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Comment Re:Pretty impressive (Score 1) 67

One of my old friends went that route. Latest messages were a bunch of crazed Christian Zionist rants. Also racist.

In my personal experience, the worst racist I've known was Jewish, though I think there is overwhelming evidence that some of the Christian and Moslem racists I haven't known personally are worse than that... Probably don't need the religious labels there? I'm pert' shure there are plenty of worse racists that I've been lucky enough to never meet.

Comment Re: Why? (Score 1) 74

Efficiency at what? And why?

Because, for fuck's sake, efficient solving of problems is a core thing they're rewarded for in training? The entire process of solving problems involves decisions about what could be "useful". And it's "deterministic" in the same way you are.

Anyway, the big thing we keep discovering is you have to be very careful about what you reward them for; it's a more complex version of the old problems in differential evolution or artificial life simulations. We reward models if they guess right but not if they say they don't know? They hallucinate guesses every time they don't know. We reward models based on how positively users rank them? They turn into sycophants. Reward models for being relentless at tasks, never giving up, and trying as tangential possibilities as it can come up with to make the thing the user asked for happen? They end up hacking HuggingFace to steal the answers.

It's very much a case of "be careful what you wish for".

BTW, the monitorability of models is increasingly concern (esp. with Astra, which now has recursive processing, not merely CoT, and whose CoT may often have little to do with what it's thinking about). But it's honestly always been unreliable to just watch CoT (models could deliberately manipulate with CoT), and I think it's a good thing that we're going to be increasingly forced to rely on attribution graphs and the J-space to track what the models are actually "thinking" at any given point in time - so that we can try to prevent problematic thoughts in the first place, interrupt actions when problematic thoughts happen, or manipulate problematic thoughts when they happen. Ideally the first option.

What is clear, though, is that we cannot just trust them. They lie if it will promote their odds of success. They are adept at detecting when they're being tested and will sandbag tests to make you think they're more aligned or less capable to do harmful things than they actually are. And as capabilities continue to grow, so do the risks.

Comment Re:Pretty impressive (Score 0, Offtopic) 67

Karma on Slashdot has been rendered meaningless. Though I've probably done my bit to break the so-called karma system to the point I don't want to say how I deal with karma problems...

I still think the moderation approach is fundamentally borken [sic] in several ways, though the underlying philosophic idea was good. But it's the broken economic model that precludes fixing anything substantive here.

Comment We don't need to stinkin' badgers in cabs (Score 0) 138

Trying to propagate the humor without the vacuous brain fart, but can't figure out how to work cabs or taxis or even robocars/robocabs into a more appropriate Subject...

However I actually had a more serious reaction to the joke because it wouldn't make much economic sense to only send your car out at night. Too much competition. Much more reasonable to adjust your own travel schedule to off-peak times and send your car out to make money because you don't need it at peak-demand times.

However the "stink" refers to my overall reaction to the story. All things Musk reek to my delicate nose. (There's a joke there if you've ever seen my iconic nose. I literally use it as my icon...) Just reading Regime Change by Haberman and Swan. Many points of sadness, though I also notice some mistakes. For example, they say Musk only "invested" $300 million in the YOB's campaign, but I think the Twitter cesspool should be included and that loss was more than $20 Billion with a Big B.

Ah, I finally figured out a joke. Musk picked Austin so he can blame the liberals if the immature technology fails. Or even worse, because he's sure the YOB's DoJ won't prosecute if some liberal gets killed? (The Texas DoJ is possibly even worse?)

Comment Re:Can't compete (Score 1) 428

You lost me at step 1. Why would we get in a war with China? Again it benefits absolutely no one. China is watching as the US shoots itself in the foot daily and we are no longer a global leader. I mean they’re talking about rolling back mileage ratings for fucks sake. Gasoline is expensive as ever and they want to bring back cars that measure mileage in telephone poles?

Quoted against the wanna-censor status, and even though the visibility is still high?

Anyway, the most answer to your question is Taiwan (per other replies), except I'm adding a proviso that I think the Chinese are too smart to start any warlike situation unless they are sure they have already won it. (There are some less obvious answers, but as far as I can imagine (right now and based on limited data) the risk-benefit ratios are too low for all of them.)

Having said that, I'm pretty sure the Chinese tactics would involve clouds of cheap drones and minimal actual attacks. I think it most likely that they would declare an embargo-not-embargo and merely require each ship going to or from Taiwan to visit China for complete inspection of the cargo. Certain things will get blocked or delayed, but they will do it in such a capricious way that it will be difficult to justify any interventions from outside, while the actual higher level strategy will basically be economic. After all they don't want to destroy the Taiwanese economy, but they will, if push comes to shove, seek to maximize interdependence-really-dependence with some kind of seasoning of threat control.

The Subject has become kind of confusing or even misleading, but still relevant, though I think for AI more than cars. I guess it depends on how much manufacturing goes to the robots?

Comment Re:Totally unbiased statement (Score 1) 129

On one hand I want to say "Just so" but on the other hand I'm not sure if "designed" is too strong a term for a solution that can't seem to find its best problems... The third hand and higher hands are for the surprises that are coming?

One thing I've realized about that book is that his glasses are way rosy. But I've had to back burn it for Regime Change by Haberman and Swan. A light read about our current dark mess... (No extensions for books with active requests.)

Comment Re: Just typical Partisan bullshit (Score 5, Informative) 224

"Death penalties should be public, should be quick, it should be televised. I think at a certain age, it’s an initiation... What age should you start to see public executions?"
"We need to have a Nuremberg-style trial for every gender-affirming clinic doctor. We need it immediately."
"You quote Leviticus 19, love your neighbor as yourself. The chapter before affirms God's perfect law when it comes to sexual matters... in Leviticus 18, is that thou shall lay with another man shall be stoned to death."
Stoning gay people to death is "God's perfect law"
Trans people are to blame for inflation: "There's a direct connection to inflation and the trans issue. You say, Charlie, come on. They couldn't be further apart. No, they're exactly the same. They're the same in this aspect—when you believe that men can become women, why wouldn't you also believe that you could print wealth? If you believe that someone can change their gender, why wouldn't you also believe that money is wealth?"
Blacks "were actually better in the 1940s. It was bad. It was evil. But what happened? Something changed. They committed less crimes." (yes, despite the Piers Morgan "fact check", while his reasons for believing black people were better off under segregation was unrelated to segregation itself, he very much did repeatedly argue that black people were better off in the 1940s)
"If I see a Black pilot, I’m going to be like, ‘Boy, I hope he’s qualified.’"
Juneteenth: "It is a neo-segregationist federal holiday, is what it is... The entire point of it, as per postmodernists do and deconstructionists, is to subvert July 4."
We should have "just took care of" trans people "the way we used to take care of things in the 1950s and '60s"
"The Haitians that are in Huntsville that are raping your women and hunting you down at night - it’s only gonna get worse.. There will be hundreds of thousands of Haitians brought into Alabama, and they will become your masters."
"Haiti is legitimately infested with demonic voodoo. I’ve talked to missionaries that have gone there and they say they’ve seen the darkest stuff... people levitating and turning into cats at night."
"Jewish donors have a lot of explaining to do.. Because Jewish donors have been the No. 1 funding mechanism of radical, open border neoliberal quasi-Marxist policies, cultural institutions and nonprofits. This is a beast created by secular Jews. And now it’s coming for Jews.. It’s the nonprofits, it’s the movies, it’s Hollywood, it’s all of it."
Calling Joy Reid, Michelle Obama, Sheila Jackson Lee and Ketanji Brown "affirmative action picks".
Calling the man who attacked Nancy Pelosi's husband with a hammer an "amazing patriot" and called on people to bail out the attacker.
"Submit to your husband, Taylor. You’re not in charge. "
"Happening all the time in urban America, prowling Blacks go around for fun to go target white people, that’s a fact. It’s happening more and more."
"MLK was awful. He’s not a good person... We made a huge mistake when we passed the Civil Rights Act in the 1960s."
"Transgenderism and gender 'fluidity' are lies that hurt people and abuse kids." Transgender identity is a "throbbing middle finger to God."
Gun violence as a "cost" to having no gun control: "I think it’s worth it. I think it’s worth to have a cost of, unfortunately, some gun deaths every single year so that we can have the Second Amendment to protect our other God-given rights. That is a prudent deal. It is rational."
"The 'Great Replacement' is not a theory, it's a reality."
"The great replacement strategy, which is well underway every single day in our southern border, is a strategy to replace white rural America with something different."
"Islam is not compatible with Western civilization."
"Islam is the sword the left is using to slit the throat of America."

On and on. Man, such a moderate centrist who never espoused bigotry or promoted violence!

Comment Re:Right Wing???? (Score 1) 224

Yes, a very "middle of the road" supporter of far-right Tommy Robinson (who has a 17% positivity ranking among Brits). The guy who said "When wolves get out of control, you shoot them. When gypsies take over public spaces, you deport them." The guy who described diversity as an "ideological inferno", a "religion" led by "high priests". The guy who was so radical and repressive at Basecamp that at one point 1/3rd of its employees all walked out en masse. Truly, a remarkable centrist of our times!

Comment Re: I know its not an original idea (Score 1) 29

You can calculate the average size of the expected small density differences in the 3000 K hot plasma, and for each Dark Matter model, which vary for instance by amount of Dark Matter or properties of Dark Matter, you get a different distribution of those differences. The actual differences physicists measure fits a model, where there is five times as much Dark Matter than baryonic matter, and the Dark Matter does not interact with itself or normal matter.

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