is not relevant. Sorry.

No problem. I also conflated the "controlling" stake into my response - that wasn't an attempt to sneak a stawman past you.

However, you (unrtst) haven't presented any evidence of the insider abuse you claim is present in polymarkets. ...

There has been an excess of such examples in the news. Military leaders "investing" hours before mass bombings or deployment of blockades and such. The potential for abuse is obvious. So much of it would be defacto abuse if the fed didn't just say this is all fine.

But I do stand by my second point: futures markets do help farmers.

Honestly, I don't care if they help farmers. I do care about our farmers, and I believe there are loads of things we can and should be doing to help them (like not selling them off to foreign interests). However, I don't think having them gamble on their futures is how we should be handling our crops. That's not going to sell me on the value of polymarkets. And regardless, being able to come up with a single example that is served well by such markets does not necessarily mean such markets are therefore good.

Gambling, rigged BS, and farmers hedging futures. Is there anything else that falls in that third category?

Comment Re: Why is this surprising?? (Score 1) 115

... the main selling point of azure is being tied to windows and other legacy systems.

Over 60% of VMs on Azure run a version of Linux, not Windows - but you knew that, right?

https://commandlinux.com/stati...

And you knew that "other legacy systems" also exist, right? Those systems making use of MS SQL Server, or Microsoft Entra ID (IE: Active Directory), or hybrid networks using that other 40% of VM's that are running Windows, etc..

Asked another way, what subset of that 60% of VMs on Azure running Linux are deployed from a company that isn't touching Windows or other legacy systems?
The Linux support is so they don't lose that segment.

Comment Re:Why is this surprising?? (Score 1) 115

They've extended precisely nothing. In fact their Azure offerings continue to run stock standard releases of Ubuntu, RHEL, SUSE, and others. The only thing they've done is embrace and sell.
...
EEE makes no sense in this context. We already have 410 species of parrot on this planet, we don't need you to sit there squawking something you learned in the 90s.

Embrace: Fedora [CHECK]
Extend: Adding MS/Azure specific stuff to a VM image with no installer option (and no source?), so you must include it if you use Azure Linux 4.0.
Extinguish: Can you run your Kubernetes nodes in Azure on anything other than Azure Linux? Today, you can run other stock releases as VM's; Will you be able to in the future? How long until some of their changes are upstreamed? OK, so you commit to Azure Linux for dev and deployment, then get a new Apple laptop - why can't you run the Azure Linux VM there?

Comment Re:Surprise? Everybody's been saying it. (Score 1) 115

In other words, they've made largely superficial changes (except 9x -> NT) quite consistently which haven't added much in terms of value.

Don't be too harsh. I was just reading that the start bar can now be moved to the left or right! Not only that, but you can RESIZE it!?!?! Mind blowing stuff.

Comment Re:Beware! It is Microsoft! (Score 1) 115

If this is that old strategy they are going about it pretty wrong, because it's pretty hard to maliciously extend standards as a downstream of a major distro...

Hard disagree. They're in a perfect position to embrace, extend, extinguish. What would lead you to believe otherwise?

This Azure Linux 4.0 is only being distributed as an Azure VM image, and a plan to do a WSL VM image. You can't go install it where you see fit. They already did some extinguishing right there (It's a Fedora downstream, but can't be installed on bare metal nor on a Linux based hypervisor nor on a Mac nor via other VM software on Windows). And what else have they jacked into that distro or cut out?

Being a Fedora downstream may give some nice feels, but I suspect that was simply to save them the time and effort of maintaining the base.

Comment Re: amazing (Score 1) 126

From the summary:

The law has a carve-out for event contracts that serve as an insurance policy in the event of "harm, or loss sustained" and for the purchase of securities and other commodities.

Regulatorily, we've been able to differentiate gambling from securities for a long, long time. Similarly, we've been able to differentiate state-sanctioned lotteries from other forms of gambling.

Not sure why you think that would break down in this case.

Agreed, and furthermore, on what grounds are we saying that powerball is something we should be protecting?

Comment Re:Why are people calling these things âoepre (Score 1) 126

I said it's not gambling if you have a real-world stake in an outcome. If you have no stake, then yeah, it's quite possibly just gambling. ...

OK... so no stake = gambling; Stake in it makes it a valid prediction market somehow. And then...

And having a stake in an outcome does not mean you control the outcome. If that were the case, then yes, the game would be rigged and you shouldn't be allowed to trade in a polymarket -- at least not without the kinds of strict regulations that apply to insider traders of company stocks and other financial instruments.

So if you have a controlling stake in it (or insider knowledge - I'm adding that condition here), then the game is rigged and you shouldn't be allowed.

That means the prediction markets are made up of:
* lots of gambling
* lots of rigged BS
* extremely rare cases where someone has a stake in a prediction market, but has no insider knowledge about it, nor do they have a controlling stake in it.

It's hard to think of many cases that fit that last one. Farmers betting on crop futures based on the weather maybe? Sorry... I mean "trading" on crop futures, LOL.

It's the age of the grift. Not hidden at all anymore - just business as normal grifting.

Comment Re:And suddenly (Score 4, Informative) 126

They want the Feds to overturn state-level pot legalization, ban sanctuary cities, etc.

,,,
I'd love to know exactly who "they" is in your comment here given that move. ...

This is for medical use; not recreational. He's clawing back control, not giving more permission. Meanwhile, GOP in the house is blocking funding for that very same rescheduling (as of April 2026), and GOP leaders and legislatures in the states are working to repeal elements of the legalization laws and weakening reforms.

What progress have the GOP actually accomplished on the pot legalization front? Thoughts and prayers?

Comment Re: Welcome to modern cybersecurity. (Score 1) 62

Own github repo needs backups and resilience against failing HDs etc. GitHub have these and it is less likely your repository is destroyed by crashes of hardware or software errors. GitHub also donâ€(TM)t cost very much.

Excellent point - IE: GitHub ALSO has a backup of all these credentials in their backups and mirrored across who knows how many places, all of which could still be leaked.

Sorry, but there's no way to sell this as a good decision.

Comment Re:What I don't like about Dawkins (Score 1) 403

To answer your question if the output of an LLM is nondeterministic then of course it is by definition nondeterministic.

If you are quibbling about technical details such as logits only being influenced by randomness and not themselves being random then randomly perturb the weights of the model or introduce noise into the calculations until you are satisfied. If there is some technical detail to quibble about please explain why the quibbling is relevant to assertions related to consciousness.

OK... so now you are quibbling about the definition of deterministic and nondeterministic, and I happen to disagree with you.

THIS is why I provided the example of passing Ollama a static seed - it is entirely deterministic. You seem to refuse to accept that point, and that's the sort of thing that gets people yelling, "This CANNOT be overstated. LLMs are software, they execute on machines that are entirely deterministic and do not work unless they are. Non-determinism is literally simulated in AI. This must be said over and over.", as dfghjk had stated.

We cannot proceed to explain how that relates to consciousness if we can't even get past agreeing on what nondeterminism is.

Nondeterminism for the context of this discussion is when it is physically impossible to predict the output of a system from its inputs in advance.

If you execute an LLM using a PRNG with a known seed value the output of the LLM is deterministic.

If you execute an LLM using a hardware random source based on thermal noise the output of the LLM is nondeterministic.

This isn't rocket science. Still the same question remains WTF does determinism have to do with consciousness?

Then we disagree on whether or not LLM's are nondeterministic.

However, your definition contradicts the example. You noted nondeterminism is, "when it is physically impossible to predict the output of a system from its inputs in advance," but you then say an LLM with a random seed is nondeterministic. Is the random seed somehow not one of its inputs? If I know the inputs, I can predict the output 100% of the time, assuming the random seed (which is an input passed as part of the call) is considered one of the inputs (because it is).

Once again, you prove that, "This CANNOT be overstated. LLMs are software, they execute on machines that are entirely deterministic and do not work unless they are."

And if LLMs are deterministic, then they can not be considered conscious for those whose definition of consciousness includes a requirement for being nondeterministic. Note, that is NOT the same as saying consciousness is or is not determinism; It's saying that it depends on it as one of the attributes of consciousness.

I am asking for an explanation of assertions related to determinism and consciousness that someone else made. These claims were not made by me. I have no duty to provide any definition of anything. I'm asking for information not quibbling over definitions.

You're asking for a definition while claiming you are not quibbling over definitions. All you are doing is quibbling over definitions.

FWIW, I have no interest in defining consciousness either, but I do have an interest in the definition of deterministic behavior.

So why are you wasting my time by demanding that I provide YOU with a definition when you are the one making the claims?

Why are you wasting my time?
Did I make such a demand? Are you referring to this request, "Please provide your definition of consciousness"?
What claims (about consciousness) did I make? Perhaps you're confusing other replies in this thread?

As to why, it's right there - I have an interest in the definition of deterministic behavior. I believe that's something we, as people, should be able to agree upon, whereas consciousness tends to be more philosophical, akin to trying to define the "soul". Your last reply has confirmed that your understanding of deterministic behavior, while similar, differs from my own to the point that you consider an LLM with a random seed to be nondeterministic, yet one with a static seed to be fully deterministic.

I would offer that something that is fully deterministic can not exhibit free will. Apply that as you see fit to the above.

Comment Re:What I don't like about Dawkins (Score 1) 403

Please provide your definition of consciousness. If you can't define it, then what's the point of your replies?

I have no interest in defining consciousness. What I am interested in is what consciousness has to do with determinism. I see quite a lot of people making statements about determinism and have no clue what the point of it is. I am quite frustrated by the total universal lack of any coherent explanation.

Words have meanings. You are refusing to define a word that is at the heart of your question. If you have no interest in defining consciousness, then you should have no interest in whether or not determinism has anything to do with this. To quote you, "This is completely worthless."

FWIW, I have no interest in defining consciousness either, but I do have an interest in the definition of deterministic behavior.

If you are quibbling about technical details such as logits only being influenced by randomness and not themselves being random then randomly perturb the weights of the model or introduce noise into the calculations until you are satisfied.

OK... so now you are quibbling about the definition of deterministic and nondeterministic, and I happen to disagree with you.

THIS is why I provided the example of passing Ollama a static seed - it is entirely deterministic. You seem to refuse to accept that point, and that's the sort of thing that gets people yelling, "This CANNOT be overstated. LLMs are software, they execute on machines that are entirely deterministic and do not work unless they are. Non-determinism is literally simulated in AI. This must be said over and over.", as dfghjk had stated.

We cannot proceed to explain how that relates to consciousness if we can't even get past agreeing on what nondeterminism is.

So you are saying this is purely a self sealing argument? I define that consciousness requires nondeterminism therefore LLMs are not conscious because I deem them to be deterministic.

Right. That's how definitions of terms works. If I say the color "Orange" is defined by light with wavelengths between two certain frequencies, and that green can not be orange because it is not between those, how is that worthless? What other value is there to a word?
You may provide your definition of consciousness so we can discuss it within your terms, but you "have no interest in defining consciousness". What is your problem with how others are defining it?

Comment Re:What I don't like about Dawkins (Score 2) 403

The burden of proof is on the one making the extraordinary claim.

Ah, the common refrain when one has no ground upon which to stand.

Claiming something (trans) doesn't exist when it clearly does is an extraordinary claim. The burden is on you/him. Trans people exist that recognize themselves as trans, which is self evident to them. That goes to the fundamental "I think therefore I am" level. To claim they are not is going to need more than a swarmy, "no, you prove it!"

Comment Re:What I don't like about Dawkins (Score 1) 403

I'm asking what the relevance of determinism is WRT consciousness arguments and you are saying the issue itself is irrelevant? WTF is up with this crap?

Please provide your definition of consciousness. If you can't define it, then what's the point of your replies?

FYI, I made so such correlation. Someone claimed LLM's are nondeterministic. I simply provided evidence to the contrary. Can you at least agree, or disagree, on whether LLM's are nondeterministic?

Apparently, some people consider nondeterminism to be a requirement for consciousness. If that is part of its definition, then the question of whether or not LLM's are deterministic is quite important. If your definition of consciousness isn't the same as theirs, then you must right those definitions before you can have a meaningful discussion. So, what definition do you use?

Comment Re: What I don't like about Dawkins (Score 1) 403

LLMs can only fool stupid people on a Turing test. Is that the bar?

In all practicality, yes. Look up the past competitions. The LLMs can easily pass the Turing test. Here's a blurb from Wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turing_test):

In the test, a human evaluator judges a text transcript of a natural-language conversation between a human and a machine. The evaluator tries to identify the machine, and the machine passes if the evaluator cannot reliably tell them apart.

One of the methods that helped older attempts was to pretend to be a young child. Imagine chatting with an actual child and an LLM instructed to behave like a child - could you tell the difference?

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