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Comment Re:Single dumbest way? (Score 5, Informative) 145

The logic is economic autarky -- the belief that we're always better off having complete political sovereignty over every part of our supply chains than having to depend on imports for anything.

This is likely also behind Trump's trade war with Canada. His demands with Canada aren't about discirimatory tariffs -- those were negotiated away with NAFTA then re-negotiated in his first term. His demands are now infringe on Canadian sovereignty, to give US control of Canada's external trade policy, and even on its internal markets (e.g., the use of French in Canadian internal commerce). Symbolically, that's why he wants to rename Lake Ontario to "Lake America". HIs establishment of US control over the Venezuelan oil industry is his greatest foreign policy achievement -- although it's not clear he understands the legal limits on what he can do with their money.

There's a foreign and military policy angle to this too: Taiwan is absolutely critical to the US economy, so we are absolutely committed to defend them if China invades. Semiconductor autarky would mean it's not our problem.

The problem with autarky is that even if it's a good idea (which economists don't believe), you can't conjure it into existence overnight. It will take many years, possibly decades for the US to replace the Taiwan's semiconductor industry. In effect, the administration is proposing to inflict the very damage on the US economy that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would inflict.

And, once the US has voluntarily self-inflicted that damage, China would be free to invade Taiwan.

Comment Frusrating (Score 1) 116

It's frustrating, because Claude genuinely DOES have good writing style - for copy and publication purposes. But it's absolutely obnoxious because you know it's AI slop every time you see it, with the "Not X, Y" bullshit and the emdashes specifically. When you see that, you know you're consuming a lot of filler that's beating you off while it gets to the point. It's absolutely destroyed Youtube and most social media.

Comment Re:It was possible due to a lack of any security (Score 2) 42

It's negligence.

If you were an IT Director, or even an IT Technician with the ear of the Founder/CEO, and you had the budget for internal network and security ops, what would you do?

Not give it unbrokered access to other models and infrastructure which it could use to puddle jump elsewhere. Not put Skynet on the Internet directly, is my bet.

That hardly sounds like a controlled release environment, to say the least.

Comment Re:Of course try to downplay it (Score 1) 42

When has someone's computer ever hacked someone else's computer ?

Not ever, before recently.

Clearly it's not something they can objectively say is an outlier - they don't have enough data. In fact, you can most certainly say the opposite, due to how frequently it's happening now.

Not a serious or honest company. (Oh, sorry - "nonprofit".)

Comment Re:I would wait for Alabama to get back on this (Score 1) 42

Everything I've seen simply suggests they're bad at computers.

My experience with startups is that the things that don't make money or make customers happy don't get any attention. Network/system security in depth is not one of those things. Sure, they've got a bunch of psi-brain neuroscientists and mathemagicians, and goodness knows lots of DEI-enforcers for alignment, but their repeated dumb mistakes in this department tells me they're not really hiring too many experienced ops, nevermind devops, types.

It's true for OpenAI and Anthropic both.

In the past YEAR they have:
- accidentally published the full Claude Code source (and then effectively... did nothing).
- Numerous Claude Code RCE/API-key vulnerabilities which could have been mitigated with at least one person on their core infra team aware of injection attacks.
- Publicly exposed their internal CMS (and files) to the Internet
- Had their training escape numerous times and hack other orgs
- hacked HF

They're not a serious company. Some are to be expected given their visibility and exposure, but you'd expect a bit more from a company implementing Skynet-level capabilities. However you slice it, they're fundamentally building weapons which can write poetry. A little more seriousness should be involved.

Comment Windows (Score 0, Offtopic) 109

Someone needs to end this crazy tyrant's empire, though I suppose it's too late for that. He's so diversified at this point that ending Microsoft won't materially impact him.

That said, it'd be great if the thing he built could be ended - perhaps by reimplementing Windows functionality through reverse engineering, minus the crap.

Just enough to get it to work with the things we still need to run on Windows - then replace the kernel.

Comment Re:Needs an official Linux boot camp (Score 1) 65

I wrote a compiler for an ObjC-like language (with less brackets), which can produce binaries for any of {Mac, Windows, Linux, WASM, Arm A9 (Zynq), m68k or 6502} running on any of {Mac, Windows, Linux}. So you can produce a dev-signed Mac binary on a Linux box. I’m just going through extending that output range to mobile {Android, iOS} and I’ll release it as open source.

The compiler docs for the language (xc) are at https://compile-xc.org/ - feel free to browse.

I didn’t think getting the signing working for Mac/iOS was terribly hard.

Comment Humans are exceptionally good at pattern... (Score 1) 90

Humans are exceptionally good at pattern recognition. This goes back to early humans, they needed to spot tracks, read weather, understand animal cues, etc. We've evolved with that as a core trait. With that being the case, Dario, ask yourself this question: "Why don't people trust us"? Keep in mind, people are good at spotting patterns, that's your free clue.

Comment Re:Why in the world would we trust psychopaths? (Score 1) 90

While I can see how you arrived at that, I don't think they're all the amoral actors you describe.

Zuck has shown some changes in the last couple years, though I agree he's largely amoral.

Musk has a very peculiar set of morals which might be described as pragmatism or amorality, but he's always been very focal in both action and word about both ethics and responsibility.

You could probably accurately describe them all as transhumanists with varying degree of consistency.

Comment He is the Crisis (Score 1) 90

If there's a crisis of trust - which there is - it's almost certainly largely provoked by Amodei. The guy has been a regular prophet of doom regarding AI: it's going to take all the jobs, it's dangerous and going to cause all sorts of disasterous side effects socially, economically, and politically. No wonder people are untrusty.

Pair that with the obscene levels of what appears to be state-level anti-AI and anti-datacenter propaganda, and you've got the current situation. The amount of absurd claims I've seen about datacenters and AI, from people who should know better - everything from completely false narratives about water use, land grabs, power use, and so on. The truth is, an AI DC doesn't uses less water than a Cosco and about as much electricity as a comparable industrial facility, or a similarly sized restaurant.

Comment Lost technology (Score 2) 165

For anyone who thinks it's ridiculous that the US can't reproduce the Apollo missions, consider this: we can't (due to environmental factors) produce wrought iron anymore (because there are no longer any facilities setup to do so), as a species, and therefore, could not build the Bay Bridge in San Francisco (and I'm sure, any number of others, like the Brooklyn bridge).

The same limitations apply here. They have to redesign the vehicle on first principles because the foundational engineering (not scientific understanding) being used no longer exists. Most people simply do not realize how precariously our technological world hangs in the balance. It's why highly advanced ancient cultures collapsed, in large degree: they couldn't just start at the lower level again before working their way back to 'advanced civilization', they had to start all the way at zero again.

Here's a fun one I like playing with my kids, kind of the nerdy science version of the polysci "go back in time to kill Baby Hitler: which one scientific understanding would you bring back in time to Ancient Rome/the American Revolution/the 1950s/etc. and why? Dollars to donuts they'll say something like "the lightbulb" and not consider that it's at least 3 distinct discoveries and inventions, nevermind the engineering.

Comment Re:Why?! (Score 1) 58

Sure, let's discuss that. You've got a handful of methods historically:

- GPS/GLONASS/Starlink - can be jammed.
- Wire - inaccurate, not suitable for OTH guided missiles
- Pigeon - inaccurate and expensive
- Radar - can be jammed
- IR/laser - line of sight/requires IR signatures
- inertia - inaccurate, expensive.

There's nothing which really compares to "AI" in capability or accuracy. It's the only option which can't be jammed directly short of active EMP and provides the required/desired accuracy.

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