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Comment Re:20 years experience for new tech (Score 1) 164

I always wonder though what recruiters and HR folks think when all their applicants all seem to fall well short of their requirements/

Probably to the effect "We failed to poach the people who developed this framework in the first place. Can we import some immigrants, pretty please?"

Comment Nothing backs it (Score 5, Insightful) 110

There is no reason bitcoin can't slide back to being worth a dollar a coin. There no guarantee of value behind it. You can argue about whether fiat money is any better once the US went off the gold standard, but there is still a bit of irreplaceable value there; "the full faith and credit" means you can use it to transact business with the government, both by contracting to do public works for which the government pays you, and paying taxes and fees which are used to perform government functions and give you tokens such as licenses which show that you've contributed your share. Money's very liquidity for these purposes is a source of value, even if you can't redeem your picture of a President for precious metal. By contrast, Bitcoin literally isn't worth anything unless you can find someone (for some reason the phrase "bigger fool" comes to mind) to trade you something for it that does have value.

Comment How a compiler differs from an LLM (Score 5, Informative) 54

His hand written "artisan" code is being turned into machine code by a computer anyway.

A compiler is a deterministic process that runs locally on a modest home computer in reasonable time without needing an expensive NVIDIA GPU, doesn't regurgitate memorized copyrighted code from its training set, and doesn't boil the oceans in a datacenter for training plus use.

Comment Re:What I'm reading (Score 2) 50

Why did you not list their lack of profits? Nobody cares about revenue growth, it looks impressive but is made up nonsense full of circle jerk deals among AI companies. Investors care about ROI and don't like capex unless there's a big payday coming very soon.

Here's a better number: Anthropic announced their first ever operating profit just ten days ago for Q2. Very suspicious timing given the IPO. And interestingly the profit claim happens to coincide with a compute discount for said Q2 from Elon. No discount for Q3+Q4. Elon has to make his profit claims.

Like I said: Circle jerk all around.

Comment Re:What I'm reading (Score 1) 50

Google and Anthropic are perfectly able to build their own compute-centers, but it may not be economically a good idea at this point. Remember, the AI hype is dying and the investors are starting to smell a rat. Leasing GPUs from Elon means Google and Anthropic are not stuck with tons of hardware they can't monetize in the future. If things go bad, they just stop paying for access and Elon is left holding the bag.

Comment Re:Or... (Score 1) 215

It's important to distinguish the model from the generated sequence dynamics. The "model" (in the traditional scientific sense) is a fixed function of the input data. It cannot improve itself, except when the scientist replaces it. But that's not improvement, that's revision.

Most regular people don't understand the word model, and think it refers to their interaction with the tool. That can indeed evolve, in the same way that if you repeatedly run an input output loop with a given transformation, and add some random perturbations (aka user control), you will get a trajectory that evolves. It will probably converge to some fixed point, but that could take a long time to detect by users, who think it's evolving before their eyes.

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