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Comment Re:Most looking forward to? (Score 1) 226 226

Driver Tourism. Pick a nice road in the Italian Alps. Run it one way with minimum times between drivers. Charge a small fortune. Options could include having professional drivers who will drive you etc etc.

If you really think driving is fun then look for ways to pursue it safely. Sufficient money will make it happen.

Comment Re:HAHAHAHA! (Score 1) 226 226

Yes, but a more apt comparison would be to look at the rise in small computer companies (Microsoft, now Apple) at the expense of big computer companies (DEC, Unisys, Honeywell, IBM.)

A formerly popular product replaced by a much lower cost product kills or emasculates some companies but new companies pop up to take advantage of the cash flow available to spend on other things that are needed and now affordable.

Comment Re:Possible but rather unlikely I think (Score 1) 252 252

Sure they do. A lot of what is currently done with high cost buses will be replaced by smaller automated vehicles. Those might be owned (read financed) by the local transportation company (i.e. who is operating the buses now), the taxi company replacements (e.g. Uber) that are willing to fund them for profit they can make, or by end users for their own use and possibly for leasing out.

If they are cheaper to operate somebody will be happy to buy and operate them to replace costlier options.

Comment Re:Possible but rather unlikely I think (Score 1) 252 252

1. The UberLike service that is managing your car for you simply valets it for you before returning it to you for your use.
2. The UberLike service also tracks damage by passengers and bills them and / or simply refuses to rent to them in the future. In any respect the service restores your car to usable condition before returning it as part of the terms and conditions you allowed them to use it.

These are not like current taxis and buses. Much more like a cross between Uber and Avis. Uber like app but you are renting the car like Avis and the car delivers itself to you and takes itself back after use. Damage on the outside will mostly be not your problem. Damage on the inside will and they will know who to bill and who to deny service to in the future.

Comment Re:11 rear enders (Score 2) 549 549

Yes, Moores Law won't help at all.

Self driving cars are (not even) where the original iPhone was 10 years ago. Think where another two or three generations of chip evolution will get things to.

This applies to cpu speed to analyze. It also applies to gpu's to analyze video. It also applies to all of the sensors and radar and lidar units required.

Everything will be cheaper and faster with higher resolution.

Comment Re:the world was supposed to end years ago (Score 1) 637 637

It is also amusing to listen to some news outlets that will have (in the same broadcast) a segment on the failure of peer reviewed science and then later (in the same broadcast) lamenting that the client deniers don't believe in the consensus (of peer reviewed science.)

It appears that the left brain may not know what the right brain does ...

Comment Re:Maybe science went off the rails... (Score 1) 444 444

Well since www.realclimate.org is an activist website we could assume that they would disagree with anybody that would criticize Mann's work. The entire purpose of that website is to provide backup arguments to any and all climate change denier deniers.

If you want some middle of the road coverage of Mann try judithcurry.com.

Comment Re:Climate "Science" (Score 1) 444 444

Or in the case of the last 18 years the worse the fit the (according to the climate change denier deniers) the better.

If it fits its good. If it doesn't fit it is still good. Trust us. The models will work. Even though we used to say 15 years with no temperature increase would invalidate them, we now realize we where wrong. It will take more like 50 years to invalidate them. Really. The science is good. Really really good. Because the models tell us that the science is good.

Comment Re:New Jersey and Other Fictions... (Score 1) 615 615

It is also a more efficient use of capital. Trucking companies invest a large amount of money in their fleet. A 20% more efficient fleet means a corresponding reduction in the amount of money you need to invest in your fleet. If there are other cost reductions as well this becomes compelling.

Comment Re:Won't save most of the 4000 lives (Score 1) 615 615

There are numerous different scenarios. Long haul trucking (for example) may end up being totally autonomous, just having a human driver picked up when close to leaving the freeway system.

Local delivery (Fed Ex, UPS etc) will still have an operator (or perhaps two or more) that can jump out with the package while the delivery truck drives around the block (or drops the second operator at a second location.) While going between locations the operators sort packages. When empty the operators may get dropped off for coffee while the truck heads back to the depot and a second full truck heads out to pick them up.

Its all about effectively managing resources and reducing costs. People will continue to have a place just a different one.

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