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Comment Re:Two models of Trump (Score 4, Insightful) 490

There are even specific things that people have said about Trump:

"Every taunt back and forth between Trump and Kim Jong Un maked deescalation and diplomacy less possible" -- Ben Rhodes, via twitter

"Poll: What one thing will work with North Korea? a) Military strike (9%), b) Embargo or blockade (1%) c) A grand bargain w/China (4%) d) Trump has no idea (86%)" -- Bill Kristol, via twitter

So we're scientists here, we know that science works by making models and predicting outcomes, and when we have two models we throw one out and keep the one with the better predictions.

What indications do you have that both of the above statements/sentiments are/were wrong? I.e., that with less taunts, the negotiations wouldn't be further along, or any indication that Trump knew what he was doing with his taunts?

North Korea came to the table after they finally demonstrated that they can hit Japan with a nuclear bomb, and possibly even the US. Additionally, their testing mountain complex has become very unstable with the latest tests, so they're abandoning it (presenting that move as a token of goodwill). In other words, there is little they can gain with further "tests" and they now have what they wanted: they're a nuclear power and hence have to be treated as one at the negotiation table. Unlike Iran, for that matter.

Comment Re:What? (Score 5, Informative) 123

It's in the last two sentences of the summary:

According to the EIA, "in February 2018, for the first time in decades, all of the new generating capacity coming online within a month were non-fossil-fueled. Of the 475 MW of capacity that came online in February, 81 percent was wind, 16 percent was solar photovoltaic, and the remaining 3 percent was hydro and biomass.

Granted, the "Last Month" is wrong. It was three months ago.

Comment Re: Meet minimum standards of human behavior (Score 2) 1235

I think you're missing the point - it's not about treating women and minorities with respect because of their differences - it's about NOT treating them with disrespect because of them

If that is "the point" then why doesn't it say that in the CoC?

It does. It says to be equally welcoming to everyone.

Comment Re:Saudi Arabia (Score 0) 415

I don't see how UBI would alter this situation: yes everyone would have a fixed, base income, but garbage collection would still be low-skill, and patent litigation would still be high-skill. If anyone wanted more than their UBI, they would need to pursue work, and low-skill work would still be the easiest entry point. All UBI would do is remove the people who just don't want to do anything at all, and are content with a basic income, from the worker pool, which, if UBI advocates are to be believed, would be a minimal amount of people. It wouldn't have any impact on the disparity between pay scales between low and high-skilled labor.

What generally happens when people get a UBI, is that they start doing things they like, which in many cases involves starting their own business. They get that possibility because they don't have to fear that it will not be economically profitable, or not sufficiently profitable in a short enough time frame. Additionally, those people can also train/retrain much more easily since they don't have to do it while holding another job.

Comment Re:Communism by any other name (Score 1) 415

...is still communism.

This is not communism.

They need to feel like a big reward is possible, even if it's practically out of reach for most people. Penalizing success to give everyone more motivation to do the bare minimum is ultimately unhealthy for most societies (beyond a certain point anyway).

Between 1950 and 1980, the US had a constant top federal income tax rate of over 70%. I'm not aware of any unhealthy effects that had. Additionally, a UBI does not mean that everyone earns the same. Everyone can earn as much as they want on top of their UBI. You do need taxes to pay for UBI, and even if you deduct the savings from having reduced poverty, getting rid of entire administrations etc, you still have a net gain from working. If that's work that you actually like, then you're more likely to do it rather than sit at home all day.

  No one disputes that we should have a social safety net for the old and infirm certainly, but a universal income for even the young and healthy only encourages a type of social stagnation.

Actually, that's not what happens in practice.

Comment Re:Saudi Arabia (Score 2) 415

If you are guaranteed UBI why would you choose to work as a garbage collector? There is no incentive to do so.

Hence you would have to create a proper incentive. A UBI would actually turn the labour market into a real functioning market, with real bargaining power on both the supply and demand side.

Or, in other words, "Why garbage collectors should earn more than bankers".

Comment Re:Bring the AI Overlords (Score 1) 185

Personally I'd rather be ruled over by an immortal AI dictator a la The Culture, than a hypocritical moralizing human (or group of such humans). If anything, it would be resistant to bribery and appeals to its ego.

Humans are guaranteed to die, need sleep, have limited mental capacity regarding keeping track of what others are doing (even with the help of computers), can't do everything alone and need the help from others (that may start rebelling). AIs do not necessarily have any of these limitations (at least not in a way that matters in practice; i.e., they will necessarily have limited processing power, but this could be way more than what is needed).

Comment Re:But would you, or is that really bad (Score 5, Insightful) 332

A ruling in Oracle's favor would shut down the ability to use Wine to run Windows-exclusive applications on your Mac

First of all, I question if this is really true. It's a different case because it presents a way for executables to make system calls that work, it's not the same as an API specific to a programming language. It is very similar, I grant you that.

99.9% of WINE is the re-implementation of Microsoft libraries, just like Google reimplemented the Java libraries. There is no difference. You could just as well call the JVM an operating system, which in several ways it is.

Also, WINE is not making any money, whereas Google has made a ton of money from Android.

Most of the WINE developers are employed by CodeWeavers, which sells a commercialised version of WINE.

Double also, Microsoft benefits from people being able to run Windows applications in more places, because it encourages more Windows development.

Microsoft is trying to transforming itself into an advertising platform. Everyone that runs Windows applications without sending in as much usage data as possible to Microsoft is a loss for Microsoft.

Lastly though, I have to say think it would be awful to lose WINE. But the question is, would it be wrong?

The "commercial/exploitation rights" part of copyright are a tool to encourage innovation and competition (at least in jurisdictions that distinguish between the moral and the exploitation rights; in the US, the whole shebang is enshrined as intended to advance the useful arts etc). I don't see how extending them to cover APIs would help that.

Comment Re:All Prostitution is now 'sex trafficking' (Score 1) 321

It is indeed very hard to accurately estimate the numbers. In case you're interested, here's some more background about the issue (including the fact that until December 2000, there wasn't even a generally accepted definition of "trafficking"), and numbers from various (US and other) institutions.

Comment Re:Sooner it goes, the better (Score 1) 236

As for the technical (in)capacity of the Eurocrats

The Council of Ministers are not Eurocrats. The Council of Ministers is literally a collection of ministers from the national governments of the countries in the EU. Depending on the topic at hand, different ministers meet under this umbrella name.

In fact, the Council of Ministers is the one branch of the EU that is supposed to prevent the EU from being too Euro-centric and to forget about national interests. In practice, of course, national governments use it to introduce positions that are unpopular at home, so they can then blame them on the evil EU. Fortunately, it is often (but definitely not always) the European Parliament that blocks, or at least weakens these things (although I know that part of this is a political game, where extremes are introduced so that later supposed "compromises" can be reached that are still horribly bad).

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